2026-06-27 · 15 games · tap a row for the full breakdown
Top 3-leg HR parlaysall 3 must homer · ranked by combined probability2picks
Top 3-leg HR parlays
all 3 must homer · ranked by combined probability
2
picks
Even the best HR parlay is a longshot (~1-in-50 or worse). Combined % assumes independent legs — same-game stacks can correlate.
Highest probability · 2.5% · +3958 fair
A Kyle Schwarber PHI29%
A Byron Buxton MIN29%
A James Wood WSH29%
Alternative · 2.5% · +3972 fair
A Kyle Schwarber PHI29%
A Byron Buxton MIN29%
A Pete Alonso BAL29%
Kyle Schwarber L
PHI AWAY vs TBD SP? · NYM PROJwind 1.00park 0.97brl 28%recent 25% HOT29%MatchupC+243
Kyle Schwarber L
PHI AWAY vs TBD SP? · NYM PROJ
wind 1.00park 0.97brl 28%recent 25% HOT
29%
MatchupC
+243
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 11 HR in 146 PA
vs RHP · 20 HR in 219 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
Starter unknown (TBD / no data) — scored vs a league-average pitcher; arsenal & zone are neutral.
matchup strength
supporting
Matchup
TBD SP unknown
Byron Buxton RMIN HOME vs Michael Lorenzen R · MIN PROJwind 1.07park 1.00brl 20%recent 0% HOT29%MatchupA++243
Byron Buxton R
MIN HOME vs Michael Lorenzen R · MIN PROJ
wind 1.07park 1.00brl 20%recent 0% HOT
29%
MatchupA+
+243
Byron Buxton R
MIN HOME vs Michael Lorenzen R · MIN PROJ
wind 1.07park 1.00brl 20%recent 0% HOT
29%
Matchup summary · vs Michael Lorenzen
Batter Summary 📉 Cooling off
Buxton has 21 of his 25 HRs off RHP, 44% hard-hit that side. 14 of his 25 HRs have come at home, slugging .689 there. Buxton has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .391 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 0% well-hit (lg 14%), 60% hard-hit · 0 HR in 13 PA. Recent contact quality has slipped below league — a real cool-down, not just bad luck. The "HOT" chip is matchup-only — he still grades hot vs Lorenzen’s arsenal even while the overall bat cools.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
A homer-prone starter, his fastball is flattening and big power vs RHP (18% barrels).
A homer-prone starter, his fastball is flattening and big power vs RHP (18% barrels).
🏟️ Homered here 28× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Lorenzen (career): 2/10 AB | 1 HR | 3K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Lorenzen throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 3924% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
88
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/33
HR
2
33 BBE
4-SeamSt 4017% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
SweeperSt 515% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
77
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/42
HR
1
12 BBE
SliderSt 1214% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
85
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/44
HR
3
18 BBE
ChangeSt 6011% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/25
HR
0
4 BBE
CutterSt 4311% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
90
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
69/8
HR
4
13 BBE
CurveSt 318% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
98
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
57/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Agnos throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—30% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
90
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
69/8
HR
4
13 BBE
4-Seam—24% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
Sweeper—21% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
77
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/42
HR
1
12 BBE
Sinker—11% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
88
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/33
HR
2
33 BBE
Slider—8% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
85
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/44
HR
3
18 BBE
Splitter—6% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Senzatela throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—50% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
Slider—23% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
85
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/44
HR
3
18 BBE
Curve—10% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
98
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
57/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Cutter—8% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
90
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
69/8
HR
4
13 BBE
Sinker—6% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
88
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/33
HR
2
33 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Herget throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—33% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
77
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/42
HR
1
12 BBE
Slider—32% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
85
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/44
HR
3
18 BBE
Sinker—31% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
88
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/33
HR
2
33 BBE
4-Seam—5% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Brebbia throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—46% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
Slider—43% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
85
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/44
HR
3
18 BBE
Change—4% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/25
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Mejia throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—52% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
Sweeper—42% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
77
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/42
HR
1
12 BBE
Sinker—5% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
88
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/33
HR
2
33 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Bernardino throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—33% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
98
Barrel
40%
Air/Gnd
40/0
HR
1
5 BBE
Curve—22% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/20
HR
0
5 BBE
Cutter—21% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/25
HR
0
4 BBE
Change—18% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/43
HR
0
14 BBE
4-Seam—4% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
13%
Air/Gnd
40/7
HR
1
15 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Vodnik throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—50% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
Slider—29% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
85
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/44
HR
3
18 BBE
Change—11% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/25
HR
0
4 BBE
Cutter—6% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
90
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
69/8
HR
4
13 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Halvorsen throws / Buxton hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Buxton’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—52% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
95
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
47/20
HR
5
30 BBE
Slider—33% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
85
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/44
HR
3
18 BBE
Splitter—14% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Michael Lorenzen’s arsenal
Sinker 24% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
4-Seam 17% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Sweeper 15% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 14% usedbarrels 6% · allows 13% · 3 HR
Change 11% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8%
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Zach Agnos’s arsenal
Cutter 30% usedbarrels 15% · allows 0% · 4 HR
4-Seam 24% usedbarrels 10% · allows 17% · 5 HR
Sweeper 21% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sinker 11% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Slider 8% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Antonio Senzatela’s arsenal
4-Seam 50% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Slider 23% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Curve 10% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Cutter 8% usedbarrels 15% · allows 5% · 4 HR
Sinker 6% usedbarrels 6% · allows 6% · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jimmy Herget’s arsenal
Sweeper 33% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 32% usedbarrels 6% · allows 14% · 3 HR
Sinker 31% usedbarrels 6% · allows 6% · 2 HR
4-Seam 5% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 5 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs John Brebbia’s arsenal
4-Seam 46% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 5 HR
Slider 43% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Change 4% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Juan Mejia’s arsenal
4-Seam 52% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Sweeper 42% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sinker 5% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brennan Bernardino’s arsenal
Sinker 33% usedbarrels 40% · allows 7% · 1 HR
Curve 22% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Cutter 21% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Change 18% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Victor Vodnik’s arsenal
4-Seam 50% usedbarrels 10% · allows 12% · 5 HR
Slider 29% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Change 11% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Cutter 6% usedbarrels 15% · allows — · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Seth Halvorsen’s arsenal
4-Seam 52% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Slider 33% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Splitter 14% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 90 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 5/22 | 4 | 28% | 22% | 6% | 90 | 50% | 2 |
| 06/24 | 0/5 | 2 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 76 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/4 | 0 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 88 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/22 | 1/4 | 1 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 96 | 100% | 1 |
| 06/21 | 2/5 | 1 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 98 | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 1/4 | 0 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 91 | 100% | 1 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (591 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed74.1 mph
Swing length8.0 ft
Attack angle14.8°
contact
swing timing
Early24%
On-time64%
Late11%
miss profile
Over19%
Under16%
Tied-up7%
Centered67%
Flailed26%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 6 HR in 95 PA
vs RHP · 21 HR in 246 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME14 HR / 150 PA · 9.3%
Home · .689 SLG
Away AWAY11 HR / 165 PA · 6.7%
Away · .494 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 30% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×0.86 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Michael Lorenzen • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN2/9 W–L • 7.11 ERA • 65 Ks (Tied–79th) • 1.83 WHIP1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 7.11 ERA (H 8.20 / A 6.05)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.99hittability
Michael Lorenzen • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
2/9 W–L • 7.11 ERA • 65 Ks (Tied–79th) • 1.83 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 7.11 ERA (H 8.20 / A 6.05)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.99
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/21 5.1 IP · 90 P1 HR
06/15 5.0 IP · 89 P1 HR
06/10 5.0 IP · 84 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · curve
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsslider · change
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 11 HR in 202 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 6 HR in 202 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 2:03
spin 1:29
spin 1:34
spin 12:59
spin 6:55
spin 9:51
spin 7:58
spin 2:03
spin 1:29
spin 1:34
spin 12:59
spin 6:55
spin 9:51
spin 7:58
spin 2:03
spin 1:29
spin 1:34
spin 12:59
spin 6:55
spin 9:51
spin 7:58
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 6 | — | — | 16% | 8.20 |
| Away | 1.63 | 7 | — | — | 19% | 6.05 |
| vs LHB | 1.82 | 11 | 16% | 28% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.15 | 6 | 13% | 20% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Michael Lorenzen carries a 1.55 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 6 of 17 times (0.9 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 6.05 ERA on the road. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Zach Agnos • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/2 W–L • 7.21 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.64 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 28% FB • 17% K • 7.21 ERA (H 7.90 / A 6.33)▬ Holding steady1.22hittability
Zach Agnos • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/2 W–L • 7.21 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.64 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 28% FB • 17% K • 7.21 ERA (H 7.90 / A 6.33)
▬ Holding steady
1.22
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 3.0 IP · 41 P bulk0 HR
06/17 3.0 IP · 42 P bulk0 HR
06/12 2.2 IP · 60 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 4 HR in 106 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 5 HR in 144 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 6 | — | — | 12% | 7.90 |
| Away | 0.84 | 2 | — | — | 18% | 6.33 |
| vs LHB | 1.34 | 4 | 17% | 30% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.28 | 5 | 13% | 24% | 15% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Zach Agnos carries a 1.34 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 5 of 9 times (1.7 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 6.33 ERA on the road. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Antonio Senzatela • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN8/0 W–L (Tied–9th) • 2.13 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.02 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 28% FB • 21% K • 2.13 ERA (H 3.00 / A 1.27)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.98hittability
Antonio Senzatela • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
8/0 W–L (Tied–9th) • 2.13 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.02 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 28% FB • 21% K • 2.13 ERA (H 3.00 / A 1.27)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.98
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 2.0 IP · 33 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
06/15 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 84 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 2 HR in 103 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.43 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 3.00 |
| Away | 0.84 | 2 | — | — | 21% | 1.27 |
| vs LHB | 1.05 | 2 | 13% | 28% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.94 | 2 | 12% | 24% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Antonio Senzatela carries a 0.91 HR/9. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Jimmy Herget • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/1 W–L • 4.19 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.29 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 4.19 ERA (H 4.32 / A 4.09)▬ Holding steady0.95hittability
Jimmy Herget • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/1 W–L • 4.19 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.29 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 4.19 ERA (H 4.32 / A 4.09)
▬ Holding steady
0.95
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 1.1 IP · 20 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 2.3 HR/9 · 5 HR in 47 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 72 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 4.32 |
| Away | 1.64 | 2 | — | — | 24% | 4.09 |
| vs LHB | 2.26 | 5 | 16% | 27% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.88 | 1 | 15% | 23% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jimmy Herget carries a 1.68 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 1 of 6 times (0.0 HR/9 to RHB). MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
John Brebbia • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 1 Ks • 0.50 WHIP2.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.94hittability
John Brebbia • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 1 Ks • 0.50 WHIP
2.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.94
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/21 2.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 1 HR in 13 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 2 HR in 19 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.45 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.74 | 2 | 14% | 23% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
John Brebbia carries a 2.03 HR/9. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Juan Mejia • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN1/6 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.76 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 23% K • 6.75 ERA (H 6.98 / A 6.46)▬ Holding steady0.83hittability
Juan Mejia • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
1/6 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.76 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 23% K • 6.75 ERA (H 6.98 / A 6.46)
▬ Holding steady
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/21 1.2 IP · 32 P1 HR
06/15 0.1 IP · 20 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 3 HR in 83 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 94 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.93 | 2 | — | — | 23% | 6.98 |
| Away | 0.59 | 1 | — | — | 23% | 6.46 |
| vs LHB | 1.29 | 3 | 15% | 25% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.55 | 0 | 12% | 22% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Juan Mejia carries a 0.79 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). He owns a 6.46 ERA on the road. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Brennan Bernardino • LHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN2/3 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.40 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 19% FB • 19% K • 3.73 ERA (H 3.38 / A 4.11)▬ Holding steady0.82hittability
Brennan Bernardino • LHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
2/3 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.40 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 19% FB • 19% K • 3.73 ERA (H 3.38 / A 4.11)
▬ Holding steady
0.82
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Gray 13%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Caratini 16%, Lewis 16%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 80 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 80 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 2 | — | — | 20% | 3.38 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 4.11 |
| vs LHB | 0.84 | 1 | 16% | 21% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.84 | 1 | 11% | 21% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Brennan Bernardino carries a 0.67 HR/9. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Victor Vodnik • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN2/2 W–L • 7.06 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.98 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 19% FB • 18% K • 7.06 ERA (H 10.38 / A 4.85)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.80hittability
Victor Vodnik • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
2/2 W–L • 7.06 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.98 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 19% FB • 18% K • 7.06 ERA (H 10.38 / A 4.85)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.80
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/22 2.0 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/15 0.2 IP · 21 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 3 HR in 60 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 67 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 1 | — | — | 18% | 10.38 |
| Away | 0.69 | 1 | — | — | 13% | 4.85 |
| vs LHB | 1.50 | 3 | 12% | 20% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.91 | 1 | 10% | 22% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Victor Vodnik carries a 1.20 HR/9. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Seth Halvorsen • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/0 W–L • 3.31 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.78 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 3.31 ERA (H 1.23 / A 5.00)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.76hittability
Seth Halvorsen • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/0 W–L • 3.31 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.78 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 3.31 ERA (H 1.23 / A 5.00)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.76
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/15 0.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/13 0.2 IP · 25 P0 HR
06/12 0.2 IP · 22 P2 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 39 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 56 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 24% | 1.23 |
| Away | 2.00 | 2 | — | — | 17% | 5.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.13 | 1 | 19% | 23% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 1 | 14% | 22% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Seth Halvorsen carries a 0.96 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). He owns a 5.00 ERA on the road. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Michael LorenzenA+
Arms like Michael Lorenzen
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): JR Ritchie, Stephen Kolek, Michael McGreevy, Merrill Kelly, Brandon Pfaadt, Slade Cecconi.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 30 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Zach AgnosA · ×1.26
Arms like Zach Agnos
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cole Winn, Luis Severino, Colin Rea, Zack Wheeler, Tomoyuki Sugano, Zack Kelly.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 11 PA (18.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Antonio SenzatelaA · ×1.33
Arms like Antonio Senzatela
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryne Nelson, Spencer Strider, Freddy Peralta, Victor Vodnik, Max Scherzer, Didier Fuentes.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 17 PA (5.9% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jimmy HergetA · ×1.14
Arms like Jimmy Herget
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Anthony Bender, Grant Anderson, Justin Lawrence, Greg Weissert, Michael King, Rhett Lowder.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 22 PA (4.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs John BrebbiaA · ×1.26
Arms like John Brebbia
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Spencer Strider, Nick Mears, Jack Flaherty, Enyel De Los Santos, Kevin Ginkel, Max Scherzer.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 17 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Juan MejiaA · ×1.25
Arms like Juan Mejia
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Matt Festa, Connor Phillips, Shohei Ohtani, Ryan Weiss, Kai-Wei Teng, Paul Sewald.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 17 PA (11.8% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Brennan BernardinoA · ×1.16
Arms like Brennan Bernardino
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Joe Mantiply, Justin Bruihl, John King, Ranger Suarez, Aaron Bummer, Brant Hurter.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 5 HR in 32 PA (15.6% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Victor VodnikA · ×1.30
Arms like Victor Vodnik
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bubba Chandler, Juan Morillo, Luis Gil, Robert Suarez, Antonio Senzatela, Bryan Baker.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 27 PA (7.4% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Seth HalvorsenA · ×1.32
Arms like Seth Halvorsen
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryne Stanek, Didier Fuentes, Jeff Hoffman, Victor Vodnik, Michael Petersen, Joe Boyle.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 13 PA (7.7% · league ~3%).
James Wood LWSH AWAY vs Brandon Young R · BAL PROJwind 1.00park 1.08brl 28%recent 33% HOT29%MatchupB+246
James Wood L
WSH AWAY vs Brandon Young R · BAL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 28%recent 33% HOT
29%
MatchupB
+246
James Wood L
WSH AWAY vs Brandon Young R · BAL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 28%recent 33% HOT
29%
Matchup summary · vs Brandon Young
Batter Summary ➖ Steady
Wood has 15 of his 20 HRs off RHP, 55% hard-hit that side. 8 of his 20 HRs have come on the road, slugging .477 there. Wood has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .461 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 33% well-hit (lg 14%), 50% hard-hit · 0 HR in 10 PA. Right around league — no real trend either way.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
The park favors LH power, big power vs RHP (24% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
The park favors LH power, big power vs RHP (24% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
🏟️ Homered here 1× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Young (career): 1/2 AB | 0 HR | 1K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Young throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 5050% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
98
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
24/35
HR
5
49 BBE
SplitterSt 3525% used
Whiff
37%
Contact
63%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
40/40
HR
0
5 BBE
CurveSt 4216% used
Whiff
48%
Contact
52%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
1
7 BBE
Change—4% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/59
HR
0
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Suárez throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—55% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
98
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
24/35
HR
5
49 BBE
Change—34% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/59
HR
0
17 BBE
Curve—11% used
Whiff
48%
Contact
52%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Akin throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—49% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
93
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
8/50
HR
0
12 BBE
Slider—44% used
Whiff
50%
Contact
50%
EV
92
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
30/30
HR
2
10 BBE
Change—6% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Wells throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—35% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
98
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
24/35
HR
5
49 BBE
Change—34% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/59
HR
0
17 BBE
Cutter—22% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
95
Barrel
13%
Air/Gnd
33/47
HR
2
15 BBE
Curve—8% used
Whiff
48%
Contact
52%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kittredge throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—41% used
Whiff
52%
Contact
48%
EV
102
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
44/22
HR
2
9 BBE
Sinker—35% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
95
Barrel
33%
Air/Gnd
33/44
HR
1
9 BBE
4-Seam—23% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
98
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
24/35
HR
5
49 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Garcia throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—40% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
98
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
24/35
HR
5
49 BBE
Change—40% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/59
HR
0
17 BBE
Curve—18% used
Whiff
48%
Contact
52%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Helsley throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—50% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
98
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
24/35
HR
5
49 BBE
Slider—38% used
Whiff
52%
Contact
48%
EV
102
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
44/22
HR
2
9 BBE
Curve—7% used
Whiff
48%
Contact
52%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
1
7 BBE
Splitter—4% used
Whiff
37%
Contact
63%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
40/40
HR
0
5 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Wolfram throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—46% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
100
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
14/73
HR
1
22 BBE
Slider—30% used
Whiff
50%
Contact
50%
EV
92
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
30/30
HR
2
10 BBE
Sweeper—19% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
95
Barrel
29%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
0
7 BBE
4-Seam—4% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
93
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
8/50
HR
0
12 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Cano throws / Wood hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Wood’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—33% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
95
Barrel
33%
Air/Gnd
33/44
HR
1
9 BBE
Splitter—23% used
Whiff
37%
Contact
63%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
40/40
HR
0
5 BBE
4-Seam—21% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
98
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
24/35
HR
5
49 BBE
Change—13% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/59
HR
0
17 BBE
Slider—6% used
Whiff
52%
Contact
48%
EV
102
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
44/22
HR
2
9 BBE
Cutter—4% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
95
Barrel
13%
Air/Gnd
33/47
HR
2
15 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brandon Young’s arsenal
4-Seam 50% usedbarrels 8% · allows 11% · 5 HR
Splitter 25% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Curve 16% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Albert Suárez’s arsenal
4-Seam 55% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Change 34% usedbarrels 0% · allows 10%
Curve 11% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Keegan Akin’s arsenal
4-Seam 49% usedbarrels 0% · allows 9%
Slider 44% usedbarrels 20% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Change 6% usedbarrels — · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tyler Wells’s arsenal
4-Seam 35% usedbarrels 8% · allows 6% · 5 HR
Change 34% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Cutter 22% usedbarrels 13% · allows 12% · 2 HR
Curve 8% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Andrew Kittredge’s arsenal
Slider 41% usedbarrels 11% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Sinker 35% usedbarrels 33% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 23% usedbarrels 8% · allows — · 5 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Rico Garcia’s arsenal
4-Seam 40% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Change 40% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Curve 18% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ryan Helsley’s arsenal
4-Seam 50% usedbarrels 8% · allows 14% · 5 HR
Slider 38% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 2 HR
Curve 7% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 1 HR
Splitter 4% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Grant Wolfram’s arsenal
Sinker 46% usedbarrels 5% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 30% usedbarrels 20% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Sweeper 19% usedbarrels 29% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Yennier Cano’s arsenal
Sinker 33% usedbarrels 33% · allows 11% · 1 HR
Splitter 23% usedbarrels 0% · allows 12%
4-Seam 21% usedbarrels 8% · allows — · 5 HR
Change 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Slider 6% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 11% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.24 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 9% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 2/21 | 11 | 55% | 18% | 9% | 91 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/25 | 0/5 | 2 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 75 | — | 0 |
| 06/24 | 0/5 | 3 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 97 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 0/5 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 89 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 2/4 | 2 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 101 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 0/2 | 1 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 103 | 0% | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (605 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed76.5 mph
Swing length7.4 ft
Attack angle11.9°
contact
swing timing
Early30%
On-time59%
Late11%
miss profile
Over22%
Under21%
Tied-up9%
Centered59%
Flailed32%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 140 PA
vs RHP · 16 HR in 296 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME12 HR / 195 PA · 6.2%
Home · .543 SLG
Away AWAY8 HR / 187 PA · 4.3%
Away · .477 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 11% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×1.24 → neutral park fit.
Pitcher
Brandon Young • RHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH6/2 W–L (Tied–29th) • 3.07 ERA • 49 Ks • 1.26 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 18% K • 3.07 ERA (H 2.80 / A 3.38)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.00hittability
Brandon Young • RHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
6/2 W–L (Tied–29th) • 3.07 ERA • 49 Ks • 1.26 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 18% K • 3.07 ERA (H 2.80 / A 3.38)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.00
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/21 5.0 IP · 95 P0 HR
06/16 6.0 IP · 92 P0 HR
06/10 7.0 IP · 88 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Wood 29%, Abrams 22%, Jr. 19%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Mead 23%, Crews 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 4 HR in 178 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 3 HR in 123 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:51
spin 1:38
spin 10:51
spin 1:06
spin 7:07
spin 12:51
spin 1:38
spin 10:51
spin 1:06
spin 7:07
spin 12:51
spin 1:38
spin 10:51
spin 1:06
spin 7:07
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.02 | 4 | — | — | 18% | 2.80 |
| Away | 0.56 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 3.38 |
| vs LHB | 0.96 | 4 | 12% | 25% | 15% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.04 | 3 | 13% | 22% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Brandon Young carries a 0.94 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 4 of 7 times (0.9 HR/9 to LHB). BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Albert Suárez • RHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH2/0 W–L • 4.01 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.34 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 17% K • 4.01 ERA (H 3.27 / A 5.40)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.14hittability
Albert Suárez • RHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
2/0 W–L • 4.01 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.34 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 17% K • 4.01 ERA (H 3.27 / A 5.40)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.14
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 3.0 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/13 4.0 IP · 38 P3 HR
06/08 2.0 IP · 39 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Wood 29%, Abrams 22%, Jr. 19%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Mead 23%, Crews 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 4 HR in 83 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 3 HR in 97 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 5 | — | — | 11% | 3.27 |
| Away | 0.77 | 1 | — | — | 24% | 5.40 |
| vs LHB | 1.52 | 4 | 13% | 24% | 16% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.19 | 3 | 13% | 22% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Albert Suárez carries a 1.41 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (3 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 4 of 7 times (1.7 HR/9 to LHB). BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Keegan Akin • LHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH0/1 W–L • 6.17 ERA • 15 Ks • 1.50 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 6.17 ERA (H 6.00 / A 6.35)▬ Holding steady1.11hittability
Keegan Akin • LHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
0/1 W–L • 6.17 ERA • 15 Ks • 1.50 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 6.17 ERA (H 6.00 / A 6.35)
▬ Holding steady
1.11
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 0.2 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/21 2.0 IP · 37 P0 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Wood 29%, Abrams 22%, Jr. 19%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Mead 23%, Crews 15%, Ruiz 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 48 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 69 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 6.00 |
| Away | 0.79 | 1 | — | — | 12% | 6.35 |
| vs LHB | 1.35 | 2 | 15% | 23% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.90 | 1 | 14% | 23% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Keegan Akin carries a 1.05 HR/9. He owns a 6.00 ERA at home. BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Tyler Wells • RHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH1/1 W–L • 3.25 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.11 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 26% K • 3.25 ERA (H 5.50 / A 1.00)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.94hittability
Tyler Wells • RHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
1/1 W–L • 3.25 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.11 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 26% K • 3.25 ERA (H 5.50 / A 1.00)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.94
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.1 IP · 28 P0 HR
06/19 1.2 IP · 29 P0 HR
06/11 3.0 IP · 39 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Wood 29%, Abrams 22%, Jr. 19%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Mead 23%, Crews 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 90 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 4 | — | — | 22% | 5.50 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 1.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.01 | 2 | 13% | 25% | 27% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.12 | 2 | 13% | 22% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Tyler Wells carries a 1.00 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 2 of 4 times (1.3 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 5.50 ERA at home. BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Andrew Kittredge • RHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH0/1 W–L • 6.00 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.56 WHIP1.8 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 20% FB • 20% K • 6.00 ERA (H 1.74 / A 11.74)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.83hittability
Andrew Kittredge • RHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
0/1 W–L • 6.00 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.56 WHIP
1.8 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 20% FB • 20% K • 6.00 ERA (H 1.74 / A 11.74)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.1 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 0.1 IP · 10 P1 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Wood 29%, Abrams 22%, Jr. 19%
vs righty batsslider · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Mead 23%, Crews 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 2 HR in 39 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 3 HR in 46 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 24% | 1.74 |
| Away | 4.70 | 4 | — | — | 17% | 11.74 |
| vs LHB | 1.45 | 2 | 11% | 23% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.67 | 3 | 14% | 20% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Andrew Kittredge carries a 1.81 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 2 of 5 times (1.9 HR/9 to LHB). BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Rico Garcia • RHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH3/1 W–L • 2.70 ERA • 37 Ks • 0.81 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 28% K • 2.70 ERA (H 1.62 / A 3.78)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.76hittability
Rico Garcia • RHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
3/1 W–L • 2.70 ERA • 37 Ks • 0.81 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 28% K • 2.70 ERA (H 1.62 / A 3.78)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.76
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 9 P1 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Wood 29%, Abrams 22%, Jr. 19%
vs righty bats4-seam · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Mead 23%, Crews 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 78 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 3 HR in 55 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 2 | — | — | 27% | 1.62 |
| Away | 1.62 | 3 | — | — | 32% | 3.78 |
| vs LHB | 1.09 | 2 | 13% | 19% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.56 | 3 | 14% | 25% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Rico Garcia carries a 1.36 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 2 of 5 times (1.0 HR/9 to LHB). BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Ryan Helsley • RHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH0/3 W–L • 4.73 ERA • 19 Ks • 1.50 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 26% FB • 27% K • 4.73 ERA (H 0.00 / A 8.59)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.76hittability
Ryan Helsley • RHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
0/3 W–L • 4.73 ERA • 19 Ks • 1.50 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 26% FB • 27% K • 4.73 ERA (H 0.00 / A 8.59)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.76
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/19 0.2 IP · 23 P1 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 9 P2 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Wood 29%, Abrams 22%, Jr. 19%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Mead 23%, Crews 15%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 49 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 1 HR in 25 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 36% | 0.00 |
| Away | 3.68 | 3 | — | — | 29% | 8.59 |
| vs LHB | 1.34 | 2 | 13% | 25% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.28 | 1 | 13% | 24% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Ryan Helsley carries a 1.39 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (3 over his last 3). BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Grant Wolfram • LHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH1/1 W–L • 3.63 ERA • 25 Ks • 1.34 WHIP0.4 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 20% FB • 25% K • 3.63 ERA (H 7.00 / A 1.35)▬ Holding steady0.74hittability
Grant Wolfram • LHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
1/1 W–L • 3.63 ERA • 25 Ks • 1.34 WHIP
0.4 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 20% FB • 25% K • 3.63 ERA (H 7.00 / A 1.35)
▬ Holding steady
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 0.2 IP · 9 P0 HR
06/21 2.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/20 0.1 IP · 3 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 60 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 54 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 21% | 7.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 28% | 1.35 |
| vs LHB | 0.69 | 0 | 12% | 23% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.72 | 0 | 18% | 20% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Grant Wolfram carries a 0.42 HR/9. He owns a 7.00 ERA at home. BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Yennier Cano • RHP (BAL)WSH @ BAL | vs WSH1/2 W–L • 2.03 ERA • 27 Ks • 0.86 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 18% FB • 24% K • 2.03 ERA (H 2.63 / A 1.38)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.68hittability
Yennier Cano • RHP (BAL)
WSH @ BAL | vs WSH
1/2 W–L • 2.03 ERA • 27 Ks • 0.86 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 18% FB • 24% K • 2.03 ERA (H 2.63 / A 1.38)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.68
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.2 IP · 25 P0 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 3 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 45 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 2.63 |
| Away | 0.69 | 1 | — | — | 18% | 1.38 |
| vs LHB | 1.08 | 1 | 15% | 24% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.86 | 1 | 9% | 17% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Yennier Cano carries a 0.81 HR/9. BAL ranks 3rd in HR factor for LH hitters.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Brandon YoungB
Arms like Brandon Young
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Simeon Woods Richardson, Tobias Myers, Colin Rea, Trey Yesavage, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Taj Bradley.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 24 PA (4.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Albert SuárezA · ×1.48
Arms like Albert Suárez
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Burch Smith, Chris Paddack, Freddy Peralta, Connor Brogdon, Brandon Woodruff, Cole Sulser.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 29 PA (3.4% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Keegan AkinA · ×1.57
Arms like Keegan Akin
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jacob Latz, Carlos Rodón, Brock Burke, Robbie Ray, Cole Ragans, Alex Vesia.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 33 PA (6.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tyler WellsA · ×1.50
Arms like Tyler Wells
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Rico Garcia, Brandon Woodruff, Albert Suárez, Davis Martin, Ryne Nelson, Bryan Baker.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 33 PA (6.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Andrew KittredgeA · ×1.62
Arms like Andrew Kittredge
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Sam Bachman, Abner Uribe, Tommy Nance, JT Brubaker, Bryce Elder, Tyler Kinley.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 39 PA (10.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Rico GarciaA · ×1.53
Arms like Rico Garcia
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tyler Wells, Mick Abel, Jack Leiter, Tanner Gordon, Bryan Baker, Bubba Chandler.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 24 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ryan HelsleyA · ×1.66
Arms like Ryan Helsley
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Hunter Bigge, Jordan Leasure, Mason Miller, Chase Burns, Nick Mears, Michael Petersen.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 26 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Grant WolframA · ×1.53
Arms like Grant Wolfram
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Gregory Soto, Cionel Pérez, David Peterson, Wandy Peralta, Tim Mayza, Steven Matz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 58 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Yennier CanoA · ×1.52
Arms like Yennier Cano
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): J.T. Ginn, Jack Kochanowicz, Trevor McDonald, José Soriano, Adrian Houser, Greg Weissert.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 33 PA (9.1% · league ~3%).
Pete Alonso RBAL HOME vs Foster Griffin L · BAL PROJwind 1.00park 1.08brl 17%recent 12% HOT29%MatchupA++247
Pete Alonso R
BAL HOME vs Foster Griffin L · BAL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 17%recent 12% HOT
29%
MatchupA+
+247
Pete Alonso R
BAL HOME vs Foster Griffin L · BAL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 17%recent 12% HOT
29%
Matchup summary · vs Foster Griffin
Batter Summary 📈 Trending up
Alonso has 3 of his 18 HRs off LHP, 48% hard-hit that side. 9 of his 18 HRs have come at home, slugging .457 there. Alonso has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .410 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 12% well-hit (lg 14%), 62% hard-hit · 1 HR in 13 PA. Recent contact quality is beating league — the rating catches the heat before the HR totals show it.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
A homer-prone starter, he's vulnerable to righties (1.7 HR/9) and big power vs LHP (15% barrels).
A homer-prone starter, he's vulnerable to righties (1.7 HR/9) and big power vs LHP (15% barrels).
🏟️ Homered here 8× at this park (since ’25)
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Griffin throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
CutterSt 3232% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
96
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
40/40
HR
0
5 BBE
4-SeamSt 618% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
40/30
HR
1
20 BBE
ChangeSt 4016% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/39
HR
2
18 BBE
SweeperSt 4210% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/33
HR
0
3 BBE
CurveSt 2410% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/50
HR
0
4 BBE
SinkerSt 169% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
96
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
10/80
HR
0
10 BBE
SplitterSt 16% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Parker throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—50% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
40/30
HR
1
20 BBE
Curve—24% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/50
HR
0
4 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
93
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
57/14
HR
1
7 BBE
Splitter—12% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Mikolas throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—28% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/65
HR
3
48 BBE
Slider—24% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/53
HR
0
15 BBE
4-Seam—23% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
34/40
HR
5
35 BBE
Curve—14% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
18/53
HR
1
17 BBE
Sweeper—8% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
35/18
HR
1
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kent throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—52% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/53
HR
0
15 BBE
4-Seam—31% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
34/40
HR
5
35 BBE
Sinker—9% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/65
HR
3
48 BBE
Curve—8% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
18/53
HR
1
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Ribalta throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—33% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/65
HR
3
48 BBE
Slider—33% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/53
HR
0
15 BBE
4-Seam—23% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
34/40
HR
5
35 BBE
Change—12% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
100
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
25/25
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Poulin throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—41% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
40/30
HR
1
20 BBE
Change—33% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
28/39
HR
2
18 BBE
Sweeper—23% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/33
HR
0
3 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Lawrence throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—46% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/65
HR
3
48 BBE
Sweeper—43% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
35/18
HR
1
17 BBE
4-Seam—11% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
34/40
HR
5
35 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Lord throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—35% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
34/40
HR
5
35 BBE
Sinker—31% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
17/65
HR
3
48 BBE
Slider—27% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/53
HR
0
15 BBE
Change—4% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
100
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
25/25
HR
0
4 BBE
Sweeper—4% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
35/18
HR
1
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Beeter throws / Alonso hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Alonso’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—52% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/53
HR
0
15 BBE
4-Seam—48% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
98
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
34/40
HR
5
35 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Foster Griffin’s arsenal
Cutter 32% usedbarrels 20% · allows 9%
4-Seam 18% usedbarrels 0% · allows 27% · 1 HR
Change 16% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Sweeper 10% usedbarrels — · allows 18%
Curve 10% usedbarrels 0% · allows 7%
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Mitchell Parker’s arsenal
4-Seam 50% usedbarrels 0% · allows 4% · 1 HR
Curve 24% usedbarrels 0% · allows 10%
Slider 13% usedbarrels 14% · allows 9% · 1 HR
Splitter 12% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Miles Mikolas’s arsenal
Sinker 28% usedbarrels 8% · allows 13% · 3 HR
Slider 24% usedbarrels 0% · allows 4%
4-Seam 23% usedbarrels 14% · allows 12% · 5 HR
Curve 14% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 1 HR
Sweeper 8% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Zak Kent’s arsenal
Slider 52% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14%
4-Seam 31% usedbarrels 14% · allows 11% · 5 HR
Sinker 9% usedbarrels 8% · allows — · 3 HR
Curve 8% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Orlando Ribalta’s arsenal
Sinker 33% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Slider 33% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
4-Seam 23% usedbarrels 14% · allows 14% · 5 HR
Change 12% usedbarrels 25% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs PJ Poulin’s arsenal
4-Seam 41% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8% · 1 HR
Change 33% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Sweeper 23% usedbarrels — · allows 27%
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Justin Lawrence’s arsenal
Sinker 46% usedbarrels 8% · allows 4% · 3 HR
Sweeper 43% usedbarrels 0% · allows 9% · 1 HR
4-Seam 11% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 5 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brad Lord’s arsenal
4-Seam 35% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Sinker 31% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Slider 27% usedbarrels 0% · allows 5%
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Clayton Beeter’s arsenal
Slider 52% usedbarrels 0% · allows 9%
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 16% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 87 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 6/17 | 6 | 33% | 17% | 0% | 87 | 50% | 1 |
| 06/24 | 3/4 | 0 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 89 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 0/3 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 102 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 1/4 | 2 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 88 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/21 | 2/3 | 0 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 80 | 100% | 1 |
| 06/20 | 0/3 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 81 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (619 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed74.8 mph
Swing length7.2 ft
Attack angle10.2°
contact
swing timing
Early16%
On-time62%
Late22%
miss profile
Over18%
Under15%
Tied-up10%
Centered67%
Flailed23%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 4 HR in 116 PA
vs RHP · 16 HR in 300 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME9 HR / 176 PA · 5.1%
Home · .457 SLG
Away AWAY9 HR / 179 PA · 5.0%
Away · .490 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 16% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×1.09 → park fits his pull power.
Pitcher
Foster Griffin • LHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL8/2 W–L (Tied–9th) • 3.15 ERA (17th) • 89 Ks (Tied–26th) • 1.06 WHIP (17th)1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 24% K • 3.15 ERA (H 3.12 / A 3.18)▬ Holding steady0.82hittability
Foster Griffin • LHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
8/2 W–L (Tied–9th) • 3.15 ERA (17th) • 89 Ks (Tied–26th) • 1.06 WHIP (17th)
1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 24% K • 3.15 ERA (H 3.12 / A 3.18)
▬ Holding steady
0.82
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 7.1 IP · 105 P1 HR
06/16 6.0 IP · 100 P0 HR
06/10 6.0 IP · 100 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscurve · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty bats4-seam · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 4 HR in 121 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 12 HR in 265 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:07
spin 10:57
spin 4:07
spin 10:47
spin 4:58
spin 10:22
spin 10:52
spin 12:07
spin 10:57
spin 4:07
spin 10:47
spin 4:58
spin 10:52
spin 12:07
spin 10:57
spin 4:07
spin 10:47
spin 4:58
spin 10:22
spin 10:52
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 9 | — | — | 22% | 3.12 |
| Away | 1.24 | 7 | — | — | 25% | 3.18 |
| vs LHB | 1.24 | 4 | 13% | 24% | 27% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.60 | 12 | 15% | 23% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Foster Griffin carries a 1.53 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 12 of 16 times (1.7 HR/9 to RHB).
Mitchell Parker • LHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL3/3 W–L • 6.39 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.47 WHIP1.8 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 24% FB • 21% K • 6.39 ERA (H 5.59 / A 7.23)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.22hittability
Mitchell Parker • LHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
3/3 W–L • 6.39 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.47 WHIP
1.8 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 24% FB • 21% K • 6.39 ERA (H 5.59 / A 7.23)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.22
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 0.1 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/23 1.1 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/20 2.1 IP · 32 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 5 HR in 81 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 5 HR in 117 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 5 | — | — | 14% | 5.59 |
| Away | 1.45 | 3 | — | — | 23% | 7.23 |
| vs LHB | 1.78 | 5 | 15% | 22% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.45 | 5 | 15% | 26% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Mitchell Parker carries a 1.75 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 5 of 10 times (2.0 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 7.23 ERA on the road.
Miles Mikolas • RHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL2/6 W–L • 5.24 ERA • 44 Ks • 1.29 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 15% K • 5.24 ERA (H 5.82 / A 4.66)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.19hittability
Miles Mikolas • RHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
2/6 W–L • 5.24 ERA • 44 Ks • 1.29 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 15% K • 5.24 ERA (H 5.82 / A 4.66)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.19
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 3.1 IP · 60 P bulk0 HR
06/19 6.0 IP · 85 P bulk2 HR
06/14 7.0 IP · 83 P bulk0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty batssinker · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 9 HR in 208 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 8 HR in 152 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 10 | — | — | 16% | 5.82 |
| Away | 1.40 | 6 | — | — | 11% | 4.66 |
| vs LHB | 1.52 | 9 | 13% | 24% | 15% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.73 | 8 | 11% | 23% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Miles Mikolas carries a 1.71 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 8 of 17 times (2.1 HR/9 to RHB).
Zak Kent • RHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL0/0 W–L • 5.79 ERA • 7 Ks • 1.61 WHIP2.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 28% FB • 20% K • 5.79 ERA (H 3.00 / A 7.11)▬ Holding steady1.02hittability
Zak Kent • RHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
0/0 W–L • 5.79 ERA • 7 Ks • 1.61 WHIP
2.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 28% FB • 20% K • 5.79 ERA (H 3.00 / A 7.11)
▬ Holding steady
1.02
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
05/14 2.2 IP · 42 P1 HR
05/12 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
05/09 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.9 HR/9 · 3 HR in 30 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 1 HR in 23 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 0% | 3.00 |
| Away | 4.26 | 3 | — | — | 23% | 7.11 |
| vs LHB | 1.91 | 3 | 14% | 26% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.30 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Zak Kent carries a 1.99 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. Righties have taken him deep 1 of 4 times (1.7 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 7.11 ERA on the road.
Orlando Ribalta • RHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL0/1 W–L • 3.52 ERA • 18 Ks • 1.09 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 3.52 ERA (H 3.65 / A 3.38)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.98hittability
Orlando Ribalta • RHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
0/1 W–L • 3.52 ERA • 18 Ks • 1.09 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 3.52 ERA (H 3.65 / A 3.38)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.98
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.2 IP · 23 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 27 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty bats4-seam · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 40 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 54 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 22% | 3.65 |
| Away | 1.69 | 2 | — | — | 17% | 3.38 |
| vs LHB | 1.12 | 1 | 14% | 30% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.29 | 2 | 13% | 18% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Orlando Ribalta carries a 1.21 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3).
PJ Poulin • LHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL3/0 W–L • 2.84 ERA • 21 Ks • 1.33 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 19% K • 2.84 ERA (H 4.11 / A 1.65)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.91hittability
PJ Poulin • LHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
3/0 W–L • 2.84 ERA • 21 Ks • 1.33 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 19% K • 2.84 ERA (H 4.11 / A 1.65)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.91
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.1 IP · 15 P relief0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/19 2.0 IP · 23 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 71 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 2 | — | — | 19% | 4.11 |
| Away | 1.10 | 2 | — | — | 12% | 1.65 |
| vs LHB | 1.14 | 2 | 12% | 24% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.12 | 2 | 15% | 23% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
PJ Poulin carries a 1.09 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 2 of 4 times (1.3 HR/9 to RHB).
Justin Lawrence • RHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL0/3 W–L • 8.04 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.89 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 20% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 8.04 ERA (H 6.14 / A 10.13)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.82hittability
Justin Lawrence • RHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
0/3 W–L • 8.04 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.89 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 20% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 8.04 ERA (H 6.14 / A 10.13)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.82
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/20 0.2 IP · 40 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 18 P2 HR
06/13 0.2 IP · 24 P2 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty bats4-seam · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 3 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 5 HR in 88 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 4 | — | — | 23% | 6.14 |
| Away | 2.70 | 4 | — | — | 28% | 10.13 |
| vs LHB | 1.34 | 3 | 20% | 21% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.70 | 5 | 15% | 26% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Justin Lawrence carries a 1.67 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (4 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 5 of 8 times (2.9 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 10.13 ERA on the road.
Brad Lord • RHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL5/1 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.31 ERA • 46 Ks • 1.10 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 22% K • 3.31 ERA (H 5.96 / A 1.24)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.75hittability
Brad Lord • RHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
5/1 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.31 ERA • 46 Ks • 1.10 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 22% K • 3.31 ERA (H 5.96 / A 1.24)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.75
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 0.2 IP · 30 P2 HR
06/20 3.0 IP · 36 P0 HR
06/15 3.0 IP · 48 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper · change
Most likely to capitalize: Basallo 22%, Henderson 14%, Cowser 12%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Alonso 29%, Mayo 24%, Alexander 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 4 HR in 124 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 2 HR in 130 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 5 | — | — | 20% | 5.96 |
| Away | 0.31 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 1.24 |
| vs LHB | 1.22 | 4 | 17% | 25% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.82 | 2 | 9% | 18% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Brad Lord carries a 0.96 HR/9 and gave up 2 in his last outing. Righties have taken him deep 2 of 6 times (0.6 HR/9 to RHB).
Clayton Beeter • RHP (WSH)WSH @ BAL | vs BAL2/1 W–L • 3.33 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.36 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 25% K • 3.33 ERA (H 2.19 / A 4.50)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.74hittability
Clayton Beeter • RHP (WSH)
WSH @ BAL | vs BAL
2/1 W–L • 3.33 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.36 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 25% K • 3.33 ERA (H 2.19 / A 4.50)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 0.2 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/23 0.1 IP · 9 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 6 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 61 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 52 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.73 | 1 | — | — | 31% | 2.19 |
| Away | 0.75 | 1 | — | — | 19% | 4.50 |
| vs LHB | 0.68 | 0 | 13% | 22% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.02 | 1 | 12% | 22% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Clayton Beeter carries a 0.64 HR/9.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Foster GriffinA+
Arms like Foster Griffin
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Brandon Williamson, Tyler Holton, Tyler Alexander, Ian Seymour, Max Fried, Anthony Kay.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 47 PA (2.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Mitchell ParkerA · ×1.19
Arms like Mitchell Parker
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): MacKenzie Gore, Jacob Latz, Brent Headrick, Reid Detmers, Eric Lauer, Yusei Kikuchi.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 35 PA (5.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Miles MikolasA · ×1.23
Arms like Miles Mikolas
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kyle Leahy, Jesse Scholtens, Mike Burrows, Jonathan Bowlan, Michael McGreevy, Ryan Feltner.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 28 PA (7.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Zak KentA · ×1.24
Arms like Zak Kent
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Grant Holmes, Tyler Glasnow, Kyle Bradish, Tyler Kinley, Luinder Avila, Bryan Abreu.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 20 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Orlando RibaltaA · ×1.24
Arms like Orlando Ribalta
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Osvaldo Bido, Jaden Hill, Luis Medina, Taylor Clarke, Jonathan Bowlan, Lucas Erceg.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 11 PA (9.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs PJ PoulinA · ×1.33
Arms like PJ Poulin
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Sean Manaea, Tyler Alexander, Hoby Milner, Jesús Luzardo, Ryan Weathers, Trevor Rogers.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 30 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Justin LawrenceA · ×1.28
Arms like Justin Lawrence
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Anthony Bender, Blake Treinen, Grant Anderson, Jake Bird, Dustin May, Kai-Wei Teng.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 26 PA (7.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Brad LordA · ×1.30
Arms like Brad Lord
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Luis Castillo, Bryan Woo, Casey Legumina, Chase Dollander, Osvaldo Bido, Rhett Lowder.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 26 PA (7.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Clayton BeeterA · ×1.28
Arms like Clayton Beeter
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bryan Abreu, Jordan Leasure, Kevin Ginkel, Chase Burns, Nick Mears, Hunter Bigge.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 15 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Max Muncy LLAD AWAY vs Randy Vásquez R · SD PROJwind 1.05park 0.94brl 18%recent 0% HOT29%MatchupB+249
Max Muncy L
LAD AWAY vs Randy Vásquez R · SD PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.94brl 18%recent 0% HOT
29%
MatchupB
+249
Max Muncy L
LAD AWAY vs Randy Vásquez R · SD PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.94brl 18%recent 0% HOT
29%
Matchup summary · vs Randy Vásquez
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Muncy has 12 of his 16 HRs off RHP, 47% hard-hit that side. 7 of his 16 HRs have come on the road, slugging .511 there. Muncy has been hot against arms like this lately. Wind is blowing out to his pull side.
Form Only 4 PA in the last ~3 weeks — too thin to read, so the rating stays near neutral.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
Big power vs RHP (17% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and wind blowing out to his pull side.
Big power vs RHP (17% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and wind blowing out to his pull side.
⚾ vs Vásquez (career): 1/4 AB | 0 HR | 0K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Vásquez throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 7131% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
CutterSt 7723% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
95
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
75/0
HR
3
12 BBE
CurveSt 7419% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
88
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
38/62
HR
0
8 BBE
ChangeSt 9514% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
SinkerSt 896% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
92
Barrel
13%
Air/Gnd
20/47
HR
1
15 BBE
SweeperSt 496% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Adam throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Change—45% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
Slider—30% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
102
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
1
7 BBE
4-Seam—20% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Sweeper—5% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Matsui throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—42% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
90
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
0
7 BBE
Slider—26% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Splitter—14% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sweeper—14% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—4% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Marinaccio throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—48% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Change—38% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
Cutter—12% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
95
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
75/0
HR
3
12 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Hart throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—38% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—23% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Slider—19% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
4-Seam—16% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
90
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
0
7 BBE
Splitter—4% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Peralta throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—52% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Slider—29% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Change—16% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/75
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Morgan throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—44% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Curve—37% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
88
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
38/62
HR
0
8 BBE
Sinker—14% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
92
Barrel
13%
Air/Gnd
20/47
HR
1
15 BBE
Slider—5% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
102
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Morejon throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—65% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Slider—30% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
4-Seam—5% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
90
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
0
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Miller throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—47% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Slider—47% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
102
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Change—6% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Randy Vásquez’s arsenal
4-Seam 31% usedbarrels 8% · allows 6% · 6 HR
Cutter 23% usedbarrels 25% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Curve 19% usedbarrels 12% · allows 5%
Change 14% usedbarrels 4% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Sinker 6% usedbarrels 13% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jason Adam’s arsenal
Change 45% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 30% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 20% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 6 HR
Sweeper 5% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Yuki Matsui’s arsenal
4-Seam 42% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0%
Slider 26% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14% · 1 HR
Splitter 14% usedbarrels — · allows —
Sweeper 14% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ron Marinaccio’s arsenal
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 8% · allows 18% · 6 HR
Change 38% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Cutter 12% usedbarrels 25% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kyle Hart’s arsenal
Sweeper 38% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Sinker 23% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 16% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Wandy Peralta’s arsenal
Sinker 52% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 29% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Change 16% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14%
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs David Morgan’s arsenal
4-Seam 44% usedbarrels 8% · allows 18% · 6 HR
Curve 37% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0%
Sinker 14% usedbarrels 13% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 5% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Adrian Morejon’s arsenal
Sinker 65% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 30% usedbarrels 0% · allows 12% · 1 HR
4-Seam 5% usedbarrels 14% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Mason Miller’s arsenal
4-Seam 47% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 6 HR
Slider 47% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Change 6% usedbarrels 4% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 5/18 | 6 | 17% | 33% | 0% | 91 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 2/4 | 2 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 89 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/6 | 2 | 0% | 75% | 0% | 89 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/22 | 1/4 | 1 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 98 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 1/3 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 89 | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 0/1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (460 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed71.5 mph
Swing length6.9 ft
Attack angle16.4°
contact
swing timing
Early28%
On-time59%
Late12%
miss profile
Over17%
Under17%
Tied-up7%
Centered64%
Flailed29%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 80 PA
vs RHP · 14 HR in 246 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME9 HR / 119 PA · 7.6%
Home · .505 SLG
Away AWAY7 HR / 163 PA · 4.3%
Away · .511 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 27% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.80 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Randy Vásquez • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD6/5 W–L (Tied–29th) • 4.17 ERA • 59 Ks • 1.40 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 25% FB • 19% K • 4.17 ERA (H 4.99 / A 3.32)▬ Holding steady1.10hittability
Randy Vásquez • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
6/5 W–L (Tied–29th) • 4.17 ERA • 59 Ks • 1.40 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 25% FB • 19% K • 4.17 ERA (H 4.99 / A 3.32)
▬ Holding steady
1.10
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/19 3.1 IP · 72 P0 HR
06/13 5.0 IP · 100 P1 HR
06/07 4.0 IP · 75 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty batscurve · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 5 HR in 221 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 8 HR in 159 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:15
spin 12:03
spin 1:19
spin 8:46
spin 2:14
spin 8:55
spin 1:15
spin 12:03
spin 1:19
spin 8:46
spin 2:14
spin 8:55
spin 1:15
spin 12:03
spin 1:19
spin 8:46
spin 2:14
spin 8:55
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 8 | — | — | 21% | 4.99 |
| Away | 0.71 | 3 | — | — | 14% | 3.32 |
| vs LHB | 0.95 | 5 | 17% | 24% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.68 | 8 | 17% | 25% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Randy Vásquez carries a 1.29 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 5 of 12 times (0.8 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Jason Adam • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD2/1 W–L • 2.45 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.19 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 27% FB • 18% K • 2.45 ERA (H 0.56 / A 4.73)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.93hittability
Jason Adam • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
2/1 W–L • 2.45 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.19 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 27% FB • 18% K • 2.45 ERA (H 0.56 / A 4.73)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.93
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 28 P1 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 11 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 57 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 4 HR in 66 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.56 | 1 | — | — | 16% | 0.56 |
| Away | 2.70 | 4 | — | — | 17% | 4.73 |
| vs LHB | 0.98 | 1 | 15% | 27% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.70 | 4 | 12% | 25% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jason Adam carries a 1.43 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 5 times (0.6 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Yuki Matsui • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD0/1 W–L • 1.67 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.07 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 25% FB • 26% K • 1.67 ERA (H 3.18 / A 0.57)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.85hittability
Yuki Matsui • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
0/1 W–L • 1.67 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.07 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 25% FB • 26% K • 1.67 ERA (H 3.18 / A 0.57)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.85
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 2.1 IP · 35 P1 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/19 1.2 IP · 34 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam · split
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Freeland 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 59 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 2 HR in 46 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 4 | — | — | 24% | 3.18 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 0.57 |
| vs LHB | 1.24 | 2 | 13% | 24% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.37 | 2 | 17% | 25% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Yuki Matsui carries a 1.36 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. Lefties have taken him deep 2 of 4 times (1.2 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Ron Marinaccio • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD1/0 W–L • 3.72 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.27 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 24% FB • 21% K • 3.72 ERA (H 3.70 / A 3.77)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.81hittability
Ron Marinaccio • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
1/0 W–L • 3.72 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.27 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 24% FB • 21% K • 3.72 ERA (H 3.70 / A 3.77)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.81
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/21 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/16 1.1 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/13 0.2 IP · 4 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam · change
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 84 PA
vs RHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 5 HR in 81 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 5 | — | — | 24% | 3.70 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 3.77 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 1 | 14% | 24% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.78 | 5 | 14% | 24% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Ron Marinaccio carries a 1.33 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 6 times (0.5 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Kyle Hart • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD0/1 W–L • 4.13 ERA • 18 Ks • 0.92 WHIP0.4 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 22% K • 4.13 ERA (H 7.15 / A 1.42)▬ Holding steady0.79hittability
Kyle Hart • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
0/1 W–L • 4.13 ERA • 18 Ks • 0.92 WHIP
0.4 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 22% K • 4.13 ERA (H 7.15 / A 1.42)
▬ Holding steady
0.79
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 45 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 10 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 56 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 77 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 23% | 7.15 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 15% | 1.42 |
| vs LHB | 0.71 | 0 | 11% | 22% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.61 | 0 | 13% | 21% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Kyle Hart carries a 0.37 HR/9. He owns a 7.15 ERA at home. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Wandy Peralta • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD1/0 W–L • 1.82 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.29 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 16% FB • 17% K • 1.82 ERA (H 1.45 / A 2.14)▬ Holding steady0.73hittability
Wandy Peralta • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
1/0 W–L • 1.82 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.29 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 16% FB • 17% K • 1.82 ERA (H 1.45 / A 2.14)
▬ Holding steady
0.73
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 15 P relief0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Freeland 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 88 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 82 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.48 | 1 | — | — | 12% | 1.45 |
| Away | 0.86 | 2 | — | — | 19% | 2.14 |
| vs LHB | 1.03 | 2 | 13% | 20% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.83 | 1 | 11% | 18% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Wandy Peralta carries a 0.81 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
David Morgan • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD2/0 W–L • 4.29 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.76 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 4.29 ERA (H 0.60 / A 13.50)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.66hittability
David Morgan • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
2/0 W–L • 4.29 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.76 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 4.29 ERA (H 0.60 / A 13.50)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.66
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/24 1.1 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscurve
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 48 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 64 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 28% | 0.60 |
| Away | 3.00 | 2 | — | — | 18% | 13.50 |
| vs LHB | 1.05 | 1 | 11% | 24% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.93 | 1 | 12% | 19% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
David Morgan carries a 0.86 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Adrian Morejon • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD6/1 W–L (Tied–29th) • 3.51 ERA • 49 Ks • 0.98 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 14% FB • 28% K • 3.51 ERA (H 2.59 / A 4.86)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.48hittability
Adrian Morejon • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
6/1 W–L (Tied–29th) • 3.51 ERA • 49 Ks • 0.98 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 14% FB • 28% K • 3.51 ERA (H 2.59 / A 4.86)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.48
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/20 2.0 IP · 35 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Freeland 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 68 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 1 HR in 101 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.37 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 2.59 |
| Away | 0.54 | 1 | — | — | 32% | 4.86 |
| vs LHB | 0.91 | 1 | 13% | 18% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.74 | 1 | 12% | 17% | 29% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Adrian Morejon carries a 0.65 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Mason Miller • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD2/1 W–L • 0.79 ERA • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 0.79 WHIP0.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 42% K • 0.79 ERA (H 1.35 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.47hittability
Mason Miller • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
2/1 W–L • 0.79 ERA • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 0.79 WHIP
0.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 42% K • 0.79 ERA (H 1.35 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.47
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 66 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 71 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 1.35 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 53% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.66 | 0 | 14% | 22% | 34% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.64 | 0 | 11% | 22% | 40% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Mason Miller carries a 0.37 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Randy VásquezB
Arms like Randy Vásquez
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cody Bolton, Yoendrys Gómez, Brandon Pfaadt, Chad Patrick, Tanner Bibee, Michael Lorenzen.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 39 PA (5.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jason AdamA · ×1.28
Arms like Jason Adam
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Max Meyer, Rhett Lowder, Dennis Santana, Davis Martin, Shaun Anderson, Bryce Elder.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 17 PA (11.8% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Yuki MatsuiA · ×1.27
Arms like Yuki Matsui
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Shota Imanaga, Kris Bubic, Alex Vesia, Jack Dreyer, Brent Headrick, Erik Sabrowski.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ron MarinaccioA · ×1.28
Arms like Ron Marinaccio
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Connor Seabold, Connor Brogdon, Logan Henderson, AJ Blubaugh, Cole Sulser, Christian Scott.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 16 PA (12.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Kyle HartA · ×1.11
Arms like Kyle Hart
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Richard Lovelady, Tanner Banks, Tyler Alexander, Tyler Holton, Brant Hurter, Ryan Borucki.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 11 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Wandy PeraltaA · ×1.18
Arms like Wandy Peralta
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cristopher Sánchez, José A. Ferrer, Tim Mayza, Steven Matz, Brock Burke, Tarik Skubal.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 20 PA (5.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs David MorganA · ×1.24
Arms like David Morgan
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Spencer Miles, Braxton Ashcraft, Luis Medina, Mick Abel, Edward Cabrera, Chase Dollander.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 19 PA (5.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Adrian MorejonA · ×1.21
Arms like Adrian Morejon
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Gregory Soto, Erik Miller, Aaron Ashby, José A. Ferrer, Tim Mayza, John King.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 19 PA (5.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Mason MillerA · ×1.43
Arms like Mason Miller
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kevin Ginkel, Andrés Muñoz, Jordan Leasure, Hunter Bigge, Chase Burns, Michael Petersen.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 14 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Kazuma Okamoto RTOR HOME vs Cal Quantrill R · TOR PROJwind 1.04park 1.02brl 17%recent 14% HOT28%MatchupA++251
Kazuma Okamoto R
TOR HOME vs Cal Quantrill R · TOR PROJ
wind 1.04park 1.02brl 17%recent 14% HOT
28%
MatchupA+
+251
Kazuma Okamoto R
TOR HOME vs Cal Quantrill R · TOR PROJ
wind 1.04park 1.02brl 17%recent 14% HOT
28%
Matchup summary · vs Cal Quantrill
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Okamoto has 13 of his 18 HRs off RHP, 48% hard-hit that side. 9 of his 18 HRs have come at home, slugging .490 there. Okamoto has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .451 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 14% well-hit (lg 14%), 57% hard-hit · 1 HR in 12 PA. Recent contact quality is beating league — the rating catches the heat before the HR totals show it.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
He's vulnerable to righties (1.7 HR/9), the park favors RH power and big power vs RHP (17% barrels).
He's vulnerable to righties (1.7 HR/9), the park favors RH power and big power vs RHP (17% barrels).
🏟️ Homered here 6× at this park (since ’25)
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Quantrill throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 5929% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
24/52
HR
2
33 BBE
CutterSt 1819% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
94
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/40
HR
0
5 BBE
SplitterSt 3515% used
Whiff
43%
Contact
57%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
4-SeamSt 3914% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
25/28
HR
4
40 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
92
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
2
6 BBE
CurveSt 611% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
94
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
25/25
HR
1
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Quantrill throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 5929% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
24/52
HR
2
33 BBE
CutterSt 1819% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
94
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/40
HR
0
5 BBE
SplitterSt 3515% used
Whiff
43%
Contact
57%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
4-SeamSt 3914% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
25/28
HR
4
40 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
92
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
2
6 BBE
CurveSt 611% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
94
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
25/25
HR
1
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Winn throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—26% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
25/28
HR
4
40 BBE
Cutter—24% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
94
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/40
HR
0
5 BBE
Slider—22% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
92
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
2
6 BBE
Sinker—21% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
24/52
HR
2
33 BBE
Splitter—7% used
Whiff
43%
Contact
57%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Ross throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—37% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
24/52
HR
2
33 BBE
Slider—29% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
92
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
2
6 BBE
4-Seam—28% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
25/28
HR
4
40 BBE
Curve—4% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
94
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
25/25
HR
1
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Gray throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—42% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
25/28
HR
4
40 BBE
Change—34% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
0
7 BBE
Slider—25% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
92
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
2
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Alexander throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Change—29% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
79
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
50/50
HR
1
4 BBE
Cutter—24% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/25
HR
0
4 BBE
4-Seam—23% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
99
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
18/41
HR
2
17 BBE
Sinker—13% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/75
HR
0
4 BBE
Sweeper—11% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Junis throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—54% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
92
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
2
6 BBE
Sinker—31% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
24/52
HR
2
33 BBE
Change—9% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
0
7 BBE
4-Seam—6% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
25/28
HR
4
40 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Latz throws / Okamoto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Okamoto’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—49% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
99
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
18/41
HR
2
17 BBE
Change—28% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
79
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
50/50
HR
1
4 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/67
HR
0
6 BBE
Curve—10% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
80
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/60
HR
0
5 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cal Quantrill’s arsenal
Sinker 29% usedbarrels 9% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Cutter 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows 7%
Splitter 15% usedbarrels — · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 14% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 4 HR
Slider 13% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cal Quantrill’s arsenal
Sinker 29% usedbarrels 9% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Cutter 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows 7%
Splitter 15% usedbarrels — · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 14% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 4 HR
Slider 13% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cole Winn’s arsenal
4-Seam 26% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 4 HR
Cutter 24% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 22% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 2 HR
Sinker 21% usedbarrels 9% · allows 14% · 2 HR
Splitter 7% usedbarrels — · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Joe Ross’s arsenal
Sinker 37% usedbarrels 9% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Slider 29% usedbarrels 17% · allows 14% · 2 HR
4-Seam 28% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Peyton Gray’s arsenal
4-Seam 42% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 4 HR
Change 34% usedbarrels 0% · allows 10%
Slider 25% usedbarrels 17% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tyler Alexander’s arsenal
Change 29% usedbarrels 25% · allows 4% · 1 HR
Cutter 24% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
4-Seam 23% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 2 HR
Sinker 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sweeper 11% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jakob Junis’s arsenal
Slider 54% usedbarrels 17% · allows 5% · 2 HR
Sinker 31% usedbarrels 9% · allows 12% · 2 HR
Change 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
4-Seam 6% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Not enough arsenal data for this arm.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jacob Latz’s arsenal
4-Seam 49% usedbarrels 12% · allows 8% · 2 HR
Change 28% usedbarrels 25% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Curve 10% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 3 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 8/18 | 3 | 27% | 33% | 7% | 94 | 60% | 3 |
| 06/25 | 2/4 | 0 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 98 | 50% | 1 |
| 06/24 | 0/4 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 72 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 3/4 | 0 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 93 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 2/3 | 1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100 | — | 1 |
| 06/20 | 1/3 | 0 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 101 | 33% | 1 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (597 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed73.3 mph
Swing length7.9 ft
Attack angle14.8°
contact
swing timing
Early19%
On-time65%
Late16%
miss profile
Over18%
Under30%
Tied-up7%
Centered66%
Flailed27%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 86 PA
vs RHP · 14 HR in 261 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME9 HR / 170 PA · 5.3%
Home · .490 SLG
Away AWAY9 HR / 154 PA · 5.8%
Away · .444 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 27% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×1.14 → park fits his pull power.
Pitcher
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)▬ Holding steady1.20hittability
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)
▬ Holding steady
1.20
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 34 P1 HR
06/18 2.0 IP · 36 P relief1 HR
06/16 0.2 IP · 20 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 2 | — | — | 14% | 5.02 |
| Away | 1.06 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 2.65 |
| vs LHB | 0.86 | 1 | 15% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.61 | 4 | 12% | 21% | 14% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Cal Quantrill carries a 1.24 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (1.7 HR/9 to RHB). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)▬ Holding steady1.20hittability
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)
▬ Holding steady
1.20
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 34 P1 HR
06/18 2.0 IP · 36 P relief1 HR
06/16 0.2 IP · 20 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 2 | — | — | 14% | 5.02 |
| Away | 1.06 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 2.65 |
| vs LHB | 0.86 | 1 | 15% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.61 | 4 | 12% | 21% | 14% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Cal Quantrill carries a 1.24 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (1.7 HR/9 to RHB). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Cole Winn • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR2/2 W–L • 6.38 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.50 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 6.38 ERA (H 4.76 / A 7.82)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.01hittability
Cole Winn • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
2/2 W–L • 6.38 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.50 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 6.38 ERA (H 4.76 / A 7.82)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.01
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.2 IP · 15 P1 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 9 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 51 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.79 | 1 | — | — | 24% | 4.76 |
| Away | 2.13 | 3 | — | — | 23% | 7.82 |
| vs LHB | 0.74 | 0 | 15% | 23% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.61 | 4 | 16% | 24% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Cole Winn carries a 1.21 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. He owns a 7.82 ERA on the road. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Joe Ross • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR0/1 W–L • 8.71 ERA • 5 Ks • 1.74 WHIP1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 21% FB • 15% K • 8.71 ERA (H 13.50 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.96hittability
Joe Ross • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
0/1 W–L • 8.71 ERA • 5 Ks • 1.74 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 21% FB • 15% K • 8.71 ERA (H 13.50 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.96
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.2 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 21 P1 HR
06/16 2.0 IP · 28 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batsslider · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 31 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 2 HR in 33 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 2 | — | — | 9% | 13.50 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.21 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.53 | 2 | 16% | 20% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Joe Ross carries a 1.50 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Peyton Gray • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR2/0 W–L • 3.42 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.06 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.42 ERA (H 1.53 / A 7.27)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.90hittability
Peyton Gray • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
2/0 W–L • 3.42 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.06 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.42 ERA (H 1.53 / A 7.27)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.90
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 56 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 64 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.51 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 1.53 |
| Away | 2.08 | 2 | — | — | 20% | 7.27 |
| vs LHB | 0.99 | 1 | 13% | 20% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.20 | 2 | 14% | 25% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Peyton Gray carries a 1.04 HR/9. He owns a 7.27 ERA on the road. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Tyler Alexander • LHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR1/1 W–L • 2.78 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.39 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 21% FB • 18% K • 2.78 ERA (H 2.77 / A 2.79)▬ Holding steady0.87hittability
Tyler Alexander • LHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
1/1 W–L • 2.78 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.39 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 21% FB • 18% K • 2.78 ERA (H 2.77 / A 2.79)
▬ Holding steady
0.87
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 13 P relief0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/20 0.1 IP · 9 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Valenzuela 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 75 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 95 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.69 | 1 | — | — | 16% | 2.77 |
| Away | 0.47 | 1 | — | — | 20% | 2.79 |
| vs LHB | 0.87 | 1 | 11% | 22% | 15% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.77 | 1 | 9% | 21% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Tyler Alexander carries a 0.64 HR/9. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Jakob Junis • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR1/1 W–L • 2.14 ERA • 24 Ks • 0.92 WHIP0.5 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 2.14 ERA (H 1.80 / A 2.41)▬ Holding steady0.83hittability
Jakob Junis • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
1/1 W–L • 2.14 ERA • 24 Ks • 0.92 WHIP
0.5 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 2.14 ERA (H 1.80 / A 2.41)
▬ Holding steady
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/22 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 66 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 75 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.60 | 1 | — | — | 13% | 1.80 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 22% | 2.41 |
| vs LHB | 0.92 | 1 | 12% | 24% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.62 | 0 | 13% | 24% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jakob Junis carries a 0.55 HR/9. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Robby Ahlstrom • LHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR2/0 W–L • 0.96 ERA • 6 Ks • 0.96 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 19% FB • 21% K • 0.96 ERA (H 2.25 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.79hittability
Robby Ahlstrom • LHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
2/0 W–L • 0.96 ERA • 6 Ks • 0.96 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 19% FB • 21% K • 0.96 ERA (H 2.25 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.79
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 0.1 IP · 4 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 0 HR in 20 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 0 HR in 17 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 0% | 2.25 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 32% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.96 | 0 | 13% | 22% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 0 | 12% | 21% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Robby Ahlstrom carries a 0.75 HR/9. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Jacob Latz • LHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR1/1 W–L • 1.89 ERA • 40 Ks • 0.66 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 1.89 ERA (H 2.04 / A 1.77)▬ Holding steady0.78hittability
Jacob Latz • LHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
1/1 W–L • 1.89 ERA • 40 Ks • 0.66 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 1.89 ERA (H 2.04 / A 1.77)
▬ Holding steady
0.78
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.0 IP · 25 P1 HR
06/22 1.1 IP · 31 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Valenzuela 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 73 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 4 HR in 125 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.51 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 2.04 |
| Away | 0.89 | 2 | — | — | 31% | 1.77 |
| vs LHB | 1.13 | 2 | 12% | 22% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.21 | 4 | 13% | 25% | 28% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jacob Latz carries a 1.16 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. Righties have taken him deep 4 of 6 times (0.8 HR/9 to RHB). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Cal QuantrillA+
Arms like Cal Quantrill
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Taijuan Walker, Nick Martinez, Javier Assad, Tomoyuki Sugano, Chase Shugart, Chad Patrick.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 13 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Cal QuantrillA · ×1.10
Arms like Cal Quantrill
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Taijuan Walker, Nick Martinez, Javier Assad, Tomoyuki Sugano, Chase Shugart, Chad Patrick.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 13 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Cole WinnA · ×1.27
Arms like Cole Winn
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Zach Agnos, Randy Vásquez, Grant Holmes, Drew Rasmussen, Zack Wheeler, Cam Schlittler.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 19 PA (10.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Joe RossA · ×1.31
Arms like Joe Ross
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Lucas Erceg, Luis Medina, Bryan Woo, Luis Castillo, Miles Mikolas, Kumar Rocker.
Matchup vs Peyton GrayA · ×1.25
Arms like Peyton Gray
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cole Sulser, Connor Brogdon, Bryan Baker, Tanner Gordon, Bailey Ober, Max Scherzer.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 10 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tyler AlexanderB · ×1.02
Arms like Tyler Alexander
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tyler Holton, Anthony Kay, Brandon Williamson, Ian Seymour, Foster Griffin, Martín Pérez.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jakob JunisA · ×1.26
Arms like Jakob Junis
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bryce Elder, Taylor Clarke, Jake Woodford, Jaden Hill, Stephen Kolek, Alex Lange.
Matchup vs Robby AhlstromA · ×1.28
Matchup vs Jacob LatzA · ×1.34
Arms like Jacob Latz
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Carlos Rodón, Robbie Ray, Andrew Abbott, Reid Detmers, Shane McClanahan, MacKenzie Gore.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 17 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Hunter Goodman RCOL AWAY vs Mike Paredes SP? · MIN PROJwind 1.07park 1.00brl 22%recent 33% HOT28%MatchupC+255
Hunter Goodman R
COL AWAY vs Mike Paredes SP? · MIN PROJ
wind 1.07park 1.00brl 22%recent 33% HOT
28%
MatchupC
+255
Hunter Goodman R
COL AWAY vs Mike Paredes SP? · MIN PROJ
wind 1.07park 1.00brl 22%recent 33% HOT
28%
Matchup summary · vs Mike Paredes
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Goodman has 16 of his 21 HRs off RHP, 42% hard-hit that side. 14 of his 21 HRs have come on the road, slugging .604 there. Goodman has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .560 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 33% well-hit (lg 14%), 50% hard-hit · 1 HR in 10 PA. Recent contact quality is beating league — the rating catches the heat before the HR totals show it.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
Big power vs RHP (20% barrels), most of his pop comes on the road and hot against this kind of arsenal.
Big power vs RHP (20% barrels), most of his pop comes on the road and hot against this kind of arsenal.
🏟️ Homered here 1× at this park (since ’25)
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Gómez throws / Goodman hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Goodman’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—33% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
89
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
37/11
HR
1
19 BBE
4-Seam—33% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
45/23
HR
3
31 BBE
Sinker—24% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
95
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
5/40
HR
0
20 BBE
Cutter—7% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
84
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
15/62
HR
0
13 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Banda throws / Goodman hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Goodman’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—42% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/20
HR
1
5 BBE
4-Seam—33% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
96
Barrel
7%
Air/Gnd
43/7
HR
2
14 BBE
Sinker—17% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Change—8% used
Whiff
61%
Contact
39%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
9 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Rogers throws / Goodman hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Goodman’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—47% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Sweeper—44% used
Whiff
67%
Contact
33%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Cutter—9% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Adams throws / Goodman hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Goodman’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—26% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
84
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
15/62
HR
0
13 BBE
Slider—26% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
95
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
22/35
HR
6
23 BBE
Sinker—21% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
95
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
5/40
HR
0
20 BBE
4-Seam—21% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
45/23
HR
3
31 BBE
Change—5% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Morris throws / Goodman hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Goodman’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—41% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
45/23
HR
3
31 BBE
Sweeper—28% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
89
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
37/11
HR
1
19 BBE
Cutter—15% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
84
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
15/62
HR
0
13 BBE
Sinker—15% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
95
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
5/40
HR
0
20 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Orze throws / Goodman hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Goodman’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Splitter—46% used
Whiff
8%
Contact
92%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/83
HR
0
6 BBE
4-Seam—26% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
45/23
HR
3
31 BBE
Slider—25% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
95
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
22/35
HR
6
23 BBE
Curve—4% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
86
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
2
12 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Funderburk throws / Goodman hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Goodman’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—36% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—23% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Change—20% used
Whiff
61%
Contact
39%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
9 BBE
Sweeper—14% used
Whiff
67%
Contact
33%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Slider—7% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/20
HR
1
5 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Yoendrys Gómez’s arsenal
Sweeper 33% usedbarrels 5% · allows 6% · 1 HR
4-Seam 33% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Sinker 24% usedbarrels 0% · allows 7%
Cutter 7% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Anthony Banda’s arsenal
Slider 42% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 33% usedbarrels 7% · allows 5% · 2 HR
Sinker 17% usedbarrels 0% · allows 12% · 1 HR
Change 8% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Taylor Rogers’s arsenal
Sinker 47% usedbarrels 0% · allows 22% · 1 HR
Sweeper 44% usedbarrels — · allows 0% · 1 HR
Cutter 9% usedbarrels — · allows 14%
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Travis Adams’s arsenal
Cutter 26% usedbarrels 8% · allows —
Slider 26% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0% · 6 HR
Sinker 21% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
4-Seam 21% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Change 5% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Andrew Morris’s arsenal
4-Seam 41% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Sweeper 28% usedbarrels 5% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Cutter 15% usedbarrels 8% · allows —
Sinker 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Eric Orze’s arsenal
Splitter 46% usedbarrels 0% · allows 6%
4-Seam 26% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Slider 25% usedbarrels 4% · allows 9% · 6 HR
Curve 4% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kody Funderburk’s arsenal
Cutter 36% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Sinker 23% usedbarrels 0% · allows 9% · 1 HR
Change 20% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sweeper 14% usedbarrels — · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 7% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 30% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.86 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 2/17 | 8 | 56% | 11% | 0% | 91 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 0/4 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 94 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/4 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 87 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 1/4 | 1 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 94 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 0/1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 0/4 | 2 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 85 | 0% | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (580 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed75.2 mph
Swing length7.4 ft
Attack angle14.7°
contact
swing timing
Early33%
On-time52%
Late16%
miss profile
Over23%
Under30%
Tied-up6%
Centered58%
Flailed36%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 6 HR in 107 PA
vs RHP · 18 HR in 267 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
Starter unknown (TBD / no data) — scored vs a league-average pitcher; arsenal & zone are neutral.
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME7 HR / 152 PA · 4.6%
Home · .393 SLG
Away AWAY14 HR / 162 PA · 8.6%
Away · .604 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 30% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×0.86 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Yoendrys Gómez • RHP (MIN)COL @ MIN | vs COL0/0 W–L • 3.55 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.26 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 34% FB • 21% K • 3.55 ERA (H 4.30 / A 3.09)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.07hittability
Yoendrys Gómez • RHP (MIN)
COL @ MIN | vs COL
0/0 W–L • 3.55 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.26 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 34% FB • 21% K • 3.55 ERA (H 4.30 / A 3.09)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.07
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 7 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Castro 11%, Rumfield 8%, Julien 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Goodman 28%, Tovar 14%, Herget 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.9 HR/9 · 6 HR in 92 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 92 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 2 | — | — | 23% | 4.30 |
| Away | 1.16 | 3 | — | — | 20% | 3.09 |
| vs LHB | 1.89 | 6 | 15% | 29% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.56 | 0 | 13% | 31% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Yoendrys Gómez carries a 1.23 HR/9. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Anthony Banda • LHP (MIN)COL @ MIN | vs COL2/0 W–L • 4.09 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.24 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 4.09 ERA (H 6.28 / A 2.41)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.02hittability
Anthony Banda • LHP (MIN)
COL @ MIN | vs COL
2/0 W–L • 4.09 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.24 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 4.09 ERA (H 6.28 / A 2.41)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.02
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Rumfield 8%, Julien 7%, McCarthy 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Goodman 28%, Tovar 14%, Castro 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 66 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 88 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.63 | 1 | — | — | 21% | 6.28 |
| Away | 0.48 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 2.41 |
| vs LHB | 0.92 | 1 | 13% | 21% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.80 | 1 | 13% | 26% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Anthony Banda carries a 0.69 HR/9. He owns a 6.28 ERA at home. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Taylor Rogers • LHP (MIN)COL @ MIN | vs COL3/3 W–L • 6.30 ERA • 25 Ks • 1.70 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 28% FB • 19% K • 6.30 ERA (H 6.11 / A 6.57)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.00hittability
Taylor Rogers • LHP (MIN)
COL @ MIN | vs COL
3/3 W–L • 6.30 ERA • 25 Ks • 1.70 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 28% FB • 19% K • 6.30 ERA (H 6.11 / A 6.57)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.00
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 1.0 IP · 38 P1 HR
06/22 1.1 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/18 0.1 IP · 15 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Rumfield 8%, Julien 7%, McCarthy 7%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Goodman 28%, Tovar 14%, Castro 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 72 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 3 HR in 77 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.51 | 1 | — | — | 13% | 6.11 |
| Away | 1.46 | 2 | — | — | 25% | 6.57 |
| vs LHB | 0.63 | 0 | 12% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.34 | 3 | 19% | 28% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Taylor Rogers carries a 0.89 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. He owns a 6.11 ERA at home. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Travis Adams • RHP (MIN)COL @ MIN | vs COL1/0 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.50 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 27% K • 6.75 ERA (H 4.22 / A 9.64)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.81hittability
Travis Adams • RHP (MIN)
COL @ MIN | vs COL
1/0 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.50 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 27% K • 6.75 ERA (H 4.22 / A 9.64)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.81
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 2.0 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/19 1.1 IP · 42 P0 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Castro 11%, Rumfield 8%, Julien 7%
vs righty bats4-seam · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Goodman 28%, Tovar 14%, Herget 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 53 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 3 HR in 42 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 2 | — | — | 24% | 4.22 |
| Away | 1.93 | 2 | — | — | 38% | 9.64 |
| vs LHB | 1.01 | 1 | 14% | 19% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.72 | 3 | 14% | 24% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Travis Adams carries a 1.45 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (2.6 HR/9 to RHB). MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Andrew Morris • RHP (MIN)COL @ MIN | vs COL2/2 W–L • 4.29 ERA • 38 Ks • 1.51 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 23% K • 4.29 ERA (H 4.64 / A 3.77)▬ Holding steady0.81hittability
Andrew Morris • RHP (MIN)
COL @ MIN | vs COL
2/2 W–L • 4.29 ERA • 38 Ks • 1.51 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 23% K • 4.29 ERA (H 4.64 / A 3.77)
▬ Holding steady
0.81
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 7 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Castro 11%, Rumfield 8%, Julien 7%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Goodman 28%, Tovar 14%, Herget 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 84 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 81 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.84 | 2 | — | — | 22% | 4.64 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 27% | 3.77 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 1 | 13% | 24% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.83 | 1 | 14% | 20% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Andrew Morris carries a 0.66 HR/9. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Eric Orze • RHP (MIN)COL @ MIN | vs COL2/2 W–L • 4.66 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.50 WHIP0.3 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 16% FB • 20% K • 4.66 ERA (H 5.68 / A 3.57)▬ Holding steady0.74hittability
Eric Orze • RHP (MIN)
COL @ MIN | vs COL
2/2 W–L • 4.66 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.50 WHIP
0.3 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 16% FB • 20% K • 4.66 ERA (H 5.68 / A 3.57)
▬ Holding steady
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 0.2 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 1.1 IP · 24 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.5 HR/9 · 0 HR in 101 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 84 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 18% | 5.68 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 21% | 3.57 |
| vs LHB | 0.53 | 0 | 13% | 18% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.59 | 0 | 13% | 18% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Eric Orze carries a 0.30 HR/9. He owns a 5.68 ERA at home. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Kody Funderburk • LHP (MIN)COL @ MIN | vs COL1/1 W–L • 3.44 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.47 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 17% K • 3.44 ERA (H 1.08 / A 5.40)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.74hittability
Kody Funderburk • LHP (MIN)
COL @ MIN | vs COL
1/1 W–L • 3.44 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.47 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 17% K • 3.44 ERA (H 1.08 / A 5.40)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/01 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
05/30 1.1 IP · 27 P0 HR
05/09 0.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Rumfield 8%, Julien 7%, McCarthy 7%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Goodman 28%, Tovar 14%, Castro 11%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 46 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 58 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 6% | 1.08 |
| Away | 0.90 | 1 | — | — | 17% | 5.40 |
| vs LHB | 0.77 | 0 | 12% | 21% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.97 | 1 | 13% | 23% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Kody Funderburk carries a 0.67 HR/9. MIN is a tough HR park for RH hitters (25th).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Yoendrys GómezA · ×1.18
Arms like Yoendrys Gómez
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Zack Wheeler, Mitch Keller, Cody Bolton, Brandon Pfaadt, Will Warren, Randy Vásquez.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 5 HR in 49 PA (10.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Anthony BandaA · ×1.21
Arms like Anthony Banda
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Matt Gage, Daniel Lynch IV, Erik Miller, Justin Wrobleski, Yusei Kikuchi, DL Hall.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 23 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Taylor RogersA · ×1.16
Arms like Taylor Rogers
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Justin Bruihl, Brant Hurter, Brooks Raley, JoJo Romero, Richard Lovelady, Kyle Hart.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 13 PA (7.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Travis AdamsA · ×1.16
Arms like Travis Adams
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Davis Martin, Tyler Wells, Cole Winn, Peter Lambert, Merrill Kelly, Cody Bolton.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 24 PA (12.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Andrew MorrisA · ×1.17
Arms like Andrew Morris
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Luis Severino, Christian Scott, Jameson Taillon, Yoendrys Gómez, Chase Shugart, Nick Pivetta.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 20 PA (15.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Eric OrzeA · ×1.18
Arms like Eric Orze
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kevin Gausman, Casey Mize, Trey Yesavage, Tyler Mahle, Keaton Winn, Andrew Painter.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 31 PA (6.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Kody FunderburkA · ×1.17
Arms like Kody Funderburk
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Anthony Kay, Ryan Borucki, Tyler Holton, Richard Lovelady, Noah Schultz, Max Fried.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 15 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Kody Clemens LMIN HOME vs Michael Lorenzen R · MIN PROJwind 1.07park 1.00brl 15%recent 11% HOT28%MatchupA++256
Kody Clemens L
MIN HOME vs Michael Lorenzen R · MIN PROJ
wind 1.07park 1.00brl 15%recent 11% HOT
28%
MatchupA+
+256
Kody Clemens L
MIN HOME vs Michael Lorenzen R · MIN PROJ
wind 1.07park 1.00brl 15%recent 11% HOT
28%
Matchup summary · vs Michael Lorenzen
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Clemens has 9 of his 11 HRs off RHP, 43% hard-hit that side. 5 of his 11 HRs have come at home, slugging .469 there. Clemens has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .475 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 11% well-hit (lg 14%), 67% hard-hit · 1 HR in 13 PA. Recent contact quality is beating league — the rating catches the heat before the HR totals show it.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
A homer-prone starter, he's vulnerable to lefties (2.4 HR/9) and his fastball is flattening.
A homer-prone starter, he's vulnerable to lefties (2.4 HR/9) and his fastball is flattening.
🏟️ Homered here 15× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Lorenzen (career): 1/2 AB | 1 HR | 1K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Lorenzen throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
ChangeSt 6026% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
93
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/50
HR
0
20 BBE
4-SeamSt 4025% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
CurveSt 3115% used
Whiff
34%
Contact
66%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
38/62
HR
0
8 BBE
CutterSt 4314% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
89
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
40/30
HR
0
10 BBE
SinkerSt 3911% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/30
HR
0
20 BBE
SliderSt 127% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
41/29
HR
2
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Agnos throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—29% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
Cutter—28% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
89
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
40/30
HR
0
10 BBE
Splitter—23% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
89
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
0
7 BBE
Sweeper—9% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
Slider—7% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
41/29
HR
2
17 BBE
Sinker—4% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/30
HR
0
20 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Senzatela throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—55% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
Curve—17% used
Whiff
34%
Contact
66%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
38/62
HR
0
8 BBE
Change—14% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
93
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/50
HR
0
20 BBE
Slider—7% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
41/29
HR
2
17 BBE
Cutter—6% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
89
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
40/30
HR
0
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Herget throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—29% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
Slider—23% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
41/29
HR
2
17 BBE
Sinker—23% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/30
HR
0
20 BBE
Change—13% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
93
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/50
HR
0
20 BBE
4-Seam—12% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Brebbia throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—47% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
Slider—35% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
41/29
HR
2
17 BBE
Change—13% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
93
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/50
HR
0
20 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Mejia throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—69% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
Sweeper—27% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Bernardino throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—57% used
Whiff
4%
Contact
96%
EV
90
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
12/76
HR
0
17 BBE
Curve—34% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Vodnik throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—54% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
Change—38% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
93
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
15/50
HR
0
20 BBE
Slider—6% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
41/29
HR
2
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Halvorsen throws / Clemens hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Clemens’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—61% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
94
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
34/29
HR
2
38 BBE
Splitter—28% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
89
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
0
7 BBE
Slider—11% used
Whiff
28%
Contact
72%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
41/29
HR
2
17 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Michael Lorenzen’s arsenal
Change 26% usedbarrels 5% · allows 7%
4-Seam 25% usedbarrels 5% · allows 19% · 2 HR
Curve 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8%
Cutter 14% usedbarrels 20% · allows 5%
Sinker 11% usedbarrels 5% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Zach Agnos’s arsenal
4-Seam 29% usedbarrels 5% · allows 6% · 2 HR
Cutter 28% usedbarrels 20% · allows 9%
Splitter 23% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0%
Sweeper 9% usedbarrels — · allows —
Slider 7% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Antonio Senzatela’s arsenal
4-Seam 55% usedbarrels 5% · allows 12% · 2 HR
Curve 17% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Change 14% usedbarrels 5% · allows 12%
Slider 7% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 2 HR
Cutter 6% usedbarrels 20% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jimmy Herget’s arsenal
Sweeper 29% usedbarrels — · allows 7%
Slider 23% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 2 HR
Sinker 23% usedbarrels 5% · allows —
Change 13% usedbarrels 5% · allows —
4-Seam 12% usedbarrels 5% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs John Brebbia’s arsenal
4-Seam 47% usedbarrels 5% · allows — · 2 HR
Slider 35% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 2 HR
Change 13% usedbarrels 5% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Juan Mejia’s arsenal
4-Seam 69% usedbarrels 5% · allows 6% · 2 HR
Sweeper 27% usedbarrels — · allows 8%
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brennan Bernardino’s arsenal
Sinker 57% usedbarrels 6% · allows 4%
Curve 34% usedbarrels — · allows 7%
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Victor Vodnik’s arsenal
4-Seam 54% usedbarrels 5% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Change 38% usedbarrels 5% · allows 8%
Slider 6% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Seth Halvorsen’s arsenal
4-Seam 61% usedbarrels 5% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Splitter 28% usedbarrels 14% · allows —
Slider 11% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.92 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 6% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 2/21 | 5 | 50% | 25% | 6% | 89 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 0/3 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 0/3 | 1 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 66 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 0/5 | 1 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 103 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/20 | 1/5 | 0 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 83 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/19 | 1/5 | 1 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 92 | 0% | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (485 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed71.7 mph
Swing length7.1 ft
Attack angle10.4°
contact
swing timing
Early16%
On-time70%
Late14%
miss profile
Over15%
Under23%
Tied-up5%
Centered74%
Flailed21%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 3 HR in 69 PA
vs RHP · 9 HR in 241 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME5 HR / 127 PA · 3.9%
Home · .469 SLG
Away AWAY6 HR / 139 PA · 4.3%
Away · .453 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 19% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.92 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Michael Lorenzen • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN2/9 W–L • 7.11 ERA • 65 Ks (Tied–79th) • 1.83 WHIP1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 7.11 ERA (H 8.20 / A 6.05)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.99hittability
Michael Lorenzen • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
2/9 W–L • 7.11 ERA • 65 Ks (Tied–79th) • 1.83 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 7.11 ERA (H 8.20 / A 6.05)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.99
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/21 5.1 IP · 90 P1 HR
06/15 5.0 IP · 89 P1 HR
06/10 5.0 IP · 84 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · curve
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsslider · change
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 11 HR in 202 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 6 HR in 202 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 2:03
spin 1:29
spin 1:34
spin 12:59
spin 6:55
spin 9:51
spin 7:58
spin 2:03
spin 1:29
spin 1:34
spin 12:59
spin 6:55
spin 9:51
spin 7:58
spin 2:03
spin 1:29
spin 1:34
spin 12:59
spin 6:55
spin 9:51
spin 7:58
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 6 | — | — | 16% | 8.20 |
| Away | 1.63 | 7 | — | — | 19% | 6.05 |
| vs LHB | 1.82 | 11 | 16% | 28% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.15 | 6 | 13% | 20% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Michael Lorenzen carries a 1.55 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 11 of 17 times (2.4 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 6.05 ERA on the road.
Zach Agnos • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/2 W–L • 7.21 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.64 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 28% FB • 17% K • 7.21 ERA (H 7.90 / A 6.33)▬ Holding steady1.22hittability
Zach Agnos • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/2 W–L • 7.21 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.64 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 28% FB • 17% K • 7.21 ERA (H 7.90 / A 6.33)
▬ Holding steady
1.22
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 3.0 IP · 41 P bulk0 HR
06/17 3.0 IP · 42 P bulk0 HR
06/12 2.2 IP · 60 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 4 HR in 106 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 5 HR in 144 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 6 | — | — | 12% | 7.90 |
| Away | 0.84 | 2 | — | — | 18% | 6.33 |
| vs LHB | 1.34 | 4 | 17% | 30% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.28 | 5 | 13% | 24% | 15% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Zach Agnos carries a 1.34 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 4 of 9 times (1.2 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 6.33 ERA on the road.
Antonio Senzatela • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN8/0 W–L (Tied–9th) • 2.13 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.02 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 28% FB • 21% K • 2.13 ERA (H 3.00 / A 1.27)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.98hittability
Antonio Senzatela • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
8/0 W–L (Tied–9th) • 2.13 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.02 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 28% FB • 21% K • 2.13 ERA (H 3.00 / A 1.27)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.98
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 2.0 IP · 33 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
06/15 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 84 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 2 HR in 103 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.43 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 3.00 |
| Away | 0.84 | 2 | — | — | 21% | 1.27 |
| vs LHB | 1.05 | 2 | 13% | 28% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.94 | 2 | 12% | 24% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Antonio Senzatela carries a 0.91 HR/9.
Jimmy Herget • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/1 W–L • 4.19 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.29 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 4.19 ERA (H 4.32 / A 4.09)▬ Holding steady0.95hittability
Jimmy Herget • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/1 W–L • 4.19 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.29 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 4.19 ERA (H 4.32 / A 4.09)
▬ Holding steady
0.95
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 1.1 IP · 20 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 2.3 HR/9 · 5 HR in 47 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 72 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 4.32 |
| Away | 1.64 | 2 | — | — | 24% | 4.09 |
| vs LHB | 2.26 | 5 | 16% | 27% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.88 | 1 | 15% | 23% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jimmy Herget carries a 1.68 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 5 of 6 times (2.2 HR/9 to LHB).
John Brebbia • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 1 Ks • 0.50 WHIP2.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.94hittability
John Brebbia • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 1 Ks • 0.50 WHIP
2.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.94
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/21 2.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 1 HR in 13 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 2 HR in 19 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.45 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.74 | 2 | 14% | 23% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
John Brebbia carries a 2.03 HR/9.
Juan Mejia • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN1/6 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.76 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 23% K • 6.75 ERA (H 6.98 / A 6.46)▬ Holding steady0.83hittability
Juan Mejia • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
1/6 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.76 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 23% K • 6.75 ERA (H 6.98 / A 6.46)
▬ Holding steady
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/21 1.2 IP · 32 P1 HR
06/15 0.1 IP · 20 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 3 HR in 83 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 94 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.93 | 2 | — | — | 23% | 6.98 |
| Away | 0.59 | 1 | — | — | 23% | 6.46 |
| vs LHB | 1.29 | 3 | 15% | 25% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.55 | 0 | 12% | 22% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Juan Mejia carries a 0.79 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). He owns a 6.46 ERA on the road.
Brennan Bernardino • LHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN2/3 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.40 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 19% FB • 19% K • 3.73 ERA (H 3.38 / A 4.11)▬ Holding steady0.82hittability
Brennan Bernardino • LHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
2/3 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.40 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 19% FB • 19% K • 3.73 ERA (H 3.38 / A 4.11)
▬ Holding steady
0.82
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Gray 13%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Caratini 16%, Lewis 16%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 80 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 80 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.13 | 2 | — | — | 20% | 3.38 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 4.11 |
| vs LHB | 0.84 | 1 | 16% | 21% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.84 | 1 | 11% | 21% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Brennan Bernardino carries a 0.67 HR/9.
Victor Vodnik • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN2/2 W–L • 7.06 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.98 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 19% FB • 18% K • 7.06 ERA (H 10.38 / A 4.85)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.80hittability
Victor Vodnik • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
2/2 W–L • 7.06 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.98 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 19% FB • 18% K • 7.06 ERA (H 10.38 / A 4.85)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.80
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/22 2.0 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/15 0.2 IP · 21 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Clemens 28%, Caratini 16%, Gray 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Buxton 29%, Lewis 16%, Kreidler 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 3 HR in 60 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 67 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.04 | 1 | — | — | 18% | 10.38 |
| Away | 0.69 | 1 | — | — | 13% | 4.85 |
| vs LHB | 1.50 | 3 | 12% | 20% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.91 | 1 | 10% | 22% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Victor Vodnik carries a 1.20 HR/9.
Seth Halvorsen • RHP (COL)COL @ MIN | vs MIN0/0 W–L • 3.31 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.78 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 3.31 ERA (H 1.23 / A 5.00)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.76hittability
Seth Halvorsen • RHP (COL)
COL @ MIN | vs MIN
0/0 W–L • 3.31 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.78 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 3.31 ERA (H 1.23 / A 5.00)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.76
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/15 0.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/13 0.2 IP · 25 P0 HR
06/12 0.2 IP · 22 P2 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 39 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 56 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 24% | 1.23 |
| Away | 2.00 | 2 | — | — | 17% | 5.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.13 | 1 | 19% | 23% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 1 | 14% | 22% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Seth Halvorsen carries a 0.96 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). He owns a 5.00 ERA on the road.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Michael LorenzenA+
Arms like Michael Lorenzen
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): JR Ritchie, Stephen Kolek, Michael McGreevy, Merrill Kelly, Brandon Pfaadt, Slade Cecconi.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 25 PA (12.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Zach AgnosB · ×1.06
Arms like Zach Agnos
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cole Winn, Luis Severino, Colin Rea, Zack Wheeler, Tomoyuki Sugano, Zack Kelly.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Antonio SenzatelaB · ×1.04
Arms like Antonio Senzatela
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryne Nelson, Spencer Strider, Freddy Peralta, Victor Vodnik, Max Scherzer, Didier Fuentes.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 22 PA (18.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jimmy HergetB · ×1.09
Arms like Jimmy Herget
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Anthony Bender, Grant Anderson, Justin Lawrence, Greg Weissert, Michael King, Rhett Lowder.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 18 PA (5.6% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs John BrebbiaA · ×1.10
Arms like John Brebbia
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Spencer Strider, Nick Mears, Jack Flaherty, Enyel De Los Santos, Kevin Ginkel, Max Scherzer.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 19 PA (5.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Juan MejiaC · ×0.96
Arms like Juan Mejia
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Matt Festa, Connor Phillips, Shohei Ohtani, Ryan Weiss, Kai-Wei Teng, Paul Sewald.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Brennan BernardinoB · ×1.07
Arms like Brennan Bernardino
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Joe Mantiply, Justin Bruihl, John King, Ranger Suarez, Aaron Bummer, Brant Hurter.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 23 PA (4.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Victor VodnikB · ×1.06
Arms like Victor Vodnik
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bubba Chandler, Juan Morillo, Luis Gil, Robert Suarez, Antonio Senzatela, Bryan Baker.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 21 PA (14.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Seth HalvorsenB · ×1.02
Arms like Seth Halvorsen
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryne Stanek, Didier Fuentes, Jeff Hoffman, Victor Vodnik, Michael Petersen, Joe Boyle.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 16 PA (25.0% · league ~3%).
Dominic Canzone LSEA AWAY vs Slade Cecconi R · CLE PROJwind 1.00park 0.96brl 20%recent 25% HOT28%MatchupA+258
Dominic Canzone L
SEA AWAY vs Slade Cecconi R · CLE PROJ
wind 1.00park 0.96brl 20%recent 25% HOT
28%
MatchupA
+258
Dominic Canzone L
SEA AWAY vs Slade Cecconi R · CLE PROJ
wind 1.00park 0.96brl 20%recent 25% HOT
28%
Matchup summary · vs Slade Cecconi
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Canzone has 11 of his 12 HRs off RHP, 47% hard-hit that side. 5 of his 12 HRs have come on the road, slugging .484 there. Canzone has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Only 7 PA in the last ~3 weeks — too thin to read, so the rating stays near neutral.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs RHP (19% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs RHP (19% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
🏟️ Homered here 1× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Cecconi (career): 1/2 AB | 0 HR | 0K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Cecconi throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 6443% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
21/47
HR
3
38 BBE
CurveSt 921% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
22/44
HR
1
9 BBE
CutterSt 1511% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
44/11
HR
1
9 BBE
SinkerSt 659% used
Whiff
6%
Contact
94%
EV
94
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
9/73
HR
1
11 BBE
Change—9% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
19/54
HR
0
26 BBE
SliderSt 225% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
38/0
HR
2
8 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Gaddis throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—43% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
94
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
38/0
HR
2
8 BBE
4-Seam—33% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
21/47
HR
3
38 BBE
Change—24% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
19/54
HR
0
26 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Festa throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—50% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
21/47
HR
3
38 BBE
Sweeper—34% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Cutter—16% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
44/11
HR
1
9 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Armstrong throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—39% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
21/47
HR
3
38 BBE
Cutter—31% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
44/11
HR
1
9 BBE
Sweeper—20% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—10% used
Whiff
6%
Contact
94%
EV
94
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
9/73
HR
1
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Herrin throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—31% used
Whiff
9%
Contact
91%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/71
HR
0
7 BBE
Curve—27% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Slider—26% used
Whiff
64%
Contact
36%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
4-Seam—16% used
Whiff
43%
Contact
57%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Sabrowski throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—59% used
Whiff
43%
Contact
57%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Slider—31% used
Whiff
64%
Contact
36%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Curve—10% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Holderman throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—35% used
Whiff
6%
Contact
94%
EV
94
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
9/73
HR
1
11 BBE
Sweeper—25% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Cutter—16% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
44/11
HR
1
9 BBE
4-Seam—11% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
21/47
HR
3
38 BBE
Curve—8% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
22/44
HR
1
9 BBE
Splitter—4% used
Whiff
47%
Contact
53%
EV
101
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/75
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Smith throws / Canzone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Canzone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—65% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
21/47
HR
3
38 BBE
Splitter—33% used
Whiff
47%
Contact
53%
EV
101
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/75
HR
0
4 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Slade Cecconi’s arsenal
4-Seam 43% usedbarrels 11% · allows 4% · 3 HR
Curve 21% usedbarrels 11% · allows 10% · 1 HR
Cutter 11% usedbarrels 11% · allows 4% · 1 HR
Sinker 9% usedbarrels 9% · allows 5% · 1 HR
Change 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Hunter Gaddis’s arsenal
Slider 43% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 2 HR
4-Seam 33% usedbarrels 11% · allows 17% · 3 HR
Change 24% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Matt Festa’s arsenal
4-Seam 50% usedbarrels 11% · allows 6% · 3 HR
Sweeper 34% usedbarrels — · allows 8%
Cutter 16% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Shawn Armstrong’s arsenal
4-Seam 39% usedbarrels 11% · allows 30% · 3 HR
Cutter 31% usedbarrels 11% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sweeper 20% usedbarrels — · allows —
Sinker 10% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tim Herrin’s arsenal
Sinker 31% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Curve 27% usedbarrels — · allows —
Slider 26% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
4-Seam 16% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Erik Sabrowski’s arsenal
4-Seam 59% usedbarrels — · allows 9%
Slider 31% usedbarrels — · allows —
Curve 10% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Colin Holderman’s arsenal
Sinker 35% usedbarrels 9% · allows 12% · 1 HR
Sweeper 25% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Cutter 16% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 11% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 3 HR
Curve 8% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cade Smith’s arsenal
4-Seam 65% usedbarrels 11% · allows 5% · 3 HR
Splitter 33% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 10% · EV 88 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 1/15 | 5 | 60% | 20% | 10% | 88 | 50% | 1 |
| 06/24 | 0/4 | 2 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 99 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/21 | 1/3 | 0 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 92 | 100% | 1 |
| 06/20 | 0/1 | 0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 110 | — | 0 |
| 06/19 | 0/4 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 92 | — | 0 |
| 06/18 | 0/3 | 1 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 57 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (361 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed74.7 mph
Swing length7.4 ft
contact
swing timing
Early26%
On-time62%
Late12%
miss profile
Over16%
Under20%
Tied-up4%
Centered64%
Flailed32%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 1 HR in 35 PA
vs RHP · 12 HR in 199 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME7 HR / 105 PA · 6.7%
Home · .615 SLG
Away AWAY5 HR / 100 PA · 5.0%
Away · .484 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 20% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.97 → neutral park fit.
Pitcher
Slade Cecconi • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA3/6 W–L • 4.48 ERA (55th) • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 1.40 WHIP (56th)1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 4.48 ERA (H 4.07 / A 4.65)▬ Holding steady0.90hittability
Slade Cecconi • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
3/6 W–L • 4.48 ERA (55th) • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 1.40 WHIP (56th)
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 4.48 ERA (H 4.07 / A 4.65)
▬ Holding steady
0.90
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/21 6.0 IP · 79 P1 HR
06/16 5.2 IP · 82 P1 HR
06/09 5.0 IP · 87 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper · curve
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 6 HR in 220 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 7 HR in 183 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:24
spin 12:18
spin 1:38
spin 7:15
spin 7:52
spin 1:24
spin 12:18
spin 1:38
spin 7:15
spin 7:52
spin 1:24
spin 12:18
spin 1:38
spin 7:15
spin 7:52
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 3 | — | — | 23% | 4.07 |
| Away | 1.35 | 9 | — | — | 16% | 4.65 |
| vs LHB | 1.08 | 6 | 13% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.38 | 7 | 13% | 22% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Slade Cecconi carries a 1.22 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (3 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 6 of 13 times (1.2 HR/9 to LHB).
Hunter Gaddis • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA1/2 W–L • 3.68 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.55 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 3.68 ERA (H 3.60 / A 3.75)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.95hittability
Hunter Gaddis • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
1/2 W–L • 3.68 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.55 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 3.68 ERA (H 3.60 / A 3.75)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.95
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.2 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/18 0.2 IP · 21 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 3 HR in 47 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 56 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 2 | — | — | 15% | 3.60 |
| Away | 0.75 | 1 | — | — | 18% | 3.75 |
| vs LHB | 1.66 | 3 | 18% | 23% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.71 | 0 | 15% | 24% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Hunter Gaddis carries a 1.14 HR/9.
Matt Festa • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA1/1 W–L • 4.22 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.22 WHIP1.6 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 4.22 ERA (H 5.68 / A 3.26)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.88hittability
Matt Festa • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
1/1 W–L • 4.22 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.22 WHIP
1.6 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 4.22 ERA (H 5.68 / A 3.26)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.88
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/20 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.2 IP · 7 P1 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 3 HR in 71 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 4 HR in 86 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 3 | — | — | 19% | 5.68 |
| Away | 1.40 | 3 | — | — | 30% | 3.26 |
| vs LHB | 1.39 | 3 | 15% | 25% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.50 | 4 | 16% | 23% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Matt Festa carries a 1.56 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 7 times (1.2 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 5.68 ERA at home.
Shawn Armstrong • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA2/1 W–L • 3.13 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.22 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 27% FB • 25% K • 3.13 ERA (H 5.40 / A 1.38)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.88hittability
Shawn Armstrong • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
2/1 W–L • 3.13 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.22 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 27% FB • 25% K • 3.13 ERA (H 5.40 / A 1.38)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.88
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.1 IP · 26 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/19 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 53 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 64 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.90 | 1 | — | — | 21% | 5.40 |
| Away | 0.69 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 1.38 |
| vs LHB | 1.30 | 2 | 15% | 27% | 27% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.93 | 1 | 10% | 24% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Shawn Armstrong carries a 1.05 HR/9. He owns a 5.40 ERA at home.
Tim Herrin • LHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA0/2 W–L • 3.04 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.39 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 20% K • 3.04 ERA (H 3.68 / A 2.25)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.84hittability
Tim Herrin • LHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
0/2 W–L • 3.04 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.39 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 20% K • 3.04 ERA (H 3.68 / A 2.25)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.84
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.1 IP · 6 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 16 P1 HR
06/18 0.2 IP · 12 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Naylor 10%, Emerson 9%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Raleigh 28%, Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 57 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 76 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.61 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 3.68 |
| Away | 1.50 | 2 | — | — | 19% | 2.25 |
| vs LHB | 0.98 | 1 | 14% | 19% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.11 | 2 | 13% | 25% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Tim Herrin carries a 0.97 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3).
Erik Sabrowski • LHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA2/1 W–L • 2.86 ERA • 41 Ks • 1.09 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 27% FB • 35% K • 2.86 ERA (H 1.93 / A 3.55)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.73hittability
Erik Sabrowski • LHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
2/1 W–L • 2.86 ERA • 41 Ks • 1.09 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 27% FB • 35% K • 2.86 ERA (H 1.93 / A 3.55)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.73
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.2 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 20 P0 HR
05/20 0.1 IP · 13 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Naylor 10%, Emerson 9%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Raleigh 28%, Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 37 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 63 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 1.93 |
| Away | 0.71 | 1 | — | — | 42% | 3.55 |
| vs LHB | 1.15 | 1 | 13% | 27% | 30% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.67 | 0 | 17% | 23% | 33% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Erik Sabrowski carries a 0.69 HR/9.
Colin Holderman • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 1.59 ERA • 32 Ks • 0.78 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 1.59 ERA (H 2.25 / A 1.10)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.73hittability
Colin Holderman • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 1.59 ERA • 32 Ks • 0.78 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 1.59 ERA (H 2.25 / A 1.10)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.73
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.1 IP · 3 P0 HR
06/23 0.1 IP · 6 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 9 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 65 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 65 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 2.25 |
| Away | 0.55 | 1 | — | — | 30% | 1.10 |
| vs LHB | 1.19 | 2 | 13% | 22% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.66 | 0 | 10% | 20% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Colin Holderman carries a 0.78 HR/9.
Cade Smith • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA2/1 W–L • 3.22 ERA • 55 Ks • 1.18 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 32% K • 3.22 ERA (H 2.08 / A 4.26)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.61hittability
Cade Smith • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
2/1 W–L • 3.22 ERA • 55 Ks • 1.18 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 32% K • 3.22 ERA (H 2.08 / A 4.26)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.61
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.2 IP · 28 P2 HR
06/22 1.2 IP · 28 P0 HR
06/18 1.1 IP · 22 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 86 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 75 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 47% | 2.08 |
| Away | 1.42 | 3 | — | — | 28% | 4.26 |
| vs LHB | 1.04 | 2 | 12% | 25% | 33% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.87 | 1 | 16% | 24% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Cade Smith carries a 0.84 HR/9 and gave up 2 in his last outing.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Slade CecconiA
Arms like Slade Cecconi
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Mitch Keller, Osvaldo Bido, Michael Lorenzen, Colin Rea, Chris Paddack, Mick Abel.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 18 PA (16.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Hunter GaddisA · ×1.33
Arms like Hunter Gaddis
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Hunter Bigge, Gus Varland, Jordan Leasure, Enyel De Los Santos, Dennis Santana, Andrés Muñoz.
Matchup vs Matt FestaA · ×1.17
Arms like Matt Festa
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryan Weiss, Juan Mejia, Blake Treinen, Kai-Wei Teng, Yoendrys Gómez, Jack Perkins.
Matchup vs Shawn ArmstrongA · ×1.18
Arms like Shawn Armstrong
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Luis Severino, Chase Shugart, Cody Bolton, Yoendrys Gómez, Chad Patrick, Zack Kelly.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 26 PA (3.8% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tim HerrinA · ×1.31
Arms like Tim Herrin
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): David Peterson, Daniel Lynch IV, Nick Lodolo, Connelly Early, Justin Wrobleski, Yusei Kikuchi.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Erik SabrowskiA · ×1.34
Arms like Erik Sabrowski
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jack Dreyer, Alex Vesia, Cole Ragans, Hogan Harris, Mason Montgomery, Jacob Latz.
Matchup vs Colin HoldermanA · ×1.10
Arms like Colin Holderman
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Matt Svanson, Blake Treinen, Luis García, Eduard Bazardo, Justin Topa, Jonathan Loáisiga.
Matchup vs Cade SmithA · ×1.27
Arms like Cade Smith
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kyle Finnegan, Ryne Stanek, Didier Fuentes, Isaac Mattson, Christian Scott, Tony Santillan.
Cal Raleigh SSEA AWAY vs Slade Cecconi R · CLE PROJwind 1.00park 0.96brl 17%28%MatchupA+260
Cal Raleigh S
SEA AWAY vs Slade Cecconi R · CLE PROJ
wind 1.00park 0.96brl 17%
28%
MatchupA
+260
Cal Raleigh S
SEA AWAY vs Slade Cecconi R · CLE PROJ
wind 1.00park 0.96brl 17%
28%
Matchup summary · vs Slade Cecconi
Batter Summary ➖ Steady
Raleigh has 7 of his 8 HRs off RHP, 39% hard-hit that side. 4 of his 8 HRs have come on the road, slugging .313 there.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
He's vulnerable to righties (1.4 HR/9), his fastball is flattening and big power vs RHP (17% barrels).
He's vulnerable to righties (1.4 HR/9), his fastball is flattening and big power vs RHP (17% barrels).
⚾ vs Cecconi (career): 0/5 AB | 0 HR | 3K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Cecconi throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 6443% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
45/9
HR
2
22 BBE
CurveSt 921% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
70
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
14/57
HR
0
7 BBE
CutterSt 1511% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
60/10
HR
1
10 BBE
SinkerSt 659% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
97
Barrel
29%
Air/Gnd
43/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Change—9% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
86
Barrel
18%
Air/Gnd
53/24
HR
2
17 BBE
SliderSt 225% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
83
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
40/50
HR
0
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Gaddis throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—43% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
83
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
40/50
HR
0
10 BBE
4-Seam—33% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
45/9
HR
2
22 BBE
Change—24% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
86
Barrel
18%
Air/Gnd
53/24
HR
2
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Festa throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—50% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
45/9
HR
2
22 BBE
Sweeper—34% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Cutter—16% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
60/10
HR
1
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Armstrong throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—39% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
45/9
HR
2
22 BBE
Cutter—31% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
60/10
HR
1
10 BBE
Sweeper—20% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—10% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
97
Barrel
29%
Air/Gnd
43/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Herrin throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Curve—44% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
4-Seam—30% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
6/18
HR
0
17 BBE
Slider—18% used
Whiff
42%
Contact
58%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
75/0
HR
1
4 BBE
Sinker—8% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Sabrowski throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—70% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
6/18
HR
0
17 BBE
Curve—23% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
Slider—7% used
Whiff
42%
Contact
58%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
75/0
HR
1
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Holderman throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—35% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
97
Barrel
29%
Air/Gnd
43/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Sweeper—25% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Cutter—16% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
60/10
HR
1
10 BBE
4-Seam—11% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
45/9
HR
2
22 BBE
Curve—8% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
70
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
14/57
HR
0
7 BBE
Splitter—4% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
38/38
HR
0
8 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Smith throws / Raleigh hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Raleigh’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—65% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
45/9
HR
2
22 BBE
Splitter—33% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
38/38
HR
0
8 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Slade Cecconi’s arsenal
4-Seam 43% usedbarrels 14% · allows 4% · 2 HR
Curve 21% usedbarrels 0% · allows 10%
Cutter 11% usedbarrels 10% · allows 4% · 1 HR
Sinker 9% usedbarrels 29% · allows 5% · 1 HR
Change 9% usedbarrels 18% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Hunter Gaddis’s arsenal
Slider 43% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0%
4-Seam 33% usedbarrels 14% · allows 17% · 2 HR
Change 24% usedbarrels 18% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Matt Festa’s arsenal
4-Seam 50% usedbarrels 14% · allows 6% · 2 HR
Sweeper 34% usedbarrels — · allows 8%
Cutter 16% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Shawn Armstrong’s arsenal
4-Seam 39% usedbarrels 14% · allows 30% · 2 HR
Cutter 31% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sweeper 20% usedbarrels — · allows —
Sinker 10% usedbarrels 29% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tim Herrin’s arsenal
Curve 44% usedbarrels 0% · allows 12%
4-Seam 30% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 18% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sinker 8% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Erik Sabrowski’s arsenal
4-Seam 70% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Curve 23% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 7% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Colin Holderman’s arsenal
Sinker 35% usedbarrels 29% · allows 12% · 1 HR
Sweeper 25% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Cutter 16% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 11% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 2 HR
Curve 8% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cade Smith’s arsenal
4-Seam 65% usedbarrels 14% · allows 5% · 2 HR
Splitter 33% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 34% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.97 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 8% · EV 91 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 4/19 | 6 | 31% | 38% | 8% | 91 | 20% | 1 |
| 06/25 | 1/4 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 98 | — | 0 |
| 06/24 | 1/4 | 0 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 97 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/4 | 1 | 0% | 100% | 33% | 91 | 33% | 1 |
| 06/21 | 0/4 | 1 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 83 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/20 | 1/3 | 1 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 91 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (493 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed74.7 mph
Swing length7.8 ft
Attack angle17.1°
contact
swing timing
Early15%
On-time64%
Late20%
miss profile
Over18%
Under24%
Tied-up18%
Centered68%
Flailed14%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 1 HR in 78 PA
vs RHP · 8 HR in 176 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME4 HR / 111 PA · 3.6%
Home · .326 SLG
Away AWAY4 HR / 107 PA · 3.7%
Away · .313 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 34% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.97 → neutral park fit.
Pitcher
Slade Cecconi • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA3/6 W–L • 4.48 ERA (55th) • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 1.40 WHIP (56th)1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 4.48 ERA (H 4.07 / A 4.65)▬ Holding steady0.90hittability
Slade Cecconi • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
3/6 W–L • 4.48 ERA (55th) • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 1.40 WHIP (56th)
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 4.48 ERA (H 4.07 / A 4.65)
▬ Holding steady
0.90
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/21 6.0 IP · 79 P1 HR
06/16 5.2 IP · 82 P1 HR
06/09 5.0 IP · 87 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper · curve
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 6 HR in 220 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 7 HR in 183 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:24
spin 12:18
spin 1:38
spin 7:15
spin 7:52
spin 1:24
spin 12:18
spin 1:38
spin 7:15
spin 7:52
spin 1:24
spin 12:18
spin 1:38
spin 7:15
spin 7:52
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 3 | — | — | 23% | 4.07 |
| Away | 1.35 | 9 | — | — | 16% | 4.65 |
| vs LHB | 1.08 | 6 | 13% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.38 | 7 | 13% | 22% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Slade Cecconi carries a 1.22 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (3 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 7 of 13 times (1.4 HR/9 to RHB).
Hunter Gaddis • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA1/2 W–L • 3.68 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.55 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 3.68 ERA (H 3.60 / A 3.75)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.95hittability
Hunter Gaddis • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
1/2 W–L • 3.68 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.55 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 3.68 ERA (H 3.60 / A 3.75)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.95
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.2 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/18 0.2 IP · 21 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 3 HR in 47 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 56 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 2 | — | — | 15% | 3.60 |
| Away | 0.75 | 1 | — | — | 18% | 3.75 |
| vs LHB | 1.66 | 3 | 18% | 23% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.71 | 0 | 15% | 24% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Hunter Gaddis carries a 1.14 HR/9.
Matt Festa • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA1/1 W–L • 4.22 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.22 WHIP1.6 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 4.22 ERA (H 5.68 / A 3.26)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.88hittability
Matt Festa • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
1/1 W–L • 4.22 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.22 WHIP
1.6 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 4.22 ERA (H 5.68 / A 3.26)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.88
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/20 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.2 IP · 7 P1 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 3 HR in 71 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 4 HR in 86 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 3 | — | — | 19% | 5.68 |
| Away | 1.40 | 3 | — | — | 30% | 3.26 |
| vs LHB | 1.39 | 3 | 15% | 25% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.50 | 4 | 16% | 23% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Matt Festa carries a 1.56 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 4 of 7 times (2.1 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 5.68 ERA at home.
Shawn Armstrong • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA2/1 W–L • 3.13 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.22 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 27% FB • 25% K • 3.13 ERA (H 5.40 / A 1.38)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.88hittability
Shawn Armstrong • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
2/1 W–L • 3.13 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.22 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 27% FB • 25% K • 3.13 ERA (H 5.40 / A 1.38)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.88
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.1 IP · 26 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/19 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 53 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 64 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.90 | 1 | — | — | 21% | 5.40 |
| Away | 0.69 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 1.38 |
| vs LHB | 1.30 | 2 | 15% | 27% | 27% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.93 | 1 | 10% | 24% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Shawn Armstrong carries a 1.05 HR/9. He owns a 5.40 ERA at home.
Tim Herrin • LHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA0/2 W–L • 3.04 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.39 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 20% K • 3.04 ERA (H 3.68 / A 2.25)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.84hittability
Tim Herrin • LHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
0/2 W–L • 3.04 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.39 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 20% K • 3.04 ERA (H 3.68 / A 2.25)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.84
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.1 IP · 6 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 16 P1 HR
06/18 0.2 IP · 12 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Naylor 10%, Emerson 9%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Raleigh 28%, Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 57 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 76 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.61 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 3.68 |
| Away | 1.50 | 2 | — | — | 19% | 2.25 |
| vs LHB | 0.98 | 1 | 14% | 19% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.11 | 2 | 13% | 25% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Tim Herrin carries a 0.97 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3).
Erik Sabrowski • LHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA2/1 W–L • 2.86 ERA • 41 Ks • 1.09 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 27% FB • 35% K • 2.86 ERA (H 1.93 / A 3.55)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.73hittability
Erik Sabrowski • LHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
2/1 W–L • 2.86 ERA • 41 Ks • 1.09 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 27% FB • 35% K • 2.86 ERA (H 1.93 / A 3.55)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.73
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.2 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 20 P0 HR
05/20 0.1 IP · 13 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Naylor 10%, Emerson 9%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Raleigh 28%, Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 37 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 63 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 1.93 |
| Away | 0.71 | 1 | — | — | 42% | 3.55 |
| vs LHB | 1.15 | 1 | 13% | 27% | 30% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.67 | 0 | 17% | 23% | 33% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Erik Sabrowski carries a 0.69 HR/9.
Colin Holderman • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 1.59 ERA • 32 Ks • 0.78 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 1.59 ERA (H 2.25 / A 1.10)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.73hittability
Colin Holderman • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 1.59 ERA • 32 Ks • 0.78 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 1.59 ERA (H 2.25 / A 1.10)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.73
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.1 IP · 3 P0 HR
06/23 0.1 IP · 6 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 9 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 65 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 65 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 2.25 |
| Away | 0.55 | 1 | — | — | 30% | 1.10 |
| vs LHB | 1.19 | 2 | 13% | 22% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.66 | 0 | 10% | 20% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Colin Holderman carries a 0.78 HR/9.
Cade Smith • RHP (CLE)SEA @ CLE | vs SEA2/1 W–L • 3.22 ERA • 55 Ks • 1.18 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 32% K • 3.22 ERA (H 2.08 / A 4.26)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.61hittability
Cade Smith • RHP (CLE)
SEA @ CLE | vs SEA
2/1 W–L • 3.22 ERA • 55 Ks • 1.18 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 32% K • 3.22 ERA (H 2.08 / A 4.26)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.61
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.2 IP · 28 P2 HR
06/22 1.2 IP · 28 P0 HR
06/18 1.1 IP · 22 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Canzone 28%, Raleigh 28%, Naylor 10%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Rodríguez 25%, Arozarena 10%, Robles 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 86 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 75 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 47% | 2.08 |
| Away | 1.42 | 3 | — | — | 28% | 4.26 |
| vs LHB | 1.04 | 2 | 12% | 25% | 33% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.87 | 1 | 16% | 24% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Cade Smith carries a 0.84 HR/9 and gave up 2 in his last outing.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Slade CecconiA
Arms like Slade Cecconi
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Mitch Keller, Osvaldo Bido, Michael Lorenzen, Colin Rea, Chris Paddack, Mick Abel.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 31 PA (9.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Hunter GaddisA · ×1.12
Arms like Hunter Gaddis
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Hunter Bigge, Gus Varland, Jordan Leasure, Enyel De Los Santos, Dennis Santana, Andrés Muñoz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Matt FestaC · ×0.98
Arms like Matt Festa
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryan Weiss, Juan Mejia, Blake Treinen, Kai-Wei Teng, Yoendrys Gómez, Jack Perkins.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 18 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Shawn ArmstrongB · ×1.03
Arms like Shawn Armstrong
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Luis Severino, Chase Shugart, Cody Bolton, Yoendrys Gómez, Chad Patrick, Zack Kelly.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 40 PA (2.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tim HerrinA · ×1.12
Arms like Tim Herrin
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): David Peterson, Daniel Lynch IV, Nick Lodolo, Connelly Early, Justin Wrobleski, Yusei Kikuchi.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 19 PA (10.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Erik SabrowskiC · ×0.94
Arms like Erik Sabrowski
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jack Dreyer, Alex Vesia, Cole Ragans, Hogan Harris, Mason Montgomery, Jacob Latz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 36 PA (11.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Colin HoldermanA · ×1.19
Arms like Colin Holderman
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Matt Svanson, Blake Treinen, Luis García, Eduard Bazardo, Justin Topa, Jonathan Loáisiga.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Cade SmithC · ×0.91
Arms like Cade Smith
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kyle Finnegan, Ryne Stanek, Didier Fuentes, Isaac Mattson, Christian Scott, Tony Santillan.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 14 PA (14.3% · league ~3%).
Max Muncy LLAD AWAY vs Randy Vásquez R · SD PROJwind 1.05park 0.94brl 18%recent 0% HOT29%MatchupB+249
Max Muncy L
LAD AWAY vs Randy Vásquez R · SD PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.94brl 18%recent 0% HOT
29%
MatchupB
+249
Max Muncy L
LAD AWAY vs Randy Vásquez R · SD PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.94brl 18%recent 0% HOT
29%
Matchup summary · vs Randy Vásquez
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Muncy has 12 of his 16 HRs off RHP, 47% hard-hit that side. 7 of his 16 HRs have come on the road, slugging .511 there. Muncy has been hot against arms like this lately. Wind is blowing out to his pull side.
Form Only 4 PA in the last ~3 weeks — too thin to read, so the rating stays near neutral.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
Big power vs RHP (17% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and wind blowing out to his pull side.
Big power vs RHP (17% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and wind blowing out to his pull side.
⚾ vs Vásquez (career): 1/4 AB | 0 HR | 0K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Vásquez throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 7131% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
CutterSt 7723% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
95
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
75/0
HR
3
12 BBE
CurveSt 7419% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
88
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
38/62
HR
0
8 BBE
ChangeSt 9514% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
SinkerSt 896% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
92
Barrel
13%
Air/Gnd
20/47
HR
1
15 BBE
SweeperSt 496% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Adam throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Change—45% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
Slider—30% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
102
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
1
7 BBE
4-Seam—20% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Sweeper—5% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Matsui throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—42% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
90
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
0
7 BBE
Slider—26% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Splitter—14% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sweeper—14% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—4% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Marinaccio throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—48% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Change—38% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
Cutter—12% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
95
Barrel
25%
Air/Gnd
75/0
HR
3
12 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Hart throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—38% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—23% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Slider—19% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
4-Seam—16% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
90
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
0
7 BBE
Splitter—4% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Peralta throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—52% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Slider—29% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Change—16% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/75
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Morgan throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—44% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Curve—37% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
88
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
38/62
HR
0
8 BBE
Sinker—14% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
92
Barrel
13%
Air/Gnd
20/47
HR
1
15 BBE
Slider—5% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
102
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Morejon throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—65% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
1
9 BBE
Slider—30% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/33
HR
1
6 BBE
4-Seam—5% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
90
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
0
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Miller throws / Muncy hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Muncy’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—47% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
96
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
32/25
HR
6
40 BBE
Slider—47% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
102
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
29/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Change—6% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
8/62
HR
1
24 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Randy Vásquez’s arsenal
4-Seam 31% usedbarrels 8% · allows 6% · 6 HR
Cutter 23% usedbarrels 25% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Curve 19% usedbarrels 12% · allows 5%
Change 14% usedbarrels 4% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Sinker 6% usedbarrels 13% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jason Adam’s arsenal
Change 45% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 30% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 20% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 6 HR
Sweeper 5% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Yuki Matsui’s arsenal
4-Seam 42% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0%
Slider 26% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14% · 1 HR
Splitter 14% usedbarrels — · allows —
Sweeper 14% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ron Marinaccio’s arsenal
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 8% · allows 18% · 6 HR
Change 38% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Cutter 12% usedbarrels 25% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kyle Hart’s arsenal
Sweeper 38% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Sinker 23% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 16% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Wandy Peralta’s arsenal
Sinker 52% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 29% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Change 16% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14%
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs David Morgan’s arsenal
4-Seam 44% usedbarrels 8% · allows 18% · 6 HR
Curve 37% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0%
Sinker 14% usedbarrels 13% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 5% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Adrian Morejon’s arsenal
Sinker 65% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 30% usedbarrels 0% · allows 12% · 1 HR
4-Seam 5% usedbarrels 14% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Mason Miller’s arsenal
4-Seam 47% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 6 HR
Slider 47% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Change 6% usedbarrels 4% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 27% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.80 × wind out to RF (9 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 5/18 | 6 | 17% | 33% | 0% | 91 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 2/4 | 2 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 89 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/6 | 2 | 0% | 75% | 0% | 89 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/22 | 1/4 | 1 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 98 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 1/3 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 89 | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 0/1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (460 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed71.5 mph
Swing length6.9 ft
Attack angle16.4°
contact
swing timing
Early28%
On-time59%
Late12%
miss profile
Over17%
Under17%
Tied-up7%
Centered64%
Flailed29%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 80 PA
vs RHP · 14 HR in 246 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME9 HR / 119 PA · 7.6%
Home · .505 SLG
Away AWAY7 HR / 163 PA · 4.3%
Away · .511 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 27% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.80 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Randy Vásquez • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD6/5 W–L (Tied–29th) • 4.17 ERA • 59 Ks • 1.40 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 25% FB • 19% K • 4.17 ERA (H 4.99 / A 3.32)▬ Holding steady1.10hittability
Randy Vásquez • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
6/5 W–L (Tied–29th) • 4.17 ERA • 59 Ks • 1.40 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 25% FB • 19% K • 4.17 ERA (H 4.99 / A 3.32)
▬ Holding steady
1.10
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/19 3.1 IP · 72 P0 HR
06/13 5.0 IP · 100 P1 HR
06/07 4.0 IP · 75 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty batscurve · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 5 HR in 221 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 8 HR in 159 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:15
spin 12:03
spin 1:19
spin 8:46
spin 2:14
spin 8:55
spin 1:15
spin 12:03
spin 1:19
spin 8:46
spin 2:14
spin 8:55
spin 1:15
spin 12:03
spin 1:19
spin 8:46
spin 2:14
spin 8:55
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 8 | — | — | 21% | 4.99 |
| Away | 0.71 | 3 | — | — | 14% | 3.32 |
| vs LHB | 0.95 | 5 | 17% | 24% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.68 | 8 | 17% | 25% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Randy Vásquez carries a 1.29 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 5 of 12 times (0.8 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Jason Adam • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD2/1 W–L • 2.45 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.19 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 27% FB • 18% K • 2.45 ERA (H 0.56 / A 4.73)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.93hittability
Jason Adam • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
2/1 W–L • 2.45 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.19 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 27% FB • 18% K • 2.45 ERA (H 0.56 / A 4.73)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.93
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 28 P1 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 11 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 57 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 4 HR in 66 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.56 | 1 | — | — | 16% | 0.56 |
| Away | 2.70 | 4 | — | — | 17% | 4.73 |
| vs LHB | 0.98 | 1 | 15% | 27% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.70 | 4 | 12% | 25% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jason Adam carries a 1.43 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 5 times (0.6 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Yuki Matsui • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD0/1 W–L • 1.67 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.07 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 25% FB • 26% K • 1.67 ERA (H 3.18 / A 0.57)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.85hittability
Yuki Matsui • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
0/1 W–L • 1.67 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.07 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 25% FB • 26% K • 1.67 ERA (H 3.18 / A 0.57)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.85
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 2.1 IP · 35 P1 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/19 1.2 IP · 34 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam · split
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Freeland 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 59 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 2 HR in 46 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.18 | 4 | — | — | 24% | 3.18 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 0.57 |
| vs LHB | 1.24 | 2 | 13% | 24% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.37 | 2 | 17% | 25% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Yuki Matsui carries a 1.36 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. Lefties have taken him deep 2 of 4 times (1.2 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Ron Marinaccio • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD1/0 W–L • 3.72 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.27 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 24% FB • 21% K • 3.72 ERA (H 3.70 / A 3.77)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.81hittability
Ron Marinaccio • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
1/0 W–L • 3.72 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.27 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 24% FB • 21% K • 3.72 ERA (H 3.70 / A 3.77)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.81
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/21 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/16 1.1 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/13 0.2 IP · 4 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam · change
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 84 PA
vs RHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 5 HR in 81 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 5 | — | — | 24% | 3.70 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 3.77 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 1 | 14% | 24% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.78 | 5 | 14% | 24% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Ron Marinaccio carries a 1.33 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 6 times (0.5 HR/9 to LHB). SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Kyle Hart • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD0/1 W–L • 4.13 ERA • 18 Ks • 0.92 WHIP0.4 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 22% K • 4.13 ERA (H 7.15 / A 1.42)▬ Holding steady0.79hittability
Kyle Hart • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
0/1 W–L • 4.13 ERA • 18 Ks • 0.92 WHIP
0.4 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 22% K • 4.13 ERA (H 7.15 / A 1.42)
▬ Holding steady
0.79
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 45 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 10 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 56 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 77 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 23% | 7.15 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 15% | 1.42 |
| vs LHB | 0.71 | 0 | 11% | 22% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.61 | 0 | 13% | 21% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Kyle Hart carries a 0.37 HR/9. He owns a 7.15 ERA at home. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Wandy Peralta • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD1/0 W–L • 1.82 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.29 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 16% FB • 17% K • 1.82 ERA (H 1.45 / A 2.14)▬ Holding steady0.73hittability
Wandy Peralta • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
1/0 W–L • 1.82 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.29 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 16% FB • 17% K • 1.82 ERA (H 1.45 / A 2.14)
▬ Holding steady
0.73
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 15 P relief0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Freeland 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 88 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 82 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.48 | 1 | — | — | 12% | 1.45 |
| Away | 0.86 | 2 | — | — | 19% | 2.14 |
| vs LHB | 1.03 | 2 | 13% | 20% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.83 | 1 | 11% | 18% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Wandy Peralta carries a 0.81 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
David Morgan • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD2/0 W–L • 4.29 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.76 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 4.29 ERA (H 0.60 / A 13.50)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.66hittability
David Morgan • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
2/0 W–L • 4.29 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.76 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 4.29 ERA (H 0.60 / A 13.50)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.66
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/24 1.1 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscurve
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Call 4%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 48 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 64 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 28% | 0.60 |
| Away | 3.00 | 2 | — | — | 18% | 13.50 |
| vs LHB | 1.05 | 1 | 11% | 24% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.93 | 1 | 12% | 19% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
David Morgan carries a 0.86 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Adrian Morejon • LHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD6/1 W–L (Tied–29th) • 3.51 ERA • 49 Ks • 0.98 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 14% FB • 28% K • 3.51 ERA (H 2.59 / A 4.86)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.48hittability
Adrian Morejon • LHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
6/1 W–L (Tied–29th) • 3.51 ERA • 49 Ks • 0.98 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 14% FB • 28% K • 3.51 ERA (H 2.59 / A 4.86)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.48
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/20 2.0 IP · 35 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 29%, Freeman 25%, Rushing 21%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Pages 24%, Betts 13%, Freeland 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 68 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 1 HR in 101 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.37 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 2.59 |
| Away | 0.54 | 1 | — | — | 32% | 4.86 |
| vs LHB | 0.91 | 1 | 13% | 18% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.74 | 1 | 12% | 17% | 29% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Adrian Morejon carries a 0.65 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Mason Miller • RHP (SD)LAD @ SD | vs LAD2/1 W–L • 0.79 ERA • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 0.79 WHIP0.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 42% K • 0.79 ERA (H 1.35 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.47hittability
Mason Miller • RHP (SD)
LAD @ SD | vs LAD
2/1 W–L • 0.79 ERA • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 0.79 WHIP
0.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 42% K • 0.79 ERA (H 1.35 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.47
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 66 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 71 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 1.35 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 53% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.66 | 0 | 14% | 22% | 34% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.64 | 0 | 11% | 22% | 40% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Mason Miller carries a 0.37 HR/9. SD is a tough HR park for LH hitters (29th).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Randy VásquezB
Arms like Randy Vásquez
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cody Bolton, Yoendrys Gómez, Brandon Pfaadt, Chad Patrick, Tanner Bibee, Michael Lorenzen.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 39 PA (5.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jason AdamA · ×1.28
Arms like Jason Adam
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Max Meyer, Rhett Lowder, Dennis Santana, Davis Martin, Shaun Anderson, Bryce Elder.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 17 PA (11.8% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Yuki MatsuiA · ×1.27
Arms like Yuki Matsui
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Shota Imanaga, Kris Bubic, Alex Vesia, Jack Dreyer, Brent Headrick, Erik Sabrowski.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 10 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ron MarinaccioA · ×1.28
Arms like Ron Marinaccio
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Connor Seabold, Connor Brogdon, Logan Henderson, AJ Blubaugh, Cole Sulser, Christian Scott.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 16 PA (12.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Kyle HartA · ×1.11
Arms like Kyle Hart
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Richard Lovelady, Tanner Banks, Tyler Alexander, Tyler Holton, Brant Hurter, Ryan Borucki.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 11 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Wandy PeraltaA · ×1.18
Arms like Wandy Peralta
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cristopher Sánchez, José A. Ferrer, Tim Mayza, Steven Matz, Brock Burke, Tarik Skubal.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 20 PA (5.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs David MorganA · ×1.24
Arms like David Morgan
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Spencer Miles, Braxton Ashcraft, Luis Medina, Mick Abel, Edward Cabrera, Chase Dollander.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 19 PA (5.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Adrian MorejonA · ×1.21
Arms like Adrian Morejon
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Gregory Soto, Erik Miller, Aaron Ashby, José A. Ferrer, Tim Mayza, John King.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 19 PA (5.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Mason MillerA · ×1.43
Arms like Mason Miller
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kevin Ginkel, Andrés Muñoz, Jordan Leasure, Hunter Bigge, Chase Burns, Michael Petersen.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 14 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Kyle Stowers LMIA AWAY vs TBD SP? · STL PROJwind 1.02park 0.98brl 21%recent 20% HOT28%MatchupC+263
Kyle Stowers L
MIA AWAY vs TBD SP? · STL PROJ
wind 1.02park 0.98brl 21%recent 20% HOT
28%
MatchupC
+263
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 1 HR in 51 PA
vs RHP · 7 HR in 206 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
Starter unknown (TBD / no data) — scored vs a league-average pitcher; arsenal & zone are neutral.
matchup strength
supporting
Matchup
TBD SP unknown
Corbin Carroll LARI AWAY vs Cole Sulser R · TB PROJwind 1.05park 0.97brl 17%recent 12%27%MatchupA+265
Corbin Carroll L
ARI AWAY vs Cole Sulser R · TB PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.97brl 17%recent 12%
27%
MatchupA
+265
Corbin Carroll L
ARI AWAY vs Cole Sulser R · TB PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.97brl 17%recent 12%
27%
Matchup summary · vs Cole Sulser
Batter Summary 📉 Cooling off
Carroll has 10 of his 13 HRs off RHP, 46% hard-hit that side. 5 of his 13 HRs have come on the road, slugging .448 there. Wind is blowing out to his pull side.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .326 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 12% well-hit (lg 14%), 50% hard-hit · 0 HR in 10 PA. Recent contact quality has slipped below league — a real cool-down, not just bad luck.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
A homer-prone starter, big power vs RHP (16% barrels) and wind blowing out to his pull side.
A homer-prone starter, big power vs RHP (16% barrels) and wind blowing out to his pull side.
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Sulser throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 6144% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
41/37
HR
3
27 BBE
ChangeSt 1642% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
91
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
29/41
HR
2
17 BBE
CutterSt 3615% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
18/27
HR
1
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kimbrel throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—68% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
41/37
HR
3
27 BBE
Sweeper—14% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
87
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
0
7 BBE
Knuckle-Curve—13% used
Whiff
62%
Contact
38%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Change—4% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
91
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
29/41
HR
2
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Seymour throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Change—26% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
89
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/75
HR
0
4 BBE
4-Seam—21% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
94
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/50
HR
1
12 BBE
Sweeper—19% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
0
7 BBE
Sinker—19% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
87
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
23/46
HR
0
13 BBE
Slider—9% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/37
HR
1
19 BBE
Cutter—6% used
Whiff
50%
Contact
50%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Booser throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—47% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
0
7 BBE
4-Seam—41% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
94
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/50
HR
1
12 BBE
Cutter—12% used
Whiff
50%
Contact
50%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Legumina throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—54% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
41/37
HR
3
27 BBE
Change—20% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
91
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
29/41
HR
2
17 BBE
Sinker—13% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
95
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
16/47
HR
0
19 BBE
Sweeper—12% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
87
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
0
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Sulser throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 6144% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
41/37
HR
3
27 BBE
ChangeSt 1642% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
91
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
29/41
HR
2
17 BBE
CutterSt 3615% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
18/27
HR
1
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Baker throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—48% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
41/37
HR
3
27 BBE
Change—41% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
91
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
29/41
HR
2
17 BBE
Slider—11% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
95
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
1
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kelly throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—53% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
95
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
16/47
HR
0
19 BBE
Change—15% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
91
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
29/41
HR
2
17 BBE
4-Seam—13% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
95
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
41/37
HR
3
27 BBE
Cutter—13% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
18/27
HR
1
11 BBE
Sweeper—7% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
87
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
0
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Cleavinger throws / Carroll hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Carroll’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—48% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
87
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
23/46
HR
0
13 BBE
Sweeper—34% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
0
7 BBE
Slider—15% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/37
HR
1
19 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cole Sulser’s arsenal
4-Seam 44% usedbarrels 11% · allows 4% · 3 HR
Change 42% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Cutter 15% usedbarrels 9% · allows 8% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Craig Kimbrel’s arsenal
4-Seam 68% usedbarrels 11% · allows 5% · 3 HR
Sweeper 14% usedbarrels 14% · allows —
Knuckle-Curve 13% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ian Seymour’s arsenal
Change 26% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
4-Seam 21% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sweeper 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sinker 19% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0%
Slider 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows 12% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cam Booser’s arsenal
Sweeper 47% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
4-Seam 41% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Cutter 12% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Casey Legumina’s arsenal
4-Seam 54% usedbarrels 11% · allows 4% · 3 HR
Change 20% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Sinker 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Sweeper 12% usedbarrels 14% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cole Sulser’s arsenal
4-Seam 44% usedbarrels 11% · allows 4% · 3 HR
Change 42% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Cutter 15% usedbarrels 9% · allows 8% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Bryan Baker’s arsenal
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 11% · allows 8% · 3 HR
Change 41% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Slider 11% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kevin Kelly’s arsenal
Sinker 53% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14%
Change 15% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 2 HR
4-Seam 13% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 3 HR
Cutter 13% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 1 HR
Sweeper 7% usedbarrels 14% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Garrett Cleavinger’s arsenal
Sinker 48% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0%
Sweeper 34% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Slider 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.86 × wind out to RF (8 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.89 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 88 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 4/18 | 5 | 54% | 15% | 0% | 88 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 1/5 | 2 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 75 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 0/4 | 2 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 82 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 2/4 | 0 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 96 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/21 | 1/3 | 1 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 104 | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 0/2 | 0 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 86 | 0% | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (551 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed75.6 mph
Swing length7.5 ft
Attack angle12.0°
contact
swing timing
Early17%
On-time65%
Late18%
miss profile
Over13%
Under28%
Tied-up5%
Centered71%
Flailed24%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 3 HR in 113 PA
vs RHP · 11 HR in 237 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME8 HR / 164 PA · 4.9%
Home · .627 SLG
Away AWAY5 HR / 165 PA · 3.0%
Away · .448 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 23% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.86 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Cole Sulser • RHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI1/0 W–L • 5.40 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.55 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 5.40 ERA (H 5.17 / A 5.63)▬ Holding steady0.87hittability
Cole Sulser • RHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
1/0 W–L • 5.40 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.55 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 5.40 ERA (H 5.17 / A 5.63)
▬ Holding steady
0.87
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/20 2.0 IP · 25 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%, Marte 22%, Barrosa 6%
vs righty batscutter · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%, Jr. 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.5 HR/9 · 0 HR in 97 PA
vs RHB · 2.1 HR/9 · 6 HR in 73 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:04
spin 1:46
spin 11:59
spin 1:04
spin 1:46
spin 11:59
spin 1:04
spin 1:46
spin 11:59
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 2 | — | — | 26% | 5.17 |
| Away | 1.13 | 2 | — | — | 21% | 5.63 |
| vs LHB | 0.54 | 0 | 12% | 25% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 2.12 | 6 | 17% | 23% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Cole Sulser carries a 1.31 HR/9. He owns a 5.17 ERA at home.
Craig Kimbrel • RHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI0/2 W–L • 5.85 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.45 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 28% FB • 22% K • 5.85 ERA (H 7.04 / A 5.11)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.04hittability
Craig Kimbrel • RHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
0/2 W–L • 5.85 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.45 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 28% FB • 22% K • 5.85 ERA (H 7.04 / A 5.11)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.04
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/25 1.0 IP · 25 P1 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%, Marte 22%, Barrosa 6%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%, Jr. 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 3 HR in 54 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 50 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 2 | — | — | 30% | 7.04 |
| Away | 1.46 | 2 | — | — | 19% | 5.11 |
| vs LHB | 1.57 | 3 | 15% | 28% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.03 | 1 | 13% | 24% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Craig Kimbrel carries a 1.37 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (3.1 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 7.04 ERA at home.
Ian Seymour • LHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 4.32 ERA • 52 Ks • 1.14 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 30% FB • 25% K • 4.32 ERA (H 2.73 / A 7.41)▬ Holding steady0.98hittability
Ian Seymour • LHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 4.32 ERA • 52 Ks • 1.14 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 30% FB • 25% K • 4.32 ERA (H 2.73 / A 7.41)
▬ Holding steady
0.98
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 6.2 IP · 90 P bulk0 HR
06/20 5.0 IP · 81 P1 HR
06/14 3.1 IP · 72 P bulk1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Marte 22%, Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 5 HR in 94 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 2 HR in 139 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 4 | — | — | 25% | 2.73 |
| Away | 1.59 | 3 | — | — | 26% | 7.41 |
| vs LHB | 1.65 | 5 | 13% | 30% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.79 | 2 | 12% | 25% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Ian Seymour carries a 1.15 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 5 times (2.2 HR/9 to LHB).
Cam Booser • LHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI0/0 W–L • 1.00 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.00 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 23% FB • 25% K • 1.00 ERA (H 1.80 / A 0.00)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.91hittability
Cam Booser • LHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
0/0 W–L • 1.00 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.00 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 23% FB • 25% K • 1.00 ERA (H 1.80 / A 0.00)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.91
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/22 1.0 IP · 9 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 24 P1 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 7 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Marte 22%, Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 0 HR in 25 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 30 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 1 | — | — | 11% | 1.80 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.92 | 0 | 12% | 24% | 27% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.22 | 1 | 12% | 23% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Cam Booser carries a 0.96 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3).
Casey Legumina • RHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI2/1 W–L • 3.31 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.29 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 3.31 ERA (H 3.00 / A 3.86)▬ Holding steady0.88hittability
Casey Legumina • RHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
2/1 W–L • 3.31 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.29 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 3.31 ERA (H 3.00 / A 3.86)
▬ Holding steady
0.88
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.1 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/17 0.1 IP · 19 P relief0 HR
06/14 1.2 IP · 28 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%, Marte 22%, Barrosa 6%
vs righty batsslider · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%, Jr. 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 71 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 84 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.86 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 3.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 18% | 3.86 |
| vs LHB | 0.89 | 1 | 13% | 26% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.05 | 2 | 17% | 22% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Casey Legumina carries a 0.87 HR/9.
Cole Sulser • RHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI1/0 W–L • 5.40 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.55 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 5.40 ERA (H 5.17 / A 5.63)▬ Holding steady0.87hittability
Cole Sulser • RHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
1/0 W–L • 5.40 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.55 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 25% FB • 22% K • 5.40 ERA (H 5.17 / A 5.63)
▬ Holding steady
0.87
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/20 2.0 IP · 25 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%, Marte 22%, Barrosa 6%
vs righty batscutter · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%, Jr. 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.5 HR/9 · 0 HR in 97 PA
vs RHB · 2.1 HR/9 · 6 HR in 73 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:04
spin 1:46
spin 11:59
spin 1:04
spin 1:46
spin 11:59
spin 1:04
spin 1:46
spin 11:59
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 2 | — | — | 26% | 5.17 |
| Away | 1.13 | 2 | — | — | 21% | 5.63 |
| vs LHB | 0.54 | 0 | 12% | 25% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 2.12 | 6 | 17% | 23% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Cole Sulser carries a 1.31 HR/9. He owns a 5.17 ERA at home.
Bryan Baker • RHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI1/0 W–L • 2.01 ERA • 35 Ks • 0.89 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 18% FB • 25% K • 2.01 ERA (H 2.33 / A 1.50)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.80hittability
Bryan Baker • RHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
1/0 W–L • 2.01 ERA • 35 Ks • 0.89 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 18% FB • 25% K • 2.01 ERA (H 2.33 / A 1.50)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.80
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 17 P1 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%, Marte 22%, Barrosa 6%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%, Jr. 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 73 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 69 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.93 | 2 | — | — | 26% | 2.33 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 32% | 1.50 |
| vs LHB | 0.88 | 1 | 12% | 22% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.90 | 1 | 16% | 18% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Bryan Baker carries a 0.73 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing.
Kevin Kelly • RHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI4/3 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.52 ERA • 28 Ks • 0.90 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 16% FB • 19% K • 2.52 ERA (H 0.00 / A 5.40)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.77hittability
Kevin Kelly • RHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
4/3 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.52 ERA • 28 Ks • 0.90 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 16% FB • 19% K • 2.52 ERA (H 0.00 / A 5.40)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.77
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%, Marte 22%, Barrosa 6%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%, Jr. 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 67 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 85 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 20% | 0.00 |
| Away | 1.62 | 3 | — | — | 22% | 5.40 |
| vs LHB | 1.17 | 2 | 13% | 18% | 16% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.04 | 2 | 13% | 20% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Kevin Kelly carries a 1.06 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 2 of 4 times (0.6 HR/9 to LHB).
Garrett Cleavinger • LHP (TB)ARI @ TB | vs ARI2/2 W–L • 4.43 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.28 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 20% FB • 28% K • 4.43 ERA (H 2.79 / A 5.91)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.68hittability
Garrett Cleavinger • LHP (TB)
ARI @ TB | vs ARI
2/2 W–L • 4.43 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.28 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 20% FB • 28% K • 4.43 ERA (H 2.79 / A 5.91)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.68
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 9 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Carroll 27%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Marte 22%, Moreno 14%, Arenado 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 42 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 58 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 2 | — | — | 29% | 2.79 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 35% | 5.91 |
| vs LHB | 0.79 | 0 | 12% | 20% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.25 | 2 | 14% | 23% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Garrett Cleavinger carries a 0.93 HR/9.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Cole SulserA
Arms like Cole Sulser
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Connor Brogdon, Chris Paddack, Luke Weaver, Albert Suárez, Burch Smith, Paxton Schultz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 19 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Craig KimbrelA · ×1.16
Arms like Craig Kimbrel
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Joe Ryan, AJ Blubaugh, Tony Santillan, Didier Fuentes, Cade Smith, Isaac Mattson.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 27 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ian SeymourB · ×1.05
Arms like Ian Seymour
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jovani Morán, Eduardo Rodriguez, Tyler Alexander, Brandon Williamson, Martín Pérez, Parker Messick.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 22 PA (4.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Cam BooserA · ×1.19
Arms like Cam Booser
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Dietrich Enns, Bryan Hudson, Bryan King, Garrett Crochet, Jalen Beeks, Andrew Nardi.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 29 PA (6.9% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Casey LeguminaA · ×1.11
Arms like Casey Legumina
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bryan Woo, Will Warren, Grant Anderson, Emerson Hancock, Yoendrys Gómez, Mitch Keller.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 32 PA (12.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Cole SulserA · ×1.11
Arms like Cole Sulser
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Connor Brogdon, Chris Paddack, Luke Weaver, Albert Suárez, Burch Smith, Paxton Schultz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 19 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Bryan BakerB · ×1.09
Arms like Bryan Baker
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Luis Gil, Hunter Bigge, Luke Weaver, Jordan Leasure, Ryne Nelson, Enyel De Los Santos.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 23 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Kevin KellyB · ×1.04
Arms like Kevin Kelly
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cooper Criswell, Justin Topa, Logan Webb, Clay Holmes, Chris Bassitt, Landen Roupp.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 22 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Garrett CleavingerA · ×1.14
Arms like Garrett Cleavinger
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Gregory Soto, Erik Miller, Ryan Borucki, Adrian Morejon, Anthony Banda, Carlos Rodón.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 34 PA (5.9% · league ~3%).
William Contreras RMIL HOME vs David Peterson L · MIL PROJwind 1.00park 1.05brl 20%recent 57%27%MatchupC+266
William Contreras R
MIL HOME vs David Peterson L · MIL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.05brl 20%recent 57%
27%
MatchupC
+266
William Contreras R
MIL HOME vs David Peterson L · MIL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.05brl 20%recent 57%
27%
Matchup summary · vs David Peterson
Batter Summary ➖ Steady
Contreras has 5 of his 16 HRs off LHP, 43% hard-hit that side. 8 of his 16 HRs have come at home, slugging .549 there.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .652 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 57% well-hit (lg 14%), 43% hard-hit · 0 HR in 13 PA. Right around league — no real trend either way.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs LHP (20% barrels) and holds power in two-strike counts.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs LHP (20% barrels) and holds power in two-strike counts.
🏟️ Homered here 1× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Peterson (career): 2/9 AB | 0 HR | 1K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Peterson throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 726% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
101
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/30
HR
2
10 BBE
4-SeamSt 126% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
88
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
31/15
HR
1
13 BBE
ChangeSt 3018% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
92
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
23/62
HR
1
13 BBE
SliderSt 1316% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
CurveSt 1315% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Murray throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—39% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
28/34
HR
1
32 BBE
Sweeper—29% used
Whiff
47%
Contact
53%
EV
77
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
0
6 BBE
Sinker—28% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Thornton throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—33% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
28/34
HR
1
32 BBE
Sweeper—27% used
Whiff
47%
Contact
53%
EV
77
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
0
6 BBE
Cutter—25% used
Whiff
52%
Contact
48%
EV
90
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
25/38
HR
0
8 BBE
Sinker—10% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Webb throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—48% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
28/34
HR
1
32 BBE
Sweeper—26% used
Whiff
47%
Contact
53%
EV
77
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
0
6 BBE
Change—24% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
96
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/60
HR
0
5 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Thielbar throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—48% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
88
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
31/15
HR
1
13 BBE
Curve—37% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Slider—15% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Milner throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—28% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
101
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/30
HR
2
10 BBE
Change—28% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
92
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
23/62
HR
1
13 BBE
Sweeper—25% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
4-Seam—19% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
88
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
31/15
HR
1
13 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Roberts throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—47% used
Whiff
47%
Contact
53%
EV
77
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
0
6 BBE
Cutter—38% used
Whiff
52%
Contact
48%
EV
90
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
25/38
HR
0
8 BBE
Sinker—15% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Rolison throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—51% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
88
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
31/15
HR
1
13 BBE
Curve—35% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Slider—8% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Change—5% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
92
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
23/62
HR
1
13 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs David Peterson’s arsenal
Sinker 26% usedbarrels 20% · allows 2% · 2 HR
4-Seam 26% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Change 18% usedbarrels 15% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 16% usedbarrels — · allows 8%
Curve 15% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jayden Murray’s arsenal
4-Seam 39% usedbarrels 3% · allows 12% · 1 HR
Sweeper 29% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sinker 28% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Trent Thornton’s arsenal
4-Seam 33% usedbarrels 3% · allows 11% · 1 HR
Sweeper 27% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Cutter 25% usedbarrels 12% · allows —
Sinker 10% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jacob Webb’s arsenal
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 3% · allows 22% · 1 HR
Sweeper 26% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Change 24% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14%
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Caleb Thielbar’s arsenal
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 8% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Curve 37% usedbarrels — · allows —
Slider 15% usedbarrels — · allows 12%
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Hoby Milner’s arsenal
Sinker 28% usedbarrels 20% · allows 5% · 2 HR
Change 28% usedbarrels 15% · allows 10% · 1 HR
Sweeper 25% usedbarrels — · allows —
4-Seam 19% usedbarrels 8% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ethan Roberts’s arsenal
Sweeper 47% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8%
Cutter 38% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0%
Sinker 15% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ryan Rolison’s arsenal
4-Seam 51% usedbarrels 8% · allows 10% · 1 HR
Curve 35% usedbarrels — · allows 8%
Slider 8% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Change 5% usedbarrels 15% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 3/20 | 5 | 40% | 20% | 0% | 91 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/25 | 0/4 | 1 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 105 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 1/4 | 1 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 80 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/4 | 0 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 85 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 1/4 | 0 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 93 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 0/4 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 97 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (600 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed76.6 mph
Swing length7.9 ft
Attack angle11.2°
contact
swing timing
Early28%
On-time62%
Late10%
miss profile
Over17%
Under18%
Tied-up20%
Centered54%
Flailed26%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 90 PA
vs RHP · 13 HR in 262 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME8 HR / 156 PA · 5.1%
Home · .549 SLG
Away AWAY8 HR / 165 PA · 4.8%
Away · .479 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 26% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×1.09 → park fits his pull power.
Pitcher
David Peterson • LHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL3/6 W–L • 6.09 ERA • 63 Ks (Tied–90th) • 1.65 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 19% FB • 19% K • 6.09 ERA (H 7.15 / A 5.03)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.73hittability
David Peterson • LHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
3/6 W–L • 6.09 ERA • 63 Ks (Tied–90th) • 1.65 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 19% FB • 19% K • 6.09 ERA (H 7.15 / A 5.03)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.73
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/21 4.0 IP · 79 P1 HR
06/15 3.0 IP · 54 P bulk1 HR
06/10 3.2 IP · 63 P bulk2 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 3 HR in 123 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 3 HR in 231 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 10:49
spin 12:59
spin 10:53
spin 5:02
spin 10:06
spin 10:49
spin 12:59
spin 10:53
spin 5:02
spin 10:06
spin 10:49
spin 12:59
spin 10:53
spin 5:02
spin 10:06
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.79 | 3 | — | — | 19% | 7.15 |
| Away | 0.79 | 3 | — | — | 20% | 5.03 |
| vs LHB | 1.04 | 3 | 13% | 19% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.68 | 3 | 13% | 20% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
David Peterson carries a 0.73 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (4 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 3 of 6 times (0.6 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 5.03 ERA on the road.
Jayden Murray • RHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL0/0 W–L • 8.79 ERA • 10 Ks • 2.02 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 26% FB • 18% K • 8.79 ERA (H 7.71 / A 9.82)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.38hittability
Jayden Murray • RHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
0/0 W–L • 8.79 ERA • 10 Ks • 2.02 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 26% FB • 18% K • 8.79 ERA (H 7.71 / A 9.82)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.38
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 1.0 IP · 26 P1 HR
06/15 2.0 IP · 38 P1 HR
05/18 1.1 IP · 25 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 50 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 32 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 1 | — | — | 10% | 7.71 |
| Away | 1.23 | 1 | — | — | 19% | 9.82 |
| vs LHB | 1.33 | 2 | 14% | 24% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.20 | 1 | 12% | 25% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jayden Murray carries a 1.31 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). He owns a 9.82 ERA on the road.
Trent Thornton • RHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL2/2 W–L • 2.86 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.05 WHIP1.6 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 16% K • 2.86 ERA (H 4.50 / A 1.50)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.03hittability
Trent Thornton • RHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
2/2 W–L • 2.86 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.05 WHIP
1.6 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 21% FB • 16% K • 2.86 ERA (H 4.50 / A 1.50)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.03
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/25 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/24 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 13 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 3 HR in 37 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 45 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 2 | — | — | 7% | 4.50 |
| Away | 1.50 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 1.50 |
| vs LHB | 1.80 | 3 | 14% | 24% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.08 | 1 | 13% | 20% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Trent Thornton carries a 1.58 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 1 of 4 times (0.7 HR/9 to RHB).
Jacob Webb • RHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL2/2 W–L • 3.67 ERA • 40 Ks • 1.37 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 25% FB • 25% K • 3.67 ERA (H 2.84 / A 4.70)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.97hittability
Jacob Webb • RHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
2/2 W–L • 3.67 ERA • 40 Ks • 1.37 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 25% FB • 25% K • 3.67 ERA (H 2.84 / A 4.70)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.97
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/25 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
06/24 1.0 IP · 26 P0 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 27 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 4 HR in 98 PA
vs RHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 4 HR in 63 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 3 | — | — | 28% | 2.84 |
| Away | 1.76 | 3 | — | — | 26% | 4.70 |
| vs LHB | 1.40 | 4 | 13% | 26% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.74 | 4 | 16% | 23% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jacob Webb carries a 1.70 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 4 of 8 times (2.3 HR/9 to RHB).
Caleb Thielbar • LHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL2/2 W–L • 4.50 ERA • 27 Ks • 1.23 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 30% FB • 24% K • 4.50 ERA (H 7.82 / A 0.00)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.94hittability
Caleb Thielbar • LHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
2/2 W–L • 4.50 ERA • 27 Ks • 1.23 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 30% FB • 24% K • 4.50 ERA (H 7.82 / A 0.00)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.94
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/24 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
06/20 0.1 IP · 13 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 46 PA
vs RHB · 1.9 HR/9 · 5 HR in 68 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 5 | — | — | 26% | 7.82 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 34% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.07 | 1 | 14% | 24% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.94 | 5 | 15% | 31% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Caleb Thielbar carries a 1.73 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 5 of 6 times (2.8 HR/9 to RHB).
Hoby Milner • LHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL1/0 W–L • 3.53 ERA • 18 Ks • 1.21 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 20% FB • 16% K • 3.53 ERA (H 5.40 / A 1.89)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.94hittability
Hoby Milner • LHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
1/0 W–L • 3.53 ERA • 18 Ks • 1.21 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 20% FB • 16% K • 3.53 ERA (H 5.40 / A 1.89)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.94
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/25 0.0 IP · 13 P1 HR
06/24 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty batssweeper · change
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 3 HR in 85 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 2 | — | — | 11% | 5.40 |
| Away | 0.95 | 2 | — | — | 13% | 1.89 |
| vs LHB | 0.86 | 1 | 14% | 24% | 15% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.28 | 3 | 16% | 18% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Hoby Milner carries a 1.01 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (1.5 HR/9 to RHB).
Ethan Roberts • RHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL0/1 W–L • 3.28 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.22 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 20% FB • 18% K • 3.28 ERA (H 3.86 / A 2.77)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.92hittability
Ethan Roberts • RHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
0/1 W–L • 3.28 ERA • 17 Ks • 1.22 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 20% FB • 18% K • 3.28 ERA (H 3.86 / A 2.77)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.92
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/25 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/20 1.1 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty batssweeper · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 45 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 3 HR in 69 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 2 | — | — | 17% | 3.86 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 16% | 2.77 |
| vs LHB | 0.77 | 0 | 11% | 21% | 17% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.41 | 3 | 12% | 21% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Ethan Roberts carries a 1.07 HR/9.
Ryan Rolison • LHP (CHC)CHC @ MIL | vs MIL5/1 W–L (Tied–51st) • 1.82 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.11 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 23% K • 1.82 ERA (H 2.53 / A 1.42)▬ Holding steady0.88hittability
Ryan Rolison • LHP (CHC)
CHC @ MIL | vs MIL
5/1 W–L (Tied–51st) • 1.82 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.11 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 23% K • 1.82 ERA (H 2.53 / A 1.42)
▬ Holding steady
0.88
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 1 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Bauers 16%, Turang 8%, Yelich 7%
vs righty bats4-seam · curve
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Chourio 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 56 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 80 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.84 | 1 | — | — | 45% | 2.53 |
| Away | 0.95 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 1.42 |
| vs LHB | 0.71 | 0 | 11% | 24% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.55 | 4 | 15% | 22% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Ryan Rolison carries a 1.14 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 4 of 4 times (1.6 HR/9 to RHB).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs David PetersonC
Arms like David Peterson
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Daniel Lynch IV, Jose Quintana, Parker Messick, DL Hall, Connelly Early, Tim Herrin.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 15 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jayden MurrayB · ×1.00
Arms like Jayden Murray
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Zack Wheeler, Casey Legumina, Yohan Ramírez, Bryan Woo, Ryan Weiss, Yoendrys Gómez.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 28 PA (3.6% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Trent ThorntonB · ×1.07
Arms like Trent Thornton
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cody Bolton, Jameson Taillon, Drew Rasmussen, Justin Sterner, Yoendrys Gómez, Nick Pivetta.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 49 PA (4.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jacob WebbA · ×1.12
Arms like Jacob Webb
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): AJ Blubaugh, Logan Henderson, Connor Brogdon, Luke Weaver, Justin Sterner, Tanner Gordon.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 19 PA (5.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Caleb ThielbarA · ×1.14
Arms like Caleb Thielbar
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jack Dreyer, Cade Povich, Hogan Harris, Andrew Nardi, Mitchell Parker, MacKenzie Gore.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 16 PA (6.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Hoby MilnerA · ×1.14
Arms like Hoby Milner
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): PJ Poulin, Joe Mantiply, Evan Sisk, Justin Bruihl, Ryan Yarbrough, Aaron Bummer.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 11 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ethan RobertsB · ×1.05
Arms like Ethan Roberts
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Dustin May, Phil Maton, Justin Lawrence, Calvin Faucher, Zack Kelly, Anthony Bender.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 22 PA (4.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ryan RolisonA · ×1.12
Arms like Ryan Rolison
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): MacKenzie Gore, Mitchell Parker, Reid Detmers, Justin Wrobleski, Jacob Latz, Erik Sabrowski.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 13 PA (7.7% · league ~3%).
Juan Soto LNYM HOME vs Alan Rangel R · NYM PROJwind 1.00park 0.97brl 20%recent 29% HOT27%MatchupC+268
Juan Soto L
NYM HOME vs Alan Rangel R · NYM PROJ
wind 1.00park 0.97brl 20%recent 29% HOT
27%
MatchupC
+268
Juan Soto L
NYM HOME vs Alan Rangel R · NYM PROJ
wind 1.00park 0.97brl 20%recent 29% HOT
27%
Matchup summary · vs Alan Rangel
Batter Summary 📉 Cooling off
Soto has 13 of his 17 HRs off RHP, 48% hard-hit that side. 9 of his 17 HRs have come at home, slugging .664 there. Soto has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Only 9 PA in the last ~3 weeks — too thin to read, so the rating stays near neutral. The "HOT" chip is matchup-only — he still grades hot vs Rangel’s arsenal even while the overall bat cools.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
Big power vs RHP (20% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and holds power in two-strike counts.
Big power vs RHP (20% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and holds power in two-strike counts.
🏟️ Homered here 27× at this park (since ’25)
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Shugart throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—28% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
80
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/25
HR
0
4 BBE
Sweeper—25% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
95
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
1
6 BBE
4-Seam—21% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
97
Barrel
21%
Air/Gnd
45/36
HR
5
33 BBE
Change—16% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
14/64
HR
1
14 BBE
Sinker—9% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
99
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
11/47
HR
1
19 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Rangel throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 5748% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
97
Barrel
21%
Air/Gnd
45/36
HR
5
33 BBE
ChangeSt 3642% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
14/64
HR
1
14 BBE
CurveSt 37% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
90
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Johnson throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—54% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
97
Barrel
21%
Air/Gnd
45/36
HR
5
33 BBE
Slider—27% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
98
Barrel
22%
Air/Gnd
33/44
HR
1
9 BBE
Splitter—14% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/75
HR
0
4 BBE
Curve—6% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
90
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kerkering throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—48% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
95
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/17
HR
1
6 BBE
4-Seam—47% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
97
Barrel
21%
Air/Gnd
45/36
HR
5
33 BBE
Splitter—4% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/75
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Backhus throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—62% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
90
Barrel
7%
Air/Gnd
27/67
HR
0
15 BBE
Sweeper—38% used
Whiff
42%
Contact
58%
EV
84
Barrel
22%
Air/Gnd
33/44
HR
0
9 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Alvarado throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—67% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
90
Barrel
7%
Air/Gnd
27/67
HR
0
15 BBE
Cutter—32% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Mayza throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—68% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
90
Barrel
7%
Air/Gnd
27/67
HR
0
15 BBE
Slider—31% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
30/40
HR
1
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Bowlan throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—46% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
97
Barrel
21%
Air/Gnd
45/36
HR
5
33 BBE
Change—19% used
Whiff
5%
Contact
95%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
14/64
HR
1
14 BBE
Slider—18% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
98
Barrel
22%
Air/Gnd
33/44
HR
1
9 BBE
Curve—11% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
90
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
1
6 BBE
Sinker—5% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
99
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
11/47
HR
1
19 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Duran throws / Soto hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Soto’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—41% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
97
Barrel
21%
Air/Gnd
45/36
HR
5
33 BBE
Splitter—36% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
99
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/75
HR
0
4 BBE
Knuckle-Curve—20% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
🎯 Target
Not enough arsenal data for this arm.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Chase Shugart’s arsenal
Cutter 28% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sweeper 25% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 21% usedbarrels 21% · allows — · 5 HR
Change 16% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sinker 9% usedbarrels 5% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Alan Rangel’s arsenal
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 21% · allows 8% · 5 HR
Change 42% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Curve 7% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Seth Johnson’s arsenal
4-Seam 54% usedbarrels 21% · allows 9% · 5 HR
Slider 27% usedbarrels 22% · allows — · 1 HR
Splitter 14% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Curve 6% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Orion Kerkering’s arsenal
Sweeper 48% usedbarrels 17% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 47% usedbarrels 21% · allows 8% · 5 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kyle Backhus’s arsenal
Sinker 62% usedbarrels 7% · allows 8%
Sweeper 38% usedbarrels 22% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs José Alvarado’s arsenal
Sinker 67% usedbarrels 7% · allows 0%
Cutter 32% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tim Mayza’s arsenal
Sinker 68% usedbarrels 7% · allows 0%
Slider 31% usedbarrels 0% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jonathan Bowlan’s arsenal
4-Seam 46% usedbarrels 21% · allows 18% · 5 HR
Change 19% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 18% usedbarrels 22% · allows 17% · 1 HR
Curve 11% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Sinker 5% usedbarrels 5% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jhoan Duran’s arsenal
4-Seam 41% usedbarrels 21% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Splitter 36% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8%
Knuckle-Curve 20% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.04 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 96 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 5/15 | 1 | 57% | 14% | 0% | 96 | 100% | 2 |
| 06/25 | 1/3 | 0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 92 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 0/2 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 93 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 1/3 | 1 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 86 | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 1/3 | 0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100 | — | 0 |
| 06/18 | 2/4 | 0 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 100 | 100% | 2 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (378 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed72.2 mph
Swing length7.1 ft
Attack angle14.0°
contact
swing timing
Early13%
On-time76%
Late12%
miss profile
Over14%
Under17%
Tied-up3%
Centered80%
Flailed17%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 4 HR in 96 PA
vs RHP · 13 HR in 189 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME9 HR / 128 PA · 7.0%
Home · .664 SLG
Away AWAY8 HR / 136 PA · 5.9%
Away · .479 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 18% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×1.04 → neutral park fit.
Pitcher
Alan Rangel RHP
No stat profile (low sample).
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Alan Rangel: limited recent data to this side.
Chase Shugart • RHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM2/0 W–L • 3.25 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.16 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 3.25 ERA (H 2.84 / A 3.60)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.02hittability
Chase Shugart • RHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
2/0 W–L • 3.25 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.16 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 3.25 ERA (H 2.84 / A 3.60)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.02
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/25 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 12 P1 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Lindor 19%, Benge 13%
vs righty bats4-seam · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 3 HR in 64 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 3 | — | — | 35% | 2.84 |
| Away | 1.20 | 2 | — | — | 21% | 3.60 |
| vs LHB | 1.46 | 3 | 14% | 29% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.12 | 2 | 16% | 21% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Chase Shugart carries a 1.32 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 5 times (2.1 HR/9 to LHB).
Alan Rangel • RHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM0/0 W–L • 2.25 ERA • 9 Ks • 1.00 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 18% FB • 20% K • 2.25 ERA (A 2.25)▬ Holding steady0.90hittability
Alan Rangel • RHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
0/0 W–L • 2.25 ERA • 9 Ks • 1.00 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 18% FB • 20% K • 2.25 ERA (A 2.25)
▬ Holding steady
0.90
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 5.0 IP · 72 P1 HR
04/22 3.0 IP · 44 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Lindor 19%, Benge 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 42 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 1 HR in 27 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:26
spin 1:14
spin 11:24
spin 5:44
spin 12:26
spin 1:14
spin 11:24
spin 5:44
spin 12:26
spin 1:14
spin 11:24
spin 5:44
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 1.13 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 2.25 |
| vs LHB | 1.10 | 1 | 14% | 21% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.26 | 1 | 15% | 21% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Alan Rangel carries a 1.15 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing.
Seth Johnson • RHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM1/0 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 6 Ks • 1.65 WHIP1.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 6.75 ERA (H 7.36 / A 6.00)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.89hittability
Seth Johnson • RHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
1/0 W–L • 6.75 ERA • 6 Ks • 1.65 WHIP
1.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 19% K • 6.75 ERA (H 7.36 / A 6.00)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.89
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 17 P1 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Lindor 19%, Benge 13%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 2 HR in 26 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 30 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 21% | 7.36 |
| Away | 3.00 | 1 | — | — | 14% | 6.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.63 | 2 | 15% | 23% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.22 | 1 | 12% | 24% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Seth Johnson carries a 1.61 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). He owns a 6.00 ERA on the road.
Orion Kerkering • RHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM5/0 W–L (Tied–51st) • 2.93 ERA • 36 Ks • 1.21 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 28% FB • 25% K • 2.93 ERA (H 1.65 / A 4.40)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.83hittability
Orion Kerkering • RHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
5/0 W–L (Tied–51st) • 2.93 ERA • 36 Ks • 1.21 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 28% FB • 25% K • 2.93 ERA (H 1.65 / A 4.40)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/25 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 22 P1 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Lindor 19%, Benge 13%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 61 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 76 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.55 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 1.65 |
| Away | 1.26 | 2 | — | — | 27% | 4.40 |
| vs LHB | 1.22 | 2 | 14% | 26% | 27% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.86 | 1 | 11% | 26% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Orion Kerkering carries a 0.95 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3).
Kyle Backhus • LHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM0/0 W–L • 5.23 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.26 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 5.23 ERA (H 8.31 / A 3.00)▬ Holding steady0.83hittability
Kyle Backhus • LHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
0/0 W–L • 5.23 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.26 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 5.23 ERA (H 8.31 / A 3.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 0.2 IP · 7 P0 HR
04/25 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
04/24 1.0 IP · 7 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Benge 13%, Ewing 11%
vs righty batssweeper · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Lindor 19%, Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 0 HR in 26 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 2 HR in 36 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.15 | 2 | — | — | 24% | 8.31 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 22% | 3.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.91 | 0 | 13% | 23% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.49 | 2 | 13% | 22% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Kyle Backhus carries a 1.22 HR/9.
José Alvarado • LHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM3/2 W–L • 5.90 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.66 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 27% K • 5.90 ERA (H 9.00 / A 3.00)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.81hittability
José Alvarado • LHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
3/2 W–L • 5.90 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.66 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 27% K • 5.90 ERA (H 9.00 / A 3.00)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.81
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/24 1.0 IP · 26 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Benge 13%, Ewing 11%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Lindor 19%, Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 67 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 4 HR in 89 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 2 | — | — | 24% | 9.00 |
| Away | 0.60 | 1 | — | — | 33% | 3.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.91 | 1 | 12% | 20% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.47 | 4 | 15% | 26% | 28% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
José Alvarado carries a 1.21 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 5 times (0.8 HR/9 to LHB).
Tim Mayza • LHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM2/2 W–L • 3.06 ERA • 35 Ks • 0.99 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.06 ERA (H 2.91 / A 3.29)▬ Holding steady0.75hittability
Tim Mayza • LHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
2/2 W–L • 3.06 ERA • 35 Ks • 0.99 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.06 ERA (H 2.91 / A 3.29)
▬ Holding steady
0.75
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.0 IP · 12 P relief0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
06/17 2.0 IP · 31 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Benge 13%, Ewing 11%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Lindor 19%, Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 72 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 3 HR in 86 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.42 | 1 | — | — | 26% | 2.91 |
| Away | 1.98 | 3 | — | — | 24% | 3.29 |
| vs LHB | 0.88 | 1 | 10% | 19% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.27 | 3 | 11% | 26% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Tim Mayza carries a 1.03 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 4 times (0.5 HR/9 to LHB).
Jonathan Bowlan • RHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM2/0 W–L • 3.80 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.06 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 25% FB • 26% K • 3.80 ERA (H 3.18 / A 5.40)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.73hittability
Jonathan Bowlan • RHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
2/0 W–L • 3.80 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.06 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 25% FB • 26% K • 3.80 ERA (H 3.18 / A 5.40)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.73
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.1 IP · 12 P1 HR
06/23 0.1 IP · 5 P0 HR
06/21 0.1 IP · 4 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Soto 27%, Lindor 19%, Benge 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Alvarez 18%, Bichette 12%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 70 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 50 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.53 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 3.18 |
| Away | 1.35 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 5.40 |
| vs LHB | 1.15 | 2 | 12% | 28% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.03 | 1 | 14% | 20% | 28% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jonathan Bowlan carries a 1.04 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. He owns a 5.40 ERA on the road.
Jhoan Duran • RHP (PHI)PHI @ NYM | vs NYM1/3 W–L • 1.69 ERA • 43 Ks • 0.94 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 17% FB • 35% K • 1.69 ERA (H 1.72 / A 1.64)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.46hittability
Jhoan Duran • RHP (PHI)
PHI @ NYM | vs NYM
1/3 W–L • 1.69 ERA • 43 Ks • 0.94 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 17% FB • 35% K • 1.69 ERA (H 1.72 / A 1.64)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.46
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 63 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 51 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.57 | 1 | — | — | 49% | 1.72 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 1.64 |
| vs LHB | 0.94 | 1 | 16% | 20% | 30% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.74 | 0 | 14% | 20% | 33% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jhoan Duran carries a 0.63 HR/9.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Alan RangelC
Matchup vs Chase ShugartA · ×1.20
Arms like Chase Shugart
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Zack Kelly, Luis Severino, Jake Woodford, Paul Blackburn, Erick Fedde, John Schreiber.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 21 PA (4.8% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Alan RangelA · ×1.29
Arms like Alan Rangel
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bryan Baker, Simeon Woods Richardson, Tanner Gordon, Tyler Wells, Tobias Myers, Freddy Peralta.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 26 PA (11.5% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Seth JohnsonA · ×1.28
Arms like Seth Johnson
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Michael Petersen, Jordan Leasure, Jacob deGrom, Hunter Bigge, Nick Mears, Ryne Stanek.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 27 PA (7.4% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Orion KerkeringA · ×1.35
Arms like Orion Kerkering
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Yohan Ramírez, Anthony Nunez, Kai-Wei Teng, Griffin Jax, Jack Perkins, George Kirby.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 30 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Kyle BackhusA · ×1.17
Arms like Kyle Backhus
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Brant Hurter, Justin Bruihl, John King, Hoby Milner, Brennan Bernardino, Joe Mantiply.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 29 PA (10.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs José AlvaradoB · ×1.06
Arms like José Alvarado
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): José A. Ferrer, Tim Mayza, Aaron Ashby, Adrian Morejon, Steven Matz, Wandy Peralta.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 37 PA (2.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tim MayzaA · ×1.11
Arms like Tim Mayza
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Wandy Peralta, José A. Ferrer, Gregory Soto, Ryan Borucki, Steven Matz, Anthony Banda.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 39 PA (2.6% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jonathan BowlanA · ×1.30
Arms like Jonathan Bowlan
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jack Leiter, Will Vest, Luis Medina, Osvaldo Bido, Janson Junk, Nick Mears.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 26 PA (7.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jhoan DuranA · ×1.25
Arms like Jhoan Duran
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Paul Skenes, Louis Varland, Didier Fuentes, Shane Baz, Jack Perkins, Will Klein.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 36 PA (2.8% · league ~3%).
Willson Contreras RBOS HOME vs Gerrit Cole R · BOS PROJwind 1.06park 1.03brl 20%recent 57% HOT27%MatchupC+269
Willson Contreras R
BOS HOME vs Gerrit Cole R · BOS PROJ
wind 1.06park 1.03brl 20%recent 57% HOT
27%
MatchupC
+269
Willson Contreras R
BOS HOME vs Gerrit Cole R · BOS PROJ
wind 1.06park 1.03brl 20%recent 57% HOT
27%
Matchup summary · vs Gerrit Cole
Batter Summary ➖ Steady
Contreras has 11 of his 16 HRs off RHP, 43% hard-hit that side. 8 of his 16 HRs have come at home, slugging .549 there. Contreras has been hot against arms like this lately. Wind is blowing out to his pull side.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .652 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 57% well-hit (lg 14%), 43% hard-hit · 0 HR in 13 PA. Right around league — no real trend either way.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
A homer-prone starter, big power vs RHP (16% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
A homer-prone starter, big power vs RHP (16% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
🏟️ Homered here 6× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Cole (career): 0/3 AB | 0 HR | 1K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Cole throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 8258% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
28/34
HR
1
32 BBE
SliderSt 7530% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
89
Barrel
18%
Air/Gnd
24/41
HR
3
17 BBE
SinkerSt 8411% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Yarbrough throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—38% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Change—28% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
92
Barrel
15%
Air/Gnd
23/62
HR
1
13 BBE
4-Seam—14% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
88
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
31/15
HR
1
13 BBE
Sweeper—12% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—8% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
101
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/30
HR
2
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Headrick throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—68% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
88
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
31/15
HR
1
13 BBE
Slider—21% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Splitter—10% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Blackburn throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—47% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Cutter—23% used
Whiff
52%
Contact
48%
EV
90
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
25/38
HR
0
8 BBE
Sweeper—19% used
Whiff
47%
Contact
53%
EV
77
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/33
HR
0
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Hill throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—74% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
101
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/30
HR
2
10 BBE
4-Seam—19% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
88
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
31/15
HR
1
13 BBE
Slider—6% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Cruz throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Splitter—55% used
Whiff
50%
Contact
50%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
4-Seam—19% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
28/34
HR
1
32 BBE
Sinker—15% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Slider—11% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
89
Barrel
18%
Air/Gnd
24/41
HR
3
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Santos throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—70% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Change—19% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
96
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/60
HR
0
5 BBE
Slider—11% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
89
Barrel
18%
Air/Gnd
24/41
HR
3
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Doval throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—42% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
89
Barrel
18%
Air/Gnd
24/41
HR
3
17 BBE
Cutter—36% used
Whiff
52%
Contact
48%
EV
90
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
25/38
HR
0
8 BBE
Sinker—22% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
88
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
24/53
HR
4
45 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Bednar throws / Contreras hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Contreras’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—46% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
91
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
28/34
HR
1
32 BBE
Curve—35% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
Splitter—19% used
Whiff
50%
Contact
50%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Gerrit Cole’s arsenal
4-Seam 58% usedbarrels 3% · allows 17% · 1 HR
Slider 30% usedbarrels 18% · allows — · 3 HR
Sinker 11% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ryan Yarbrough’s arsenal
Cutter 38% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Change 28% usedbarrels 15% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 14% usedbarrels 8% · allows — · 1 HR
Sweeper 12% usedbarrels — · allows —
Sinker 8% usedbarrels 20% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brent Headrick’s arsenal
4-Seam 68% usedbarrels 8% · allows 2% · 1 HR
Slider 21% usedbarrels — · allows 10%
Splitter 10% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Paul Blackburn’s arsenal
Sinker 47% usedbarrels 11% · allows 6% · 4 HR
Cutter 23% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0%
Sweeper 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tim Hill’s arsenal
Sinker 74% usedbarrels 20% · allows 0% · 2 HR
4-Seam 19% usedbarrels 8% · allows — · 1 HR
Slider 6% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Fernando Cruz’s arsenal
Splitter 55% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
4-Seam 19% usedbarrels 3% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Sinker 15% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 4 HR
Slider 11% usedbarrels 18% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Yerry De los Santos’s arsenal
Sinker 70% usedbarrels 11% · allows 0% · 4 HR
Change 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Slider 11% usedbarrels 18% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Camilo Doval’s arsenal
Slider 42% usedbarrels 18% · allows 12% · 3 HR
Cutter 36% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0%
Sinker 22% usedbarrels 11% · allows 0% · 4 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs David Bednar’s arsenal
4-Seam 46% usedbarrels 3% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Curve 35% usedbarrels — · allows 14%
Splitter 19% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 26% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.82 × wind out to LF (10 mph) ×1.03 → net ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 91 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 3/20 | 5 | 40% | 20% | 0% | 91 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/25 | 0/4 | 1 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 105 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 1/4 | 1 | 0% | 67% | 0% | 80 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/4 | 0 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 85 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 1/4 | 0 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 93 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 0/4 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 97 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (600 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed76.6 mph
Swing length7.9 ft
Attack angle11.2°
contact
swing timing
Early28%
On-time62%
Late10%
miss profile
Over17%
Under18%
Tied-up20%
Centered54%
Flailed26%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 90 PA
vs RHP · 13 HR in 262 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME8 HR / 156 PA · 5.1%
Home · .549 SLG
Away AWAY8 HR / 165 PA · 4.8%
Away · .479 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 26% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×0.82 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Gerrit Cole • RHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS2/2 W–L • 3.62 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.18 WHIP1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 3.62 ERA (H 3.12 / A 4.20)▬ Holding steady1.13hittability
Gerrit Cole • RHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
2/2 W–L • 3.62 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.18 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 3.62 ERA (H 3.12 / A 4.20)
▬ Holding steady
1.13
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 4.1 IP · 89 P1 HR
06/16 6.0 IP · 90 P1 HR
06/09 4.0 IP · 83 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscurve · change
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Gasper 10%, Duran 4%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Wong 9%, Rafaela 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 4 HR in 97 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 2 HR in 42 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:14
spin 11:01
spin 1:55
spin 7:22
spin 1:23
spin 1:14
spin 11:01
spin 1:55
spin 7:22
spin 1:23
spin 1:14
spin 11:01
spin 1:55
spin 7:22
spin 1:23
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 4 | — | — | 15% | 3.12 |
| Away | 0.60 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 4.20 |
| vs LHB | 1.40 | 4 | 12% | 25% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.41 | 2 | 18% | 22% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Gerrit Cole carries a 1.51 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 2 of 5 times (0.9 HR/9 to RHB). BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Ryan Yarbrough • LHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS0/0 W–L • 3.90 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.13 WHIP0.5 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 27% FB • 19% K • 3.90 ERA (H 6.17 / A 2.45)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.94hittability
Ryan Yarbrough • LHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
0/0 W–L • 3.90 ERA • 23 Ks • 1.13 WHIP
0.5 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 27% FB • 19% K • 3.90 ERA (H 6.17 / A 2.45)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.94
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/25 0.2 IP · 9 P0 HR
06/22 2.0 IP · 31 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 29 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Duran 4%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Gasper 10%, Wong 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 60 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 98 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.77 | 1 | — | — | 24% | 6.17 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 2.45 |
| vs LHB | 0.69 | 0 | 9% | 26% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.76 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Ryan Yarbrough carries a 0.51 HR/9. BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Brent Headrick • LHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 1.66 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.24 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 23% FB • 24% K • 1.66 ERA (H 0.00 / A 3.44)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.90hittability
Brent Headrick • LHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 1.66 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.24 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 23% FB • 24% K • 1.66 ERA (H 0.00 / A 3.44)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.90
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 1.2 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Duran 4%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Gasper 10%, Wong 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 60 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 1 HR in 105 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 0.00 |
| Away | 0.98 | 2 | — | — | 21% | 3.44 |
| vs LHB | 0.96 | 1 | 17% | 24% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.73 | 1 | 12% | 22% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Brent Headrick carries a 0.66 HR/9. BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Paul Blackburn • RHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS2/1 W–L • 2.70 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.25 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 2.70 ERA (H 1.66 / A 4.20)▬ Holding steady0.82hittability
Paul Blackburn • RHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
2/1 W–L • 2.70 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.25 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 2.70 ERA (H 1.66 / A 4.20)
▬ Holding steady
0.82
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/22 1.2 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/21 1.1 IP · 7 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter · change
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Gasper 10%, Duran 4%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Wong 9%, Rafaela 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 3 HR in 94 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 89 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.42 | 1 | — | — | 18% | 1.66 |
| Away | 1.20 | 2 | — | — | 17% | 4.20 |
| vs LHB | 1.21 | 3 | 15% | 22% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.80 | 1 | 11% | 24% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Paul Blackburn carries a 0.92 HR/9. BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Tim Hill • LHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS3/2 W–L • 4.20 ERA • 15 Ks • 1.10 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 15% FB • 16% K • 4.20 ERA (H 4.80 / A 3.60)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.76hittability
Tim Hill • LHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
3/2 W–L • 4.20 ERA • 15 Ks • 1.10 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 15% FB • 16% K • 4.20 ERA (H 4.80 / A 3.60)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.76
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/25 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 0.1 IP · 5 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Duran 4%
vs righty bats4-seam · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Gasper 10%, Wong 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 76 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 3 HR in 58 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 13% | 4.80 |
| Away | 1.80 | 3 | — | — | 11% | 3.60 |
| vs LHB | 0.86 | 1 | 9% | 19% | 17% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.52 | 3 | 14% | 17% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Tim Hill carries a 1.16 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (2.6 HR/9 to RHB). BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Fernando Cruz • RHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS4/2 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.08 ERA • 46 Ks • 1.21 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 31% FB • 29% K • 2.08 ERA (H 1.88 / A 2.21)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.74hittability
Fernando Cruz • RHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
4/2 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.08 ERA • 46 Ks • 1.21 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 31% FB • 29% K • 2.08 ERA (H 1.88 / A 2.21)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.1 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/23 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/21 0.2 IP · 12 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Gasper 10%, Duran 4%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Wong 9%, Rafaela 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 70 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 27% | 1.88 |
| Away | 0.89 | 2 | — | — | 36% | 2.21 |
| vs LHB | 0.90 | 1 | 12% | 29% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.86 | 1 | 14% | 27% | 28% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Fernando Cruz carries a 0.72 HR/9. BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Yerry De los Santos • RHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS0/0 W–L • 1.59 ERA • 6 Ks • 1.59 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 19% FB • 21% K • 1.59 ERA (H 1.69 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.74hittability
Yerry De los Santos • RHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
0/0 W–L • 1.59 ERA • 6 Ks • 1.59 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 19% FB • 21% K • 1.59 ERA (H 1.69 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 0.1 IP · 11 P0 HR
05/06 3.1 IP · 54 P0 HR
04/14 2.0 IP · 44 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Gasper 10%, Duran 4%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Wong 9%, Rafaela 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 1 HR in 16 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 0 HR in 22 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 1 | — | — | 29% | 1.69 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 0% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.40 | 1 | 13% | 24% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.95 | 0 | 13% | 20% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Yerry De los Santos carries a 1.13 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Camilo Doval • RHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS3/0 W–L • 5.10 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.23 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 19% FB • 23% K • 5.10 ERA (H 7.98 / A 2.35)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.69hittability
Camilo Doval • RHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
3/0 W–L • 5.10 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.23 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 19% FB • 23% K • 5.10 ERA (H 7.98 / A 2.35)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.69
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.2 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 29 P0 HR
06/18 1.2 IP · 16 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Gasper 10%, Duran 4%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Wong 9%, Rafaela 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 3 HR in 63 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 68 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 4 | — | — | 24% | 7.98 |
| Away | 0.59 | 1 | — | — | 20% | 2.35 |
| vs LHB | 1.47 | 3 | 15% | 19% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.16 | 2 | 10% | 22% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Camilo Doval carries a 1.37 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 2 of 5 times (1.1 HR/9 to RHB). BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
David Bednar • RHP (NYY)NYY @ BOS | vs BOS2/3 W–L • 3.27 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.27 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 18% FB • 25% K • 3.27 ERA (H 2.84 / A 3.54)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.59hittability
David Bednar • RHP (NYY)
NYY @ BOS | vs BOS
2/3 W–L • 3.27 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.27 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 18% FB • 25% K • 3.27 ERA (H 2.84 / A 3.54)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.59
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/23 1.1 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscurve
Most likely to capitalize: Abreu 23%, Gasper 10%, Duran 4%
vs righty batscurve
Most likely to capitalize: Contreras 27%, Wong 9%, Rafaela 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 69 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 41% | 2.84 |
| Away | 0.89 | 2 | — | — | 20% | 3.54 |
| vs LHB | 0.86 | 1 | 13% | 18% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.90 | 1 | 15% | 23% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
David Bednar carries a 0.72 HR/9. BOS is a tough HR park for RH hitters (29th).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Gerrit ColeC
Matchup vs Ryan YarbroughA · ×1.11
Arms like Ryan Yarbrough
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tyler Alexander, Foster Griffin, Tyler Holton, Ranger Suarez, Martín Pérez, Hoby Milner.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 11 PA (9.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Brent HeadrickA · ×1.20
Arms like Brent Headrick
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Alex Vesia, Robbie Ray, Hogan Harris, Mitchell Parker, Jack Dreyer, Brock Burke.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 16 PA (6.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Paul BlackburnA · ×1.22
Arms like Paul Blackburn
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Erick Fedde, Chase Shugart, Javier Assad, Brayan Bello, Cody Bolton, Jake Woodford.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 19 PA (5.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tim HillA · ×1.31
Arms like Tim Hill
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Hoby Milner, Aaron Bummer, Justin Bruihl, Brant Hurter, Joe Mantiply, Brennan Bernardino.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 11 PA (9.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Fernando CruzB · ×1.09
Arms like Fernando Cruz
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jesse Scholtens, Keider Montero, Zack Littell, Walker Buehler, Peter Lambert, Kyle Finnegan.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 46 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Yerry De los SantosA · ×1.30
Arms like Yerry De los Santos
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Adrian Houser, Huascar Brazobán, Joel Kuhnel, Jonathan Loáisiga, J.T. Ginn, Brayan Bello.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 11 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Camilo DovalA · ×1.29
Arms like Camilo Doval
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Graham Ashcraft, Sam Bachman, Abner Uribe, Tommy Nance, Jaden Hill, Trevor McDonald.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 21 PA (4.8% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs David BednarB · ×1.07
Arms like David Bednar
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Taj Bradley, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Brandon Young, Spencer Strider, Mick Abel, Jack Leiter.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 35 PA (5.7% · league ~3%).
Ben Rice LNYY AWAY vs Jake Bennett L · BOS PROJwind 1.06park 1.03brl 19%recent 50%27%MatchupC+272
Ben Rice L
NYY AWAY vs Jake Bennett L · BOS PROJ
wind 1.06park 1.03brl 19%recent 50%
27%
MatchupC
+272
Ben Rice L
NYY AWAY vs Jake Bennett L · BOS PROJ
wind 1.06park 1.03brl 19%recent 50%
27%
Matchup summary · vs Jake Bennett
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Rice has 5 of his 22 HRs off LHP, 38% hard-hit that side. 9 of his 22 HRs have come on the road, slugging .542 there.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .647 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 50% well-hit (lg 14%), 33% hard-hit · 1 HR in 10 PA. Recent contact quality is beating league — the rating catches the heat before the HR totals show it.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
Big power vs LHP (15% barrels) and holds power in two-strike counts.
Big power vs LHP (15% barrels) and holds power in two-strike counts.
🏟️ Homered here 1× at this park (since ’25)
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Bennett throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 1757% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
86
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
9/55
HR
0
11 BBE
4-SeamSt 1422% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
94
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
2
11 BBE
CurveSt 311% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
83
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
17/67
HR
0
6 BBE
ChangeSt 177% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
CutterSt 14% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
70
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Watson throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—32% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
100
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
30/33
HR
8
33 BBE
Curve—25% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Cutter—23% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
19/44
HR
0
16 BBE
Sinker—9% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
19/38
HR
2
21 BBE
Sweeper—6% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
99
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
Splitter—5% used
Whiff
45%
Contact
55%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/80
HR
0
5 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Slaten throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—38% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
19/44
HR
0
16 BBE
4-Seam—36% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
100
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
30/33
HR
8
33 BBE
Curve—21% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Weissert throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—36% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
100
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
30/33
HR
8
33 BBE
Change—21% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
22/35
HR
3
23 BBE
Sinker—16% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
19/38
HR
2
21 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
87
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
31/56
HR
0
16 BBE
Sweeper—8% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
99
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
Curve—6% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
1
7 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kahnle throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Change—87% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
22/35
HR
3
23 BBE
4-Seam—13% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
100
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
30/33
HR
8
33 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Coulombe throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—42% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
70
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
Sinker—35% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
86
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
9/55
HR
0
11 BBE
Sweeper—14% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
95
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/60
HR
1
5 BBE
4-Seam—9% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
94
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
2
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Chapman throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—44% used
Whiff
27%
Contact
73%
EV
94
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
2
11 BBE
Slider—28% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
94
Barrel
7%
Air/Gnd
7/40
HR
2
15 BBE
Sinker—27% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
86
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
9/55
HR
0
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Guerrero throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—75% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
19/38
HR
2
21 BBE
4-Seam—9% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
100
Barrel
12%
Air/Gnd
30/33
HR
8
33 BBE
Change—8% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
22/35
HR
3
23 BBE
Slider—8% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
87
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
31/56
HR
0
16 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Whitlock throws / Rice hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Rice’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—44% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
19/38
HR
2
21 BBE
Change—32% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
91
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
22/35
HR
3
23 BBE
Slider—24% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
87
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
31/56
HR
0
16 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jake Bennett’s arsenal
Sinker 57% usedbarrels 9% · allows 0%
4-Seam 22% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 2 HR
Curve 11% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Change 7% usedbarrels — · allows —
Cutter 4% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ryan Watson’s arsenal
4-Seam 32% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 8 HR
Curve 25% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Cutter 23% usedbarrels 0% · allows 12%
Sinker 9% usedbarrels 19% · allows 14% · 2 HR
Sweeper 6% usedbarrels 20% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Justin Slaten’s arsenal
Cutter 38% usedbarrels 0% · allows 17%
4-Seam 36% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 8 HR
Curve 21% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Greg Weissert’s arsenal
4-Seam 36% usedbarrels 12% · allows 0% · 8 HR
Change 21% usedbarrels 9% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Sinker 16% usedbarrels 19% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Slider 13% usedbarrels 6% · allows —
Sweeper 8% usedbarrels 20% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tommy Kahnle’s arsenal
Change 87% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 3 HR
4-Seam 13% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 8 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Danny Coulombe’s arsenal
Cutter 42% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Sinker 35% usedbarrels 9% · allows —
Sweeper 14% usedbarrels 20% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 9% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Aroldis Chapman’s arsenal
4-Seam 44% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 2 HR
Slider 28% usedbarrels 7% · allows — · 2 HR
Sinker 27% usedbarrels 9% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tyron Guerrero’s arsenal
Sinker 75% usedbarrels 19% · allows — · 2 HR
4-Seam 9% usedbarrels 12% · allows — · 8 HR
Change 8% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 3 HR
Slider 8% usedbarrels 6% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Garrett Whitlock’s arsenal
Sinker 44% usedbarrels 19% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Change 32% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 3 HR
Slider 24% usedbarrels 6% · allows 50%
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.85 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 86 · 1 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 4/21 | 6 | 60% | 20% | 0% | 86 | 33% | 1 |
| 06/25 | 0/5 | 0 | 80% | 0% | 0% | 77 | — | 0 |
| 06/24 | 2/4 | 1 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 98 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 0/5 | 2 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 87 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/22 | 0/4 | 2 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 95 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/21 | 2/3 | 1 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 82 | 100% | 1 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (550 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed72.3 mph
Swing length7.6 ft
Attack angle11.9°
contact
swing timing
Early26%
On-time65%
Late9%
miss profile
Over14%
Under18%
Tied-up8%
Centered60%
Flailed31%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 126 PA
vs RHP · 19 HR in 250 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME13 HR / 138 PA · 9.4%
Home · .638 SLG
Away AWAY9 HR / 188 PA · 4.8%
Away · .542 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 21% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.85 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Jake Bennett • LHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY1/3 W–L • 3.71 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.13 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 17% FB • 22% K • 3.71 ERA (H 4.02 / A 3.27)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.72hittability
Jake Bennett • LHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
1/3 W–L • 3.71 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.13 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 17% FB • 22% K • 3.71 ERA (H 4.02 / A 3.27)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.72
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/22 6.0 IP · 72 P0 HR
06/17 5.1 IP · 79 P0 HR
06/10 5.0 IP · 73 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 0 HR in 26 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 86 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 10:00
spin 10:01
spin 9:29
spin 4:53
spin 8:50
spin 10:00
spin 10:01
spin 9:29
spin 4:53
spin 8:50
spin 10:00
spin 10:01
spin 9:29
spin 4:53
spin 8:50
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.57 | 1 | — | — | 15% | 4.02 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 30% | 3.27 |
| vs LHB | 0.91 | 0 | 13% | 20% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.81 | 1 | 12% | 20% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jake Bennett carries a 0.64 HR/9. BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Ryan Watson • RHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY0/0 W–L • 4.95 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.35 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 19% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 4.95 ERA (H 4.44 / A 5.71)▬ Holding steady1.00hittability
Ryan Watson • RHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
0/0 W–L • 4.95 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.35 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 19% Barrel • 23% FB • 18% K • 4.95 ERA (H 4.44 / A 5.71)
▬ Holding steady
1.00
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/21 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/16 2.0 IP · 31 P1 HR
06/14 2.0 IP · 26 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Rice 27%, Jr. 15%, Jones 12%
vs righty batssinker · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Goldschmidt 22%, Volpe 6%, Caballero 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 99 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 6 HR in 125 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 4 | — | — | 18% | 4.44 |
| Away | 1.56 | 3 | — | — | 18% | 5.71 |
| vs LHB | 0.75 | 1 | 17% | 23% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.58 | 6 | 18% | 23% | 18% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Ryan Watson carries a 1.19 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 7 times (0.5 HR/9 to LHB). BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Justin Slaten • RHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY0/4 W–L • 6.48 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.68 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 29% FB • 23% K • 6.48 ERA (H 4.91 / A 7.71)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.98hittability
Justin Slaten • RHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
0/4 W–L • 6.48 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.68 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 29% FB • 23% K • 6.48 ERA (H 4.91 / A 7.71)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.98
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 7 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 6 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Rice 27%, Jr. 15%, Jones 12%
vs righty batssweeper · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Goldschmidt 22%, Volpe 6%, Caballero 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 3 HR in 50 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 2 HR in 47 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 2 | — | — | 22% | 4.91 |
| Away | 1.93 | 2 | — | — | 30% | 7.71 |
| vs LHB | 1.62 | 3 | 12% | 29% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.36 | 2 | 17% | 24% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Justin Slaten carries a 1.67 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 5 times (1.9 HR/9 to LHB). BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Greg Weissert • RHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY0/1 W–L • 3.82 ERA • 30 Ks • 1.30 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 3.82 ERA (H 4.24 / A 3.29)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.94hittability
Greg Weissert • RHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
0/1 W–L • 3.82 ERA • 30 Ks • 1.30 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 22% K • 3.82 ERA (H 4.24 / A 3.29)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.94
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 0.2 IP · 21 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Rice 27%, Jr. 15%, Jones 12%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Goldschmidt 22%, Volpe 6%, Caballero 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 44 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 4 HR in 91 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 2 | — | — | 24% | 4.24 |
| Away | 1.98 | 3 | — | — | 21% | 3.29 |
| vs LHB | 1.08 | 1 | 15% | 22% | 16% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.45 | 4 | 13% | 25% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Greg Weissert carries a 1.35 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 5 times (1.2 HR/9 to LHB). BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Tommy Kahnle • RHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY0/0 W–L • 3.86 ERA • 5 Ks • 1.71 WHIP1.5 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 22% FB • 21% K • 3.86 ERA (H 1.80 / A 9.00)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.91hittability
Tommy Kahnle • RHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
0/0 W–L • 3.86 ERA • 5 Ks • 1.71 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 22% FB • 21% K • 3.86 ERA (H 1.80 / A 9.00)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.91
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/19 1.0 IP · 19 P1 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 23 P0 HR
06/14 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Rice 27%, Jr. 15%, Jones 12%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Goldschmidt 22%, Volpe 6%, Caballero 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 1 HR in 19 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 1 HR in 18 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 1.80 |
| Away | 4.50 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 9.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.36 | 1 | 12% | 20% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.37 | 1 | 15% | 25% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Tommy Kahnle carries a 1.53 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Danny Coulombe • LHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY0/2 W–L • 4.50 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.28 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 18% K • 4.50 ERA (H 7.27 / A 1.93)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.89hittability
Danny Coulombe • LHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
0/2 W–L • 4.50 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.28 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 18% K • 4.50 ERA (H 7.27 / A 1.93)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.89
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 0.1 IP · 3 P0 HR
06/24 0.1 IP · 5 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Rice 27%, Jr. 15%, Jones 12%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Goldschmidt 22%, Domínguez 9%, Volpe 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 40 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 43 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 15% | 7.27 |
| Away | 0.96 | 1 | — | — | 11% | 1.93 |
| vs LHB | 0.80 | 0 | 13% | 23% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.09 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Danny Coulombe carries a 0.77 HR/9. He owns a 7.27 ERA at home. BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Aroldis Chapman • LHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY0/3 W–L • 1.99 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.24 WHIP0.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 28% K • 1.99 ERA (H 1.54 / A 2.45)▬ Holding steady0.72hittability
Aroldis Chapman • LHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
0/3 W–L • 1.99 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.24 WHIP
0.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 28% K • 1.99 ERA (H 1.54 / A 2.45)
▬ Holding steady
0.72
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.0 IP · 23 P0 HR
06/22 0.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 34 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 76 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 1.54 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 31% | 2.45 |
| vs LHB | 0.85 | 0 | 11% | 19% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.62 | 0 | 15% | 26% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Aroldis Chapman carries a 0.43 HR/9. BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Tyron Guerrero • RHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY0/1 W–L • 3.46 ERA • 19 Ks • 1.08 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 26% K • 3.46 ERA (H 6.43 / A 0.00)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.67hittability
Tyron Guerrero • RHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
0/1 W–L • 3.46 ERA • 19 Ks • 1.08 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 26% K • 3.46 ERA (H 6.43 / A 0.00)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.67
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.2 IP · 25 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Rice 27%, Jr. 15%, Jones 12%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Goldschmidt 22%, Volpe 6%, Caballero 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 1 HR in 27 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 35 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 2 | — | — | 35% | 6.43 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 32% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.26 | 1 | 14% | 26% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.17 | 1 | 12% | 19% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Tyron Guerrero carries a 1.22 HR/9. He owns a 6.43 ERA at home. BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Garrett Whitlock • RHP (BOS)NYY @ BOS | vs NYY4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.81 ERA • 30 Ks • 1.09 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 21% FB • 26% K • 2.81 ERA (H 1.54 / A 3.86)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.66hittability
Garrett Whitlock • RHP (BOS)
NYY @ BOS | vs NYY
4/1 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.81 ERA • 30 Ks • 1.09 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 21% FB • 26% K • 2.81 ERA (H 1.54 / A 3.86)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.66
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/25 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 14 P1 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Rice 27%, Jr. 15%, Jones 12%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Goldschmidt 22%, Volpe 6%, Caballero 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 51 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 59 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 33% | 1.54 |
| Away | 1.93 | 3 | — | — | 27% | 3.86 |
| vs LHB | 1.03 | 1 | 18% | 22% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.24 | 2 | 15% | 22% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Garrett Whitlock carries a 1.10 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). BOS is a tough HR park for LH hitters (23rd).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Jake BennettC
Matchup vs Ryan WatsonA · ×1.22
Arms like Ryan Watson
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Brandon Sproat, Gavin Williams, Michael McGreevy, Cody Bolton, Luis Severino, Jake Woodford.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 27 PA (3.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Justin SlatenA · ×1.25
Arms like Justin Slaten
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Drew Rasmussen, Cam Schlittler, Cody Bolton, Calvin Faucher, Justin Sterner, Zack Kelly.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 24 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Greg WeissertA · ×1.32
Arms like Greg Weissert
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Emerson Hancock, Stephen Kolek, Mitch Keller, Michael King, Bryan Woo, Grant Anderson.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 41 PA (4.9% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tommy KahnleA · ×1.44
Arms like Tommy Kahnle
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Drew Anderson, Jakob Junis, Jake Woodford, Cole Sulser, Griffin Canning, Mike Burrows.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 13 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Danny CoulombeA · ×1.13
Arms like Danny Coulombe
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tyler Holton, Foster Griffin, Tyler Alexander, Garrett Crochet, Anthony Kay, Noah Schultz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 26 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Aroldis ChapmanA · ×1.31
Arms like Aroldis Chapman
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tarik Skubal, Justin Wrobleski, Brent Headrick, Tanner Scott, Erik Miller, Brock Burke.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 29 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tyron GuerreroA · ×1.16
Matchup vs Garrett WhitlockA · ×1.14
Arms like Garrett Whitlock
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): JT Brubaker, Lucas Erceg, Bryce Elder, Kumar Rocker, Brady Singer, Alex Lange.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 12 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Trevor Richards RCWS HOME vs Michael Wacha R · CWS PROJwind 1.00park 1.08brl 19%recent 25% HOT27%MatchupC+272
Trevor Richards R
CWS HOME vs Michael Wacha R · CWS PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 19%recent 25% HOT
27%
MatchupC
+272
Trevor Richards R
CWS HOME vs Michael Wacha R · CWS PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 19%recent 25% HOT
27%
Matchup summary · vs Michael Wacha
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Richards has 15 of his 19 HRs off RHP, 48% hard-hit that side. 10 of his 19 HRs have come at home, slugging .545 there. Richards has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .555 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 25% well-hit (lg 14%), 55% hard-hit · 2 HR in 43 PA. Recent contact quality is beating league — the rating catches the heat before the HR totals show it.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
Big power vs RHP (18% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and holds power in two-strike counts.
Big power vs RHP (18% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and holds power in two-strike counts.
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Wacha throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 5723% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
86
Barrel
2%
Air/Gnd
12/40
HR
1
40 BBE
4-SeamSt 3521% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
1
21 BBE
SliderSt 820% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
19/43
HR
3
21 BBE
ChangeSt 1115% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
89
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/38
HR
2
8 BBE
CutterSt 5014% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
91
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
50/17
HR
1
12 BBE
CurveSt 186% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
83
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/50
HR
1
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Strahm throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—44% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
82
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
31/25
HR
1
16 BBE
Slider—28% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
83
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
60/20
HR
2
5 BBE
Cutter—16% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
97
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
50/17
HR
1
6 BBE
Sinker—7% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/50
HR
0
8 BBE
Change—6% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
93
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/44
HR
0
18 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Seabold throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—53% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
1
21 BBE
Slider—20% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
19/43
HR
3
21 BBE
Cutter—14% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
91
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
50/17
HR
1
12 BBE
Change—12% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
89
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/38
HR
2
8 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Spence throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—42% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
91
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
50/17
HR
1
12 BBE
Slider—32% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
19/43
HR
3
21 BBE
Sinker—15% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
86
Barrel
2%
Air/Gnd
12/40
HR
1
40 BBE
Curve—11% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
83
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/50
HR
1
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Schreiber throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—34% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
94
Barrel
21%
Air/Gnd
36/43
HR
3
14 BBE
Sinker—30% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
86
Barrel
2%
Air/Gnd
12/40
HR
1
40 BBE
4-Seam—24% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
1
21 BBE
Cutter—12% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
91
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
50/17
HR
1
12 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Avila throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—35% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
19/43
HR
3
21 BBE
Sinker—33% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
86
Barrel
2%
Air/Gnd
12/40
HR
1
40 BBE
4-Seam—19% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
1
21 BBE
Curve—13% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
83
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
33/50
HR
1
6 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Cruz throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—53% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
1
21 BBE
Slider—28% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
19/43
HR
3
21 BBE
Cutter—19% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
91
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
50/17
HR
1
12 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Lange throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—37% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
86
Barrel
2%
Air/Gnd
12/40
HR
1
40 BBE
Slider—37% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
19/43
HR
3
21 BBE
4-Seam—13% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
1
21 BBE
Cutter—10% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
91
Barrel
17%
Air/Gnd
50/17
HR
1
12 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · IV throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Change—32% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
93
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/44
HR
0
18 BBE
4-Seam—29% used
Whiff
7%
Contact
93%
EV
82
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
31/25
HR
1
16 BBE
Knuckle-Curve—14% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Slider—13% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
83
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
60/20
HR
2
5 BBE
Sinker—12% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/50
HR
0
8 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Erceg throws / Richards hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Richards’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—40% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
86
Barrel
2%
Air/Gnd
12/40
HR
1
40 BBE
Slider—36% used
Whiff
17%
Contact
83%
EV
94
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
19/43
HR
3
21 BBE
4-Seam—20% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
97
Barrel
19%
Air/Gnd
43/29
HR
1
21 BBE
Change—5% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
89
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
50/38
HR
2
8 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Michael Wacha’s arsenal
Sinker 23% usedbarrels 2% · allows 5% · 1 HR
4-Seam 21% usedbarrels 19% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 20% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Change 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows 13% · 2 HR
Cutter 14% usedbarrels 17% · allows 11% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Matt Strahm’s arsenal
4-Seam 44% usedbarrels 6% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Slider 28% usedbarrels 0% · allows 11% · 2 HR
Cutter 16% usedbarrels 17% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sinker 7% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Change 6% usedbarrels 0% · allows 10%
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Connor Seabold’s arsenal
4-Seam 53% usedbarrels 19% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Slider 20% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Cutter 14% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Change 12% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Mitch Spence’s arsenal
Cutter 42% usedbarrels 17% · allows 10% · 1 HR
Slider 32% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 3 HR
Sinker 15% usedbarrels 2% · allows — · 1 HR
Curve 11% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs John Schreiber’s arsenal
Sweeper 34% usedbarrels 21% · allows 6% · 3 HR
Sinker 30% usedbarrels 2% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 24% usedbarrels 19% · allows — · 1 HR
Cutter 12% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Luinder Avila’s arsenal
Slider 35% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Sinker 33% usedbarrels 2% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 19% usedbarrels 19% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Curve 13% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Steven Cruz’s arsenal
4-Seam 53% usedbarrels 19% · allows 14% · 1 HR
Slider 28% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 3 HR
Cutter 19% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Alex Lange’s arsenal
Sinker 37% usedbarrels 2% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 37% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 3 HR
4-Seam 13% usedbarrels 19% · allows — · 1 HR
Cutter 10% usedbarrels 17% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Daniel Lynch IV’s arsenal
Change 32% usedbarrels 0% · allows 4%
4-Seam 29% usedbarrels 6% · allows 21% · 1 HR
Knuckle-Curve 14% usedbarrels — · allows —
Slider 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 2 HR
Sinker 12% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Not enough arsenal data for this arm.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Lucas Erceg’s arsenal
Sinker 40% usedbarrels 2% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 36% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 3 HR
4-Seam 20% usedbarrels 19% · allows — · 1 HR
Change 5% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 23% in the air; pull side LF — park ×0.98 → park+wind neutral fit.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 7% · EV 94 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 6/21 | 6 | 53% | 20% | 7% | 94 | 67% | 2 |
| 06/25 | 1/3 | 2 | 0% | 100% | 100% | 103 | 100% | 1 |
| 06/24 | 0/5 | 1 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 81 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 3/4 | 0 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 99 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 0/4 | 2 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 87 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/21 | 2/5 | 1 | 75% | 0% | 0% | 104 | — | 1 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (563 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed71.9 mph
Swing length7.7 ft
Attack angle12.7°
contact
swing timing
Early18%
On-time71%
Late10%
miss profile
Over14%
Under22%
Tied-up15%
Centered66%
Flailed20%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 5 HR in 105 PA
vs RHP · 17 HR in 240 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME10 HR / 162 PA · 6.2%
Home · .545 SLG
Away AWAY9 HR / 147 PA · 6.1%
Away · .542 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 23% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×0.98 → neutral park fit.
Pitcher
Michael Wacha • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS5/5 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.48 ERA (26th) • 77 Ks (Tied–53rd) • 1.16 WHIP (30th)1.0 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 22% FB • 20% K • 3.48 ERA (H 2.85 / A 4.02)▬ Holding steady1.02hittability
Michael Wacha • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
5/5 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.48 ERA (26th) • 77 Ks (Tied–53rd) • 1.16 WHIP (30th)
1.0 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 22% FB • 20% K • 3.48 ERA (H 2.85 / A 4.02)
▬ Holding steady
1.02
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 7.0 IP · 99 P0 HR
06/16 6.0 IP · 90 P0 HR
06/11 7.0 IP · 102 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 7 HR in 259 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 5 HR in 207 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:45
spin 2:03
spin 12:54
spin 12:23
spin 11:25
spin 6:57
spin 12:45
spin 2:03
spin 12:54
spin 12:23
spin 11:25
spin 6:57
spin 12:45
spin 2:03
spin 12:54
spin 12:23
spin 11:25
spin 6:57
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.76 | 4 | — | — | 19% | 2.85 |
| Away | 1.01 | 6 | — | — | 18% | 4.02 |
| vs LHB | 1.07 | 7 | 13% | 25% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.00 | 5 | 11% | 20% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Michael Wacha carries a 1.00 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 5 of 12 times (0.8 HR/9 to RHB).
Matt Strahm • LHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS3/1 W–L • 5.96 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.36 WHIP2.0 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 35% FB • 18% K • 5.96 ERA (H 9.00 / A 3.29)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.42hittability
Matt Strahm • LHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
3/1 W–L • 5.96 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.36 WHIP
2.0 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 35% FB • 18% K • 5.96 ERA (H 9.00 / A 3.29)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.42
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 40 PA
vs RHB · 2.3 HR/9 · 8 HR in 91 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 4 | — | — | 16% | 9.00 |
| Away | 2.63 | 4 | — | — | 19% | 3.29 |
| vs LHB | 0.80 | 0 | 11% | 30% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 2.34 | 8 | 12% | 31% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Matt Strahm carries a 1.97 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 8 of 8 times (4.3 HR/9 to RHB).
Connor Seabold • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS1/0 W–L • 5.01 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.67 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 5.01 ERA (H 5.40 / A 4.63)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.05hittability
Connor Seabold • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
1/0 W–L • 5.01 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.67 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 5.01 ERA (H 5.40 / A 4.63)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.05
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/25 1.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 37 P0 HR
06/21 1.1 IP · 29 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 70 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 57 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 2 | — | — | 17% | 5.40 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 19% | 4.63 |
| vs LHB | 1.15 | 2 | 13% | 25% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.98 | 1 | 13% | 23% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Connor Seabold carries a 1.00 HR/9.
Mitch Spence • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS0/1 W–L • 13.50 ERA • 4 Ks • 2.13 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 14% K • 12.46 ERA (A 13.50)▬ Holding steady1.02hittability
Mitch Spence • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
0/1 W–L • 13.50 ERA • 4 Ks • 2.13 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 14% K • 12.46 ERA (A 13.50)
▬ Holding steady
1.02
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/15 4.0 IP · 63 P0 HR
04/18 4.0 IP · 84 P bulk1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscurve
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 35 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 28 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 1.13 | 1 | — | — | 10% | 13.50 |
| vs LHB | 1.17 | 1 | 12% | 22% | 17% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.24 | 1 | 13% | 22% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Mitch Spence carries a 1.21 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 2). He owns a 13.50 ERA on the road.
John Schreiber • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS0/3 W–L • 2.56 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.14 WHIP1.5 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 19% K • 2.56 ERA (H 1.47 / A 4.05)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.00hittability
John Schreiber • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
0/3 W–L • 2.56 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.14 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 20% FB • 19% K • 2.56 ERA (H 1.47 / A 4.05)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.00
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/22 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · cutter
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 72 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.49 | 1 | — | — | 21% | 1.47 |
| Away | 2.70 | 4 | — | — | 17% | 4.05 |
| vs LHB | 1.63 | 4 | 14% | 22% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.12 | 2 | 10% | 21% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
John Schreiber carries a 1.46 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 2 of 6 times (0.9 HR/9 to RHB).
Luinder Avila • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS3/3 W–L • 5.06 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.62 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 21% K • 5.06 ERA (H 12.79 / A 1.80)▬ Holding steady0.96hittability
Luinder Avila • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
3/3 W–L • 5.06 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.62 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 21% K • 5.06 ERA (H 12.79 / A 1.80)
▬ Holding steady
0.96
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 5.0 IP · 87 P0 HR
06/17 5.2 IP · 91 P0 HR
06/12 0.2 IP · 49 P2 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscurve
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 3 HR in 111 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 73 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 3 | — | — | 16% | 12.79 |
| Away | 0.30 | 1 | — | — | 24% | 1.80 |
| vs LHB | 1.10 | 3 | 14% | 27% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.88 | 1 | 12% | 22% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Luinder Avila carries a 0.92 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 1 of 4 times (0.6 HR/9 to RHB).
Steven Cruz • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS1/2 W–L • 6.26 ERA • 30 Ks • 1.57 WHIP2.3 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 21% FB • 26% K • 6.26 ERA (H 5.17 / A 8.59)▬ Holding steady0.92hittability
Steven Cruz • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
1/2 W–L • 6.26 ERA • 30 Ks • 1.57 WHIP
2.3 HR/9 • 18% Barrel • 21% FB • 26% K • 6.26 ERA (H 5.17 / A 8.59)
▬ Holding steady
0.92
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/21 1.2 IP · 37 P1 HR
06/14 0.2 IP · 8 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 2.3 HR/9 · 7 HR in 75 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 2 HR in 42 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.45 | 6 | — | — | 31% | 5.17 |
| Away | 2.45 | 2 | — | — | 24% | 8.59 |
| vs LHB | 2.34 | 7 | 18% | 22% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.41 | 2 | 14% | 22% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Steven Cruz carries a 2.34 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 2 of 9 times (1.0 HR/9 to RHB). He owns a 8.59 ERA on the road.
Alex Lange • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS0/4 W–L • 3.86 ERA • 36 Ks • 1.37 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 26% FB • 23% K • 3.86 ERA (H 5.68 / A 1.69)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.89hittability
Alex Lange • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
0/4 W–L • 3.86 ERA • 36 Ks • 1.37 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 26% FB • 23% K • 3.86 ERA (H 5.68 / A 1.69)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.89
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/22 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 91 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 80 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.47 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 5.68 |
| Away | 0.56 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 1.69 |
| vs LHB | 1.01 | 2 | 16% | 23% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.60 | 0 | 12% | 27% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Alex Lange carries a 0.64 HR/9.
Daniel Lynch IV • LHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS2/1 W–L • 2.45 ERA • 30 Ks • 0.94 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 26% FB • 22% K • 2.45 ERA (H 1.53 / A 3.52)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.85hittability
Daniel Lynch IV • LHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
2/1 W–L • 2.45 ERA • 30 Ks • 0.94 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 26% FB • 22% K • 2.45 ERA (H 1.53 / A 3.52)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.85
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/16 1.0 IP · 29 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 63 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 3 HR in 90 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 20% | 1.53 |
| Away | 1.17 | 2 | — | — | 26% | 3.52 |
| vs LHB | 0.67 | 0 | 10% | 24% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.24 | 3 | 11% | 26% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Daniel Lynch IV carries a 0.87 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3).
Beck Way • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS0/0 W–L • 3.97 ERA • 11 Ks • 1.50 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 22% K • 3.97 ERA (H 0.00 / A 8.44)▬ Holding steady0.83hittability
Beck Way • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
0/0 W–L • 3.97 ERA • 11 Ks • 1.50 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 22% K • 3.97 ERA (H 0.00 / A 8.44)
▬ Holding steady
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 16 P1 HR
06/21 2.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 1 HR in 23 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 31 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 28% | 0.00 |
| Away | 3.38 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 8.44 |
| vs LHB | 1.30 | 1 | 14% | 23% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.21 | 1 | 13% | 23% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Beck Way carries a 1.30 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). He owns a 8.44 ERA on the road.
Lucas Erceg • RHP (KC)KC @ CWS | vs CWS3/3 W–L • 5.16 ERA • 25 Ks • 1.79 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 5.16 ERA (H 5.28 / A 5.02)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.75hittability
Lucas Erceg • RHP (KC)
KC @ CWS | vs CWS
3/3 W–L • 5.16 ERA • 25 Ks • 1.79 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 5.16 ERA (H 5.28 / A 5.02)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.75
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/21 1.1 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Antonacci 11%, Peters 6%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Richards 27%, Acuña 17%, Meidroth 5%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 81 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 65 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 5.28 |
| Away | 1.26 | 2 | — | — | 23% | 5.02 |
| vs LHB | 1.07 | 2 | 16% | 22% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.66 | 0 | 9% | 23% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Lucas Erceg carries a 0.72 HR/9. He owns a 5.02 ERA on the road.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Michael WachaC
Arms like Michael Wacha
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Chris Paddack, Nick Martinez, Brandon Woodruff, Paxton Schultz, Slade Cecconi, Miles Mikolas.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 39 PA (2.6% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Matt StrahmA · ×1.33
Arms like Matt Strahm
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Justin Wrobleski, Shane Drohan, Carlos Rodón, José Suarez, Jacob Lopez, Enmanuel De Jesus.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 23 PA (4.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Connor SeaboldA · ×1.35
Arms like Connor Seabold
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ron Marinaccio, Logan Henderson, Tanner Gordon, Connor Brogdon, AJ Blubaugh, Tyler Mahle.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 20 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Mitch SpenceA · ×1.25
Arms like Mitch Spence
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Calvin Faucher, Drew Rasmussen, Aaron Civale, Cody Bolton, Kyle Bradish, Camilo Doval.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 16 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs John SchreiberA · ×1.29
Arms like John Schreiber
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Grant Anderson, Chase Shugart, Stephen Kolek, Luis Severino, Michael McGreevy, Jake Woodford.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 25 PA (12.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Luinder AvilaA · ×1.26
Arms like Luinder Avila
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tyler Glasnow, Kyle Bradish, Spencer Miles, Luis Medina, Brad Keller, Jaden Hill.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 13 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Steven CruzA · ×1.40
Arms like Steven Cruz
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Didier Fuentes, Michael Petersen, Enyel De Los Santos, Gus Varland, Ryne Stanek, Will Klein.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 18 PA (5.6% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Alex LangeA · ×1.25
Arms like Alex Lange
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Taylor Clarke, Kumar Rocker, Jaden Hill, Sandy Alcantara, Lucas Erceg, Cole Wilcox.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 23 PA (13.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Daniel Lynch IVA · ×1.23
Arms like Daniel Lynch IV
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Erik Miller, David Peterson, Brock Burke, Anthony Banda, Yusei Kikuchi, Shane McClanahan.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 25 PA (4.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Beck WayA · ×1.31
Matchup vs Lucas ErcegA · ×1.28
Arms like Lucas Erceg
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Luis Castillo, Cole Wilcox, Alex Lange, Kumar Rocker, Jaden Hill, Enyel De Los Santos.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 12 PA (16.7% · league ~3%).
Bryce Eldridge LSF HOME vs Bryce Elder R · SF PROJwind 1.11park 0.88brl 22%recent 20% HOT27%MatchupC+273
Bryce Eldridge L
SF HOME vs Bryce Elder R · SF PROJ
wind 1.11park 0.88brl 22%recent 20% HOT
27%
MatchupC
+273
Bryce Eldridge L
SF HOME vs Bryce Elder R · SF PROJ
wind 1.11park 0.88brl 22%recent 20% HOT
27%
Matchup summary · vs Bryce Elder
Batter Summary ➖ Steady
Eldridge has 5 of his 6 HRs off RHP, 49% hard-hit that side. 4 of his 6 HRs have come at home, slugging .500 there. Eldridge has been hot against arms like this lately. Wind is blowing out to his pull side.
Form Only 8 PA in the last ~3 weeks — too thin to read, so the rating stays near neutral.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs RHP (17% barrels) and most of his pop comes at home.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs RHP (17% barrels) and most of his pop comes at home.
🏟️ Homered here 1× at this park (since ’25)
AAA ’25–’26: 23 HR / 423 PA · .240 ISO · 87 EV · 9% barrel AAA-informed ▲
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Elder throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
SliderSt 1131% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
67/0
HR
0
3 BBE
4-SeamSt 1126% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
99
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
44/25
HR
2
16 BBE
SinkerSt 822% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
100
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
22/33
HR
1
9 BBE
ChangeSt 1114% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
9/45
HR
0
11 BBE
CutterSt 557% used
Whiff
23%
Contact
77%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
27/64
HR
0
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · López throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—49% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
99
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
44/25
HR
2
16 BBE
Slider—27% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
67/0
HR
0
3 BBE
Curve—15% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Change—9% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
9/45
HR
0
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Iglesias throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—48% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
99
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
44/25
HR
2
16 BBE
Change—36% used
Whiff
40%
Contact
60%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
9/45
HR
0
11 BBE
Sinker—11% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
100
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
22/33
HR
1
9 BBE
Slider—5% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
67/0
HR
0
3 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kinley throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—59% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
67/0
HR
0
3 BBE
4-Seam—21% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
99
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
44/25
HR
2
16 BBE
Curve—19% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Karinchak throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—62% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
99
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
44/25
HR
2
16 BBE
Curve—38% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Hamilton throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—42% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
100
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
22/33
HR
1
9 BBE
4-Seam—30% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
99
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
44/25
HR
2
16 BBE
Slider—28% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
67/0
HR
0
3 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Lee throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—67% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
4-Seam—32% used
Whiff
4%
Contact
96%
EV
95
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
60/20
HR
0
5 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Dodd throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—45% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sinker—41% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/33
HR
0
3 BBE
Slider—14% used
Whiff
22%
Contact
78%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Fuentes throws / Eldridge hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Eldridge’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—63% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
99
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
44/25
HR
2
16 BBE
Slider—16% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
67/0
HR
0
3 BBE
Splitter—11% used
Whiff
50%
Contact
50%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
Curve—6% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sweeper—4% used
Whiff
57%
Contact
43%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Bryce Elder’s arsenal
Slider 31% usedbarrels — · allows 2%
4-Seam 26% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Sinker 22% usedbarrels 11% · allows 6% · 1 HR
Change 14% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Cutter 7% usedbarrels 0% · allows 3%
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Reynaldo López’s arsenal
4-Seam 49% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Slider 27% usedbarrels — · allows 7%
Curve 15% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Change 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Raisel Iglesias’s arsenal
4-Seam 48% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Change 36% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sinker 11% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 1 HR
Slider 5% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tyler Kinley’s arsenal
Slider 59% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
4-Seam 21% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 2 HR
Curve 19% usedbarrels — · allows 8%
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs James Karinchak’s arsenal
4-Seam 62% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 2 HR
Curve 38% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ian Hamilton’s arsenal
Sinker 42% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 30% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 2 HR
Slider 28% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Dylan Lee’s arsenal
Slider 67% usedbarrels — · allows 6%
4-Seam 32% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Dylan Dodd’s arsenal
Cutter 45% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Sinker 41% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Slider 14% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Didier Fuentes’s arsenal
4-Seam 63% usedbarrels 6% · allows 7% · 2 HR
Slider 16% usedbarrels — · allows —
Splitter 11% usedbarrels — · allows 12%
Curve 6% usedbarrels — · allows —
Sweeper 4% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 18% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.78 × wind out to RF (19 mph) ×1.07 → net ×0.83 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 93 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 1/16 | 7 | 67% | 22% | 0% | 93 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/25 | 0/3 | 0 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 100 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 0/3 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 84 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 0/3 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 99 | — | 0 |
| 06/21 | 0/3 | 0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 89 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/20 | 1/4 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 85 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (277 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed73.6 mph
Swing length7.4 ft
contact
swing timing
Early18%
On-time67%
Late15%
miss profile
Over13%
Under25%
Tied-up5%
Centered66%
Flailed29%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 1 HR in 50 PA
vs RHP · 6 HR in 151 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME4 HR / 73 PA · 5.5%
Home · .500 SLG
Away AWAY2 HR / 83 PA · 2.4%
Away · .466 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 18% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.78 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Bryce Elder • RHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF5/5 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.71 ERA (33rd) • 79 Ks (Tied–48th) • 1.21 WHIP (40th)0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 3.71 ERA (H 3.34 / A 4.41)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.85hittability
Bryce Elder • RHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
5/5 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.71 ERA (33rd) • 79 Ks (Tied–48th) • 1.21 WHIP (40th)
0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 22% FB • 19% K • 3.71 ERA (H 3.34 / A 4.41)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.85
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/21 6.0 IP · 95 P1 HR
06/14 4.0 IP · 75 P2 HR
06/07 6.0 IP · 88 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Eldridge 27%, Devers 25%, Gilbert 8%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Schmitt 24%, Adames 17%, Haase 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 4 HR in 268 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 5 HR in 155 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 7:21
spin 1:09
spin 12:51
spin 12:28
spin 1:50
spin 7:21
spin 1:09
spin 12:51
spin 12:28
spin 1:50
spin 7:21
spin 1:09
spin 12:51
spin 12:28
spin 1:50
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.87 | 6 | — | — | 17% | 3.34 |
| Away | 1.10 | 4 | — | — | 24% | 4.41 |
| vs LHB | 0.71 | 4 | 12% | 25% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.22 | 5 | 14% | 17% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Bryce Elder carries a 0.86 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (4 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 4 of 9 times (0.7 HR/9 to LHB). SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Reynaldo López • RHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF3/1 W–L • 3.50 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.37 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 3.50 ERA (H 3.46 / A 3.57)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.94hittability
Reynaldo López • RHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
3/1 W–L • 3.50 ERA • 39 Ks • 1.37 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 3.50 ERA (H 3.46 / A 3.57)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.94
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/21 3.0 IP · 58 P bulk0 HR
06/16 2.0 IP · 30 P relief0 HR
06/14 1.0 IP · 24 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Eldridge 27%, Devers 25%, Gilbert 8%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Schmitt 24%, Adames 17%, Haase 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 2 HR in 124 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 4 HR in 116 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.69 | 2 | — | — | 22% | 3.46 |
| Away | 2.04 | 4 | — | — | 19% | 3.57 |
| vs LHB | 0.85 | 2 | 15% | 21% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.27 | 4 | 12% | 26% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Reynaldo López carries a 1.00 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 2 of 6 times (0.8 HR/9 to LHB). SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Raisel Iglesias • RHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF0/2 W–L • 1.42 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.11 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 1.42 ERA (H 0.75 / A 2.03)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.87hittability
Raisel Iglesias • RHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
0/2 W–L • 1.42 ERA • 29 Ks • 1.11 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 1.42 ERA (H 0.75 / A 2.03)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.87
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 1.0 IP · 19 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
06/13 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 62 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 46 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 30% | 0.75 |
| Away | 0.67 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 2.03 |
| vs LHB | 1.21 | 2 | 14% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.77 | 0 | 16% | 17% | 30% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Raisel Iglesias carries a 0.88 HR/9. SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Tyler Kinley • RHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF4/2 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 3.10 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.21 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 29% FB • 24% K • 3.10 ERA (H 3.14 / A 3.07)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.86hittability
Tyler Kinley • RHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
4/2 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 3.10 ERA • 32 Ks • 1.21 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 29% FB • 24% K • 3.10 ERA (H 3.14 / A 3.07)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.86
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 0.2 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/07 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/06 1.0 IP · 25 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · curve
Most likely to capitalize: Eldridge 27%, Devers 25%, Gilbert 8%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Schmitt 24%, Adames 17%, Haase 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 4 HR in 69 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 60 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 2 | — | — | 23% | 3.14 |
| Away | 1.84 | 3 | — | — | 30% | 3.07 |
| vs LHB | 1.67 | 4 | 14% | 28% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.96 | 1 | 10% | 25% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Tyler Kinley carries a 1.39 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 4 of 5 times (2.8 HR/9 to LHB). SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
James Karinchak • RHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 6 Ks • 0.60 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.85hittability
James Karinchak • RHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 6 Ks • 0.60 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 24% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.85
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/22 1.2 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 0 HR in 8 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 0 HR in 15 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 17% | 0.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.10 | 0 | 15% | 22% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.01 | 0 | 12% | 27% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
James Karinchak carries a 0.87 HR/9. SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Ian Hamilton • RHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF0/0 W–L • 13.50 ERA • 3 Ks • 2.00 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 22% K • 13.50 ERA (A 13.50)▬ Holding steady0.82hittability
Ian Hamilton • RHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
0/0 W–L • 13.50 ERA • 3 Ks • 2.00 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 22% K • 13.50 ERA (A 13.50)
▬ Holding steady
0.82
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
04/21 1.0 IP · 31 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 0 HR in 6 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 0 HR in 6 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 30% | 13.50 |
| vs LHB | 1.12 | 0 | 13% | 22% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.12 | 0 | 14% | 23% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Ian Hamilton carries a 1.00 HR/9. He owns a 13.50 ERA on the road. SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Dylan Lee • LHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF3/0 W–L • 1.04 ERA • 42 Ks • 0.63 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 29% K • 1.04 ERA (H 1.10 / A 0.98)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.74hittability
Dylan Lee • LHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
3/0 W–L • 1.04 ERA • 42 Ks • 0.63 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 25% FB • 29% K • 1.04 ERA (H 1.10 / A 0.98)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 1.1 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/19 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 49 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 86 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 37% | 1.10 |
| Away | 0.49 | 1 | — | — | 30% | 0.98 |
| vs LHB | 0.75 | 0 | 14% | 22% | 29% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.81 | 1 | 14% | 26% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Dylan Lee carries a 0.57 HR/9. SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Dylan Dodd • LHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF0/0 W–L • 2.84 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.00 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 2.84 ERA (H 1.80 / A 4.00)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.74hittability
Dylan Dodd • LHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
0/0 W–L • 2.84 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.00 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 26% K • 2.84 ERA (H 1.80 / A 4.00)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.74
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.1 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/22 1.1 IP · 39 P0 HR
06/16 2.0 IP · 27 P2 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Eldridge 27%, Devers 25%, Gilbert 8%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Schmitt 24%, Adames 17%, Haase 9%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 39 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 50 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 2 | — | — | 29% | 1.80 |
| Away | 1.00 | 1 | — | — | 30% | 4.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.81 | 0 | 15% | 24% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.03 | 1 | 12% | 19% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Dylan Dodd carries a 0.74 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Didier Fuentes • RHP (ATL)ATL @ SF | vs SF4/0 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.35 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.04 WHIP0.5 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 27% K • 2.35 ERA (H 1.13 / A 3.68)▬ Holding steady0.73hittability
Didier Fuentes • RHP (ATL)
ATL @ SF | vs SF
4/0 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 2.35 ERA • 35 Ks • 1.04 WHIP
0.5 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 27% K • 2.35 ERA (H 1.13 / A 3.68)
▬ Holding steady
0.73
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/22 0.1 IP · 4 P0 HR
06/20 1.1 IP · 28 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 84 PA
vs RHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 64 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 25% | 1.13 |
| Away | 0.61 | 1 | — | — | 32% | 3.68 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 1 | 13% | 22% | 29% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.67 | 0 | 11% | 22% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Didier Fuentes carries a 0.53 HR/9. SF is a tough HR park for LH hitters (30th).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Bryce ElderC
Arms like Bryce Elder
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Brady Singer, JT Brubaker, Kumar Rocker, Rhett Lowder, Alex Lange, Taylor Clarke.
Matchup vs Reynaldo LópezA · ×1.18
Arms like Reynaldo López
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Spencer Strider, Nick Mears, Simeon Woods Richardson, Jack Flaherty, Max Scherzer, Michael Petersen.
Matchup vs Raisel IglesiasA · ×1.30
Arms like Raisel Iglesias
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bryan Woo, Keider Montero, Freddy Peralta, Davis Martin, Osvaldo Bido, Michael King.
Matchup vs Tyler KinleyB · ×1.03
Arms like Tyler Kinley
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Braydon Fisher, Dennis Santana, Grant Holmes, Jordan Leasure, Nick Mears, Andrés Muñoz.
Matchup vs James KarinchakA · ×1.19
Matchup vs Ian HamiltonA · ×1.19
Arms like Ian Hamilton
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Adrian Houser, Eduard Bazardo, Jonathan Loáisiga, Huascar Brazobán, Joel Kuhnel, Kumar Rocker.
Matchup vs Dylan LeeA · ×1.11
Arms like Dylan Lee
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Robbie Ray, Jack Dreyer, Matt Gage, Yusei Kikuchi, Brent Headrick, Alex Vesia.
Matchup vs Dylan DoddA · ×1.27
Arms like Dylan Dodd
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Patrick Corbin, José Alvarado, Steven Matz, Kody Funderburk, Tim Mayza, Martín Pérez.
Matchup vs Didier FuentesA · ×1.22
Arms like Didier Fuentes
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryne Stanek, Bryan Woo, Will Klein, Ryne Nelson, Tony Santillan, Spencer Strider.
Shea Langeliers RATH AWAY vs Reid Detmers L · LAA PROJwind 1.00park 1.02brl 21%recent 14% HOT27%MatchupC+276
Shea Langeliers R
ATH AWAY vs Reid Detmers L · LAA PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.02brl 21%recent 14% HOT
27%
MatchupC
+276
Shea Langeliers R
ATH AWAY vs Reid Detmers L · LAA PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.02brl 21%recent 14% HOT
27%
Matchup summary · vs Reid Detmers
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Langeliers has 7 of his 19 HRs off LHP, 45% hard-hit that side. 10 of his 19 HRs have come on the road, slugging .471 there. Langeliers has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Only 8 PA in the last ~3 weeks — too thin to read, so the rating stays near neutral.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
Big power vs LHP (17% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and holds power in two-strike counts.
Big power vs LHP (17% barrels), hot against this kind of arsenal and holds power in two-strike counts.
⚾ vs Detmers (career): 0/5 AB | 0 HR | 3K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Detmers throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 4947% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
39/6
HR
3
18 BBE
SliderSt 3226% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
CurveSt 1017% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
102
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
40/20
HR
1
5 BBE
ChangeSt 389% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
80
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
18/65
HR
0
17 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Farris throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—44% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
39/6
HR
3
18 BBE
Change—33% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
80
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
18/65
HR
0
17 BBE
Slider—15% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Cutter—8% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Yates throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—58% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
23%
Air/Gnd
45/14
HR
5
22 BBE
Splitter—41% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
98
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/75
HR
1
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Jr. throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—79% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
39/6
HR
3
18 BBE
Slider—21% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Fermin throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—59% used
Whiff
34%
Contact
66%
EV
92
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
20/34
HR
4
35 BBE
4-Seam—32% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
23%
Air/Gnd
45/14
HR
5
22 BBE
Sinker—8% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
90
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
16/58
HR
2
38 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Suter throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—41% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
97
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
39/6
HR
3
18 BBE
Change—35% used
Whiff
35%
Contact
65%
EV
80
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
18/65
HR
0
17 BBE
Sinker—20% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
100
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/86
HR
1
7 BBE
Slider—4% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Silseth throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—35% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
92
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
38/24
HR
3
21 BBE
4-Seam—28% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
23%
Air/Gnd
45/14
HR
5
22 BBE
Splitter—19% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
98
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/75
HR
1
4 BBE
Sinker—18% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
90
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
16/58
HR
2
38 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Zeferjahn throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sweeper—27% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
92
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
38/24
HR
3
21 BBE
4-Seam—26% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
96
Barrel
23%
Air/Gnd
45/14
HR
5
22 BBE
Slider—19% used
Whiff
34%
Contact
66%
EV
92
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
20/34
HR
4
35 BBE
Cutter—15% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
24/18
HR
0
17 BBE
Sinker—11% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
90
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
16/58
HR
2
38 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Bachman throws / Langeliers hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Langeliers’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—68% used
Whiff
34%
Contact
66%
EV
92
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
20/34
HR
4
35 BBE
Sinker—32% used
Whiff
11%
Contact
89%
EV
90
Barrel
5%
Air/Gnd
16/58
HR
2
38 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Reid Detmers’s arsenal
4-Seam 47% usedbarrels 11% · allows 3% · 3 HR
Slider 26% usedbarrels — · allows 3%
Curve 17% usedbarrels 20% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Change 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows 10%
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Mitch Farris’s arsenal
4-Seam 44% usedbarrels 11% · allows 6% · 3 HR
Change 33% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 15% usedbarrels — · allows —
Cutter 8% usedbarrels — · allows 8%
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kirby Yates’s arsenal
4-Seam 58% usedbarrels 23% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Splitter 41% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Samy Natera Jr.’s arsenal
4-Seam 79% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 3 HR
Slider 21% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs José Fermin’s arsenal
Slider 59% usedbarrels 14% · allows 13% · 4 HR
4-Seam 32% usedbarrels 23% · allows — · 5 HR
Sinker 8% usedbarrels 5% · allows — · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brent Suter’s arsenal
4-Seam 41% usedbarrels 11% · allows 8% · 3 HR
Change 35% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sinker 20% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 4% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Chase Silseth’s arsenal
Sweeper 35% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 3 HR
4-Seam 28% usedbarrels 23% · allows 0% · 5 HR
Splitter 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows 10% · 1 HR
Sinker 18% usedbarrels 5% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ryan Zeferjahn’s arsenal
Sweeper 27% usedbarrels 14% · allows 6% · 3 HR
4-Seam 26% usedbarrels 23% · allows — · 5 HR
Slider 19% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 4 HR
Cutter 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Sinker 11% usedbarrels 5% · allows 7% · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Sam Bachman’s arsenal
Slider 68% usedbarrels 14% · allows 3% · 4 HR
Sinker 32% usedbarrels 5% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.09 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 13% · EV 89 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 2/20 | 5 | 53% | 13% | 13% | 89 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/25 | 1/5 | 2 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 86 | — | 0 |
| 06/24 | 0/3 | 0 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 94 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 0/3 | 1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 90 | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 0/4 | 0 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 90 | — | 0 |
| 06/19 | 1/5 | 2 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 85 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (549 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed75.3 mph
Swing length7.3 ft
Attack angle11.5°
contact
swing timing
Early22%
On-time64%
Late14%
miss profile
Over10%
Under16%
Tied-up9%
Centered58%
Flailed34%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 9 HR in 99 PA
vs RHP · 17 HR in 289 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME9 HR / 165 PA · 5.5%
Home · .541 SLG
Away AWAY10 HR / 169 PA · 5.9%
Away · .471 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 21% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×1.09 → park fits his pull power.
Pitcher
Reid Detmers • LHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH3/5 W–L • 3.93 ERA (39th) • 104 Ks (12th) • 1.05 WHIP (15th)0.7 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 26% FB • 26% K • 3.93 ERA (H 4.50 / A 3.42)▬ Holding steady0.72hittability
Reid Detmers • LHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
3/5 W–L • 3.93 ERA (39th) • 104 Ks (12th) • 1.05 WHIP (15th)
0.7 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 26% FB • 26% K • 3.93 ERA (H 4.50 / A 3.42)
▬ Holding steady
0.72
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/21 6.0 IP · 90 P0 HR
06/16 7.0 IP · 90 P0 HR
06/10 7.0 IP · 89 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Kurtz 26%, Soderstrom 13%, Butler 7%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 28%, Langeliers 27%, Bolte 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 1 HR in 112 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 6 HR in 310 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 10:50
spin 3:47
spin 4:53
spin 10:20
spin 10:50
spin 3:47
spin 4:53
spin 10:20
spin 10:50
spin 3:47
spin 4:53
spin 10:20
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.82 | 4 | — | — | 30% | 4.50 |
| Away | 0.54 | 3 | — | — | 25% | 3.42 |
| vs LHB | 0.70 | 1 | 13% | 24% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.83 | 6 | 10% | 27% | 27% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Reid Detmers carries a 0.70 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 6 of 7 times (0.8 HR/9 to RHB).
Mitch Farris • LHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH0/0 W–L • 3.45 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.53 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 3.45 ERA (H 2.13 / A 4.34)▬ Holding steady0.97hittability
Mitch Farris • LHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
0/0 W–L • 3.45 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.53 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 3.45 ERA (H 2.13 / A 4.34)
▬ Holding steady
0.97
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 2.0 IP · 27 P0 HR
06/19 2.0 IP · 41 P1 HR
06/12 2.2 IP · 48 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Kurtz 26%, Soderstrom 13%, Butler 7%
vs righty batscutter · change
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 28%, Langeliers 27%, Bolte 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 67 PA
vs RHB · 2.0 HR/9 · 6 HR in 83 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.71 | 1 | — | — | 19% | 2.13 |
| Away | 2.41 | 5 | — | — | 25% | 4.34 |
| vs LHB | 0.66 | 0 | 12% | 19% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.99 | 6 | 17% | 24% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Mitch Farris carries a 1.43 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 6 of 6 times (3.4 HR/9 to RHB).
Kirby Yates • RHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH0/3 W–L • 3.45 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.09 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 27% K • 3.45 ERA (H 2.53 / A 5.40)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.95hittability
Kirby Yates • RHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
0/3 W–L • 3.45 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.09 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 27% K • 3.45 ERA (H 2.53 / A 5.40)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.95
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/22 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/19 0.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Kurtz 26%, Soderstrom 13%, Butler 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 28%, Langeliers 27%, Bolte 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 2 HR in 37 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 40 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.84 | 1 | — | — | 37% | 2.53 |
| Away | 1.80 | 1 | — | — | 25% | 5.40 |
| vs LHB | 1.47 | 2 | 16% | 25% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.80 | 0 | 11% | 24% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Kirby Yates carries a 1.08 HR/9.
Samy Natera Jr. • LHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH0/0 W–L • 1.13 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.00 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 27% FB • 26% K • 1.13 ERA (H 1.93 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.87hittability
Samy Natera Jr. • LHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
0/0 W–L • 1.13 ERA • 10 Ks • 1.00 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 27% FB • 26% K • 1.13 ERA (H 1.93 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.87
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.2 IP · 27 P0 HR
06/23 0.1 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/20 1.1 IP · 28 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 0 HR in 18 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 0 HR in 24 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 28% | 1.93 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 36% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.98 | 0 | 12% | 25% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.93 | 0 | 14% | 25% | 26% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Samy Natera Jr. carries a 0.71 HR/9.
José Fermin • RHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH2/1 W–L • 4.12 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.58 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 19% FB • 23% K • 4.12 ERA (H 6.00 / A 2.53)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.84hittability
José Fermin • RHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
2/1 W–L • 4.12 ERA • 22 Ks • 1.58 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 19% FB • 23% K • 4.12 ERA (H 6.00 / A 2.53)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.84
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.1 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/22 1.1 IP · 26 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Kurtz 26%, Soderstrom 13%, Butler 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 28%, Langeliers 27%, Bolte 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 41 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 53 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 2 | — | — | 26% | 6.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 23% | 2.53 |
| vs LHB | 1.11 | 1 | 16% | 20% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.01 | 1 | 11% | 22% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
José Fermin carries a 0.96 HR/9. He owns a 6.00 ERA at home.
Brent Suter • LHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH1/2 W–L • 4.14 ERA • 38 Ks • 1.20 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 17% FB • 21% K • 4.14 ERA (H 4.50 / A 3.86)▬ Holding steady0.82hittability
Brent Suter • LHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
1/2 W–L • 4.14 ERA • 38 Ks • 1.20 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 17% FB • 21% K • 4.14 ERA (H 4.50 / A 3.86)
▬ Holding steady
0.82
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/22 2.0 IP · 35 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 20 P1 HR
06/18 2.0 IP · 28 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Kurtz 26%, Soderstrom 13%, Butler 7%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 28%, Langeliers 27%, Bolte 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 4 HR in 82 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 3 HR in 141 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.45 | 1 | — | — | 20% | 4.50 |
| Away | 1.40 | 4 | — | — | 21% | 3.86 |
| vs LHB | 1.53 | 4 | 16% | 18% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.95 | 3 | 10% | 19% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Brent Suter carries a 1.20 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 3 of 7 times (0.6 HR/9 to RHB).
Chase Silseth • RHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH3/1 W–L • 2.40 ERA • 34 Ks • 1.40 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 24% K • 2.40 ERA (H 2.40 / A 2.40)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.79hittability
Chase Silseth • RHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
3/1 W–L • 2.40 ERA • 34 Ks • 1.40 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 24% FB • 24% K • 2.40 ERA (H 2.40 / A 2.40)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.79
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/23 0.2 IP · 9 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 24 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Kurtz 26%, Soderstrom 13%, Butler 7%
vs righty batssplit · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 28%, Langeliers 27%, Bolte 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 84 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 3 HR in 73 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 2 | — | — | 30% | 2.40 |
| Away | 0.60 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 2.40 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 1 | 12% | 22% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.38 | 3 | 15% | 25% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Chase Silseth carries a 1.03 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (1.9 HR/9 to RHB).
Ryan Zeferjahn • RHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH3/3 W–L • 4.42 ERA • 49 Ks • 1.31 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 27% K • 4.42 ERA (H 5.89 / A 2.95)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.76hittability
Ryan Zeferjahn • RHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
3/3 W–L • 4.42 ERA • 49 Ks • 1.31 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 27% K • 4.42 ERA (H 5.89 / A 2.95)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.76
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/20 1.2 IP · 24 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 86 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 3 HR in 105 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.49 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 5.89 |
| Away | 0.98 | 2 | — | — | 33% | 2.95 |
| vs LHB | 0.81 | 1 | 14% | 25% | 27% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.14 | 3 | 11% | 21% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Ryan Zeferjahn carries a 0.89 HR/9. He owns a 5.89 ERA at home.
Sam Bachman • RHP (LAA)ATH @ LAA | vs ATH1/1 W–L • 3.44 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.15 WHIP1.1 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 26% FB • 27% K • 3.44 ERA (H 3.00 / A 4.02)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.71hittability
Sam Bachman • RHP (LAA)
ATH @ LAA | vs ATH
1/1 W–L • 3.44 ERA • 37 Ks • 1.15 WHIP
1.1 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 26% FB • 27% K • 3.44 ERA (H 3.00 / A 4.02)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.71
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/23 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Kurtz 26%, Soderstrom 13%, Butler 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Muncy 28%, Langeliers 27%, Bolte 8%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 3 HR in 88 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 86 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 3 | — | — | 28% | 3.00 |
| Away | 1.15 | 2 | — | — | 21% | 4.02 |
| vs LHB | 1.25 | 3 | 12% | 26% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.04 | 2 | 11% | 24% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Sam Bachman carries a 1.12 HR/9. Righties have taken him deep 2 of 5 times (0.9 HR/9 to RHB).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Reid DetmersC
Arms like Reid Detmers
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Yusei Kikuchi, Jacob Latz, Carlos Rodón, Justin Wrobleski, Shane McClanahan, Jack Dreyer.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 41 PA (9.8% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Mitch FarrisA · ×1.11
Arms like Mitch Farris
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jeffrey Springs, Eric Lauer, Matthew Boyd, José Suarez, Eduardo Rodriguez, Jacob Latz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 20 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Kirby YatesA · ×1.30
Arms like Kirby Yates
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kyle Finnegan, Kevin Gausman, Tyler Mahle, Chase Silseth, Joe Ryan, Cade Smith.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 18 PA (11.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Samy Natera Jr.A · ×1.28
Matchup vs José FerminB · ×1.06
Arms like José Fermin
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Andrés Muñoz, Dennis Santana, Kevin Ginkel, Jonathan Bowlan, Nick Mears, Dylan Cease.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 17 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Brent SuterB · ×1.07
Arms like Brent Suter
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): David Peterson, José Suarez, Jeffrey Springs, Patrick Corbin, Parker Messick, Mitch Farris.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 27 PA (3.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Chase SilsethA · ×1.23
Arms like Chase Silseth
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Seranthony Domínguez, Zack Wheeler, Kyle Finnegan, Yoendrys Gómez, Ryan Weiss, Orion Kerkering.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 23 PA (17.4% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ryan ZeferjahnA · ×1.15
Arms like Ryan Zeferjahn
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Luis Severino, Shohei Ohtani, Andrew Painter, Jack Perkins, Brad Keller, Kyle Leahy.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 11 PA (9.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Sam BachmanB · ×1.01
Arms like Sam Bachman
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tommy Nance, Jaden Hill, Abner Uribe, JT Brubaker, Max Meyer, Camilo Doval.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 21 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Junior Caminero RTB HOME vs Jose Cabrera R · TB PROJwind 1.05park 0.97brl 16%recent 0% HOT26%MatchupA+278
Junior Caminero R
TB HOME vs Jose Cabrera R · TB PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.97brl 16%recent 0% HOT
26%
MatchupA
+278
Junior Caminero R
TB HOME vs Jose Cabrera R · TB PROJ
wind 1.05park 0.97brl 16%recent 0% HOT
26%
Matchup summary · vs Jose Cabrera
Batter Summary 📉 Cooling off
Caminero has 17 of his 19 HRs off RHP, 49% hard-hit that side. 12 of his 19 HRs have come at home, slugging .625 there. Caminero has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .203 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 0% well-hit (lg 14%), 83% hard-hit · 0 HR in 10 PA. Recent contact quality has slipped below league — a real cool-down, not just bad luck. The "HOT" chip is matchup-only — he still grades hot vs Cabrera’s arsenal even while the overall bat cools.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
The park favors RH power, big power vs RHP (14% barrels) and most of his pop comes at home.
The park favors RH power, big power vs RHP (14% barrels) and most of his pop comes at home.
🏟️ Homered here 29× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Cabrera (career): 2/3 AB | 0 HR | 0K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Sewald throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—57% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
101
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/50
HR
3
28 BBE
Sweeper—43% used
Whiff
38%
Contact
62%
EV
96
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
19/44
HR
1
16 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Jameson throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—52% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
93
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
26/47
HR
1
34 BBE
Sinker—20% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
92
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
13/61
HR
3
31 BBE
Change—15% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
10/80
HR
0
10 BBE
4-Seam—13% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
101
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/50
HR
3
28 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Clarke throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—52% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
93
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
26/47
HR
1
34 BBE
Sinker—30% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
92
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
13/61
HR
3
31 BBE
4-Seam—9% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
101
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/50
HR
3
28 BBE
Change—7% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
10/80
HR
0
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Thompson throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—54% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
92
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
13/61
HR
3
31 BBE
Slider—42% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
93
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
26/47
HR
1
34 BBE
4-Seam—4% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
101
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/50
HR
3
28 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Loáisiga throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—61% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
92
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
13/61
HR
3
31 BBE
Curve—26% used
Whiff
36%
Contact
64%
EV
69
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
4 BBE
Change—6% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
10/80
HR
0
10 BBE
4-Seam—5% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
101
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/50
HR
3
28 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Ginkel throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—50% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
93
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
26/47
HR
1
34 BBE
4-Seam—39% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
101
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/50
HR
3
28 BBE
Sinker—10% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
92
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
13/61
HR
3
31 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Garcia throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—56% used
Whiff
4%
Contact
96%
EV
98
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
6/81
HR
1
16 BBE
Slider—22% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
83
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/43
HR
0
7 BBE
Sweeper—20% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
105
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
3 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Morillo throws / Caminero hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caminero’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—34% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
101
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/50
HR
3
28 BBE
Sinker—31% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
92
Barrel
3%
Air/Gnd
13/61
HR
3
31 BBE
Slider—30% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
93
Barrel
9%
Air/Gnd
26/47
HR
1
34 BBE
Change—4% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
10/80
HR
0
10 BBE
🎯 Target
Not enough arsenal data for this arm.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Paul Sewald’s arsenal
4-Seam 57% usedbarrels 14% · allows 12% · 3 HR
Sweeper 43% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Drey Jameson’s arsenal
Slider 52% usedbarrels 9% · allows — · 1 HR
Sinker 20% usedbarrels 3% · allows — · 3 HR
Change 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
4-Seam 13% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Taylor Clarke’s arsenal
Slider 52% usedbarrels 9% · allows 12% · 1 HR
Sinker 30% usedbarrels 3% · allows 8% · 3 HR
4-Seam 9% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 3 HR
Change 7% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Ryan Thompson’s arsenal
Sinker 54% usedbarrels 3% · allows 4% · 3 HR
Slider 42% usedbarrels 9% · allows 4% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jonathan Loáisiga’s arsenal
Sinker 61% usedbarrels 3% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Curve 26% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8%
Change 6% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
4-Seam 5% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kevin Ginkel’s arsenal
Slider 50% usedbarrels 9% · allows 6% · 1 HR
4-Seam 39% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Sinker 10% usedbarrels 3% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brandyn Garcia’s arsenal
Sinker 56% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Slider 22% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Sweeper 20% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Juan Morillo’s arsenal
4-Seam 34% usedbarrels 14% · allows 10% · 3 HR
Sinker 31% usedbarrels 3% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Slider 30% usedbarrels 9% · allows 14% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 21% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 95 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 6/20 | 6 | 43% | 36% | 0% | 95 | 80% | 4 |
| 06/25 | 3/5 | 1 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 96 | 150% | 3 |
| 06/24 | 0/2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 3/5 | 0 | 40% | 40% | 0% | 103 | 50% | 1 |
| 06/22 | 0/4 | 0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 91 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/21 | 0/4 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 71 | — | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (531 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed80.0 mph
Swing length8.6 ft
Attack angle6.3°
contact
swing timing
Early26%
On-time64%
Late10%
miss profile
Over15%
Under22%
Tied-up13%
Centered67%
Flailed20%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 3 HR in 106 PA
vs RHP · 16 HR in 263 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME12 HR / 172 PA · 7.0%
Home · .625 SLG
Away AWAY7 HR / 170 PA · 4.1%
Away · .417 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 21% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×1.13 → park fits his pull power.
Pitcher
Jose Cabrera RHP
No stat profile (low sample).
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Paul Sewald • RHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 40% FB • 25% K • 4.03 ERA (H 3.52 / A 4.61)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.29hittability
Paul Sewald • RHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 40% FB • 25% K • 4.03 ERA (H 3.52 / A 4.61)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.29
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 0.2 IP · 23 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
06/15 1.0 IP · 20 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 26%, Mullins 10%, Palacios 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 26%, Díaz 12%, DeLuca 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 4 HR in 67 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 62 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 4 | — | — | 33% | 3.52 |
| Away | 0.66 | 1 | — | — | 25% | 4.61 |
| vs LHB | 1.69 | 4 | 15% | 35% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.95 | 1 | 12% | 30% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Paul Sewald carries a 1.39 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 1 of 5 times (0.6 HR/9 to RHB). TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Drey Jameson • RHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB0.9 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 19% K • 5.79 ERA (H 7.71 / A 3.86)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.05hittability
Drey Jameson • RHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
0.9 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 23% FB • 19% K • 5.79 ERA (H 7.71 / A 3.86)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.05
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 2.0 IP · 29 P1 HR
06/19 1.2 IP · 33 P0 HR
06/16 2.0 IP · 27 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 26%, Mullins 10%, Palacios 7%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 26%, Díaz 12%, DeLuca 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 0 HR in 30 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 28 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 21% | 7.71 |
| Away | 1.93 | 1 | — | — | 11% | 3.86 |
| vs LHB | 0.88 | 0 | 12% | 21% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.24 | 1 | 16% | 25% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Drey Jameson carries a 0.93 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Taylor Clarke • RHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 19% K • 2.10 ERA (H 1.08 / A 3.06)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.82hittability
Taylor Clarke • RHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 21% FB • 19% K • 2.10 ERA (H 1.08 / A 3.06)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.82
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/22 1.1 IP · 27 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 11 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 26%, Mullins 10%, Palacios 7%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 26%, Díaz 12%, DeLuca 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 78 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 72 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.54 | 1 | — | — | 21% | 1.08 |
| Away | 0.51 | 1 | — | — | 10% | 3.06 |
| vs LHB | 0.85 | 1 | 13% | 20% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.13 | 2 | 12% | 23% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Taylor Clarke carries a 0.89 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Ryan Thompson • RHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB0.9 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 17% FB • 17% K • 2.86 ERA (H 6.00 / A 0.55)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.78hittability
Ryan Thompson • RHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
0.9 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 17% FB • 17% K • 2.86 ERA (H 6.00 / A 0.55)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.78
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/24 2.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 20 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 26%, Mullins 10%, Palacios 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 26%, Díaz 12%, DeLuca 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 54 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 87 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 6.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 16% | 0.55 |
| vs LHB | 1.29 | 2 | 11% | 19% | 16% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.80 | 1 | 10% | 20% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Ryan Thompson carries a 0.93 HR/9. TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Jonathan Loáisiga • RHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 19% FB • 18% K • 2.73 ERA (H 2.25 / A 3.29)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.77hittability
Jonathan Loáisiga • RHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 19% FB • 18% K • 2.73 ERA (H 2.25 / A 3.29)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.77
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/22 0.1 IP · 4 P0 HR
06/19 1.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 26%, Mullins 10%, Palacios 7%
vs righty batscurve
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 26%, Díaz 12%, DeLuca 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 70 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 59 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 13% | 2.25 |
| Away | 0.66 | 1 | — | — | 19% | 3.29 |
| vs LHB | 0.90 | 1 | 13% | 21% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.97 | 1 | 11% | 20% | 17% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jonathan Loáisiga carries a 0.78 HR/9. TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Kevin Ginkel • RHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 2.93 ERA (H 4.30 / A 1.69)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.75hittability
Kevin Ginkel • RHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 2.93 ERA (H 4.30 / A 1.69)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.75
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/23 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 25 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 16 P2 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 26%, Mullins 10%, Palacios 7%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 26%, Díaz 12%, DeLuca 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 82 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 3 HR in 67 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 3 | — | — | 21% | 4.30 |
| Away | 0.56 | 1 | — | — | 33% | 1.69 |
| vs LHB | 1.06 | 2 | 12% | 27% | 26% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.43 | 3 | 16% | 21% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Kevin Ginkel carries a 1.26 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 3 of 5 times (1.9 HR/9 to RHB). TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Brandyn Garcia • LHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB0.5 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 2.50 ERA (H 0.00 / A 5.63)▬ Holding steady0.61hittability
Brandyn Garcia • LHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
0.5 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 2.50 ERA (H 0.00 / A 5.63)
▬ Holding steady
0.61
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 0.1 IP · 4 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 38 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 0 HR in 46 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 27% | 0.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 5.63 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 0 | 11% | 21% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.77 | 0 | 11% | 25% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Brandyn Garcia carries a 0.50 HR/9. He owns a 5.63 ERA on the road. TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Juan Morillo • RHP (ARI)ARI @ TB | vs TB0.9 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 17% FB • 27% K • 2.97 ERA (H 2.30 / A 3.68)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.60hittability
Juan Morillo • RHP (ARI)
ARI @ TB | vs TB
0.9 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 17% FB • 27% K • 2.97 ERA (H 2.30 / A 3.68)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.60
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/23 0.1 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 9 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Aranda 26%, Mullins 10%, Palacios 7%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Caminero 26%, Díaz 12%, DeLuca 7%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 83 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 67 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 2.30 |
| Away | 1.23 | 2 | — | — | 32% | 3.68 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 1 | 9% | 16% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.17 | 2 | 12% | 23% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Juan Morillo carries a 0.89 HR/9. TB ranks 7th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Jose CabreraA
Matchup vs Paul SewaldA · ×1.23
Arms like Paul Sewald
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Grant Anderson, Connor Phillips, Juan Mejia, Casey Legumina, Matt Festa, Justin Sterner.
Matchup vs Drey JamesonB · ×1.05
Matchup vs Taylor ClarkeC · ×0.99
Arms like Taylor Clarke
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Alex Lange, Jaden Hill, Osvaldo Bido, Dennis Santana, Bryce Elder, Jesse Scholtens.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 14 PA (7.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Ryan ThompsonB · ×1.01
Arms like Ryan Thompson
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Kevin Kelly, Tyler Rogers, Ryan Walker, Jakob Junis, Trevor McDonald, J.T. Ginn.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 27 PA (3.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jonathan LoáisigaB · ×1.07
Arms like Jonathan Loáisiga
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Huascar Brazobán, Walbert Ureña, Adrian Houser, Edward Cabrera, Colin Holderman, Jack Kochanowicz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 30 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Kevin GinkelA · ×1.16
Arms like Kevin Ginkel
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Nick Mears, Gus Varland, Andrés Muñoz, Spencer Strider, Jordan Leasure, Dennis Santana.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 10 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Brandyn GarciaB · ×1.00
Arms like Brandyn Garcia
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Brant Hurter, JoJo Romero, José A. Ferrer, Gregory Soto, Cristopher Sánchez, Richard Lovelady.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 18 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Juan MorilloA · ×1.15
Arms like Juan Morillo
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Will Vest, Brad Keller, Victor Vodnik, Bubba Chandler, Jonathan Bowlan, Jack Leiter.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 4 HR in 29 PA (13.8% · league ~3%).
Pete Crow-Armstrong LCHC AWAY vs Kyle Harrison L · MIL PROJwind 1.00park 1.05brl 16%recent 33% HOT26%MatchupC+279
Pete Crow-Armstrong L
CHC AWAY vs Kyle Harrison L · MIL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.05brl 16%recent 33% HOT
26%
MatchupC
+279
Pete Crow-Armstrong L
CHC AWAY vs Kyle Harrison L · MIL PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.05brl 16%recent 33% HOT
26%
Matchup summary · vs Kyle Harrison
Batter Summary 🔥 Hot
Crow-Armstrong has 4 of his 17 HRs off LHP, 44% hard-hit that side. 7 of his 17 HRs have come on the road, slugging .472 there. Crow-Armstrong has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .847 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 33% well-hit (lg 14%), 78% hard-hit · 1 HR in 16 PA. Recent contact quality is beating league — the rating catches the heat before the HR totals show it.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs LHP (13% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
His fastball is flattening, big power vs LHP (13% barrels) and hot against this kind of arsenal.
🏟️ Homered here 3× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Harrison (career): 0/2 AB | 0 HR | 2K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Harrison throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 7459% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/40
HR
0
15 BBE
Slurve—36% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
SinkerSt 755% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/61
HR
0
18 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Anderson throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—54% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
32/29
HR
3
41 BBE
Sweeper—26% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
94
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/14
HR
1
7 BBE
Sinker—10% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/56
HR
0
9 BBE
Change—9% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
89
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
15/55
HR
0
20 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Patrick throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Cutter—38% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
4-Seam—30% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
32/29
HR
3
41 BBE
Sinker—16% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/56
HR
0
9 BBE
Change—9% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
89
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
15/55
HR
0
20 BBE
Slurve—6% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Drohan throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—33% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/40
HR
0
15 BBE
Slider—31% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
30/50
HR
1
10 BBE
Sinker—19% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/61
HR
0
18 BBE
Cutter—16% used
Whiff
80%
Contact
20%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Koenig throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—58% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/61
HR
0
18 BBE
Cutter—22% used
Whiff
80%
Contact
20%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Curve—19% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Megill throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—62% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
32/29
HR
3
41 BBE
Knuckle-Curve—38% used
Whiff
33%
Contact
67%
EV
58
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
3 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Kuhnel throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—46% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/56
HR
0
9 BBE
Cutter—20% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
Change—17% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
89
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
15/55
HR
0
20 BBE
4-Seam—11% used
Whiff
15%
Contact
85%
EV
91
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
32/29
HR
3
41 BBE
Slider—4% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
1
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Uribe throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—58% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/56
HR
0
9 BBE
Slider—39% used
Whiff
24%
Contact
76%
EV
90
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
1
11 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Ashby throws / Crow-Armstrong hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Crow-Armstrong’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—55% used
Whiff
13%
Contact
87%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/61
HR
0
18 BBE
Slider—25% used
Whiff
46%
Contact
54%
EV
96
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
30/50
HR
1
10 BBE
Curve—15% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
4-Seam—5% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
7/40
HR
0
15 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Kyle Harrison’s arsenal
4-Seam 59% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slurve 36% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Sinker 5% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Grant Anderson’s arsenal
4-Seam 54% usedbarrels 10% · allows 7% · 3 HR
Sweeper 26% usedbarrels 14% · allows 12% · 1 HR
Sinker 10% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Change 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Chad Patrick’s arsenal
Cutter 38% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
4-Seam 30% usedbarrels 10% · allows 10% · 3 HR
Sinker 16% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Change 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Slurve 6% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Shane Drohan’s arsenal
4-Seam 33% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 31% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Sinker 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Cutter 16% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jared Koenig’s arsenal
Sinker 58% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Cutter 22% usedbarrels — · allows —
Curve 19% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Trevor Megill’s arsenal
4-Seam 62% usedbarrels 10% · allows 7% · 3 HR
Knuckle-Curve 38% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Joel Kuhnel’s arsenal
Sinker 46% usedbarrels 0% · allows 4%
Cutter 20% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Change 17% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
4-Seam 11% usedbarrels 10% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Abner Uribe’s arsenal
Sinker 58% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 39% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Aaron Ashby’s arsenal
Sinker 55% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 25% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Curve 15% usedbarrels — · allows —
4-Seam 5% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 29% in the air; pull side RF — park ×0.82 → park+wind fights his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 14% · EV 87 · 2 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 10/24 | 10 | 36% | 29% | 14% | 87 | 50% | 2 |
| 06/25 | 2/5 | 1 | 75% | 0% | 0% | 98 | — | 0 |
| 06/24 | 2/9 | 5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 84 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/3 | 2 | 0% | 100% | 100% | 102 | 100% | 1 |
| 06/20 | 2/4 | 2 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 87 | 100% | 1 |
| 06/19 | 3/3 | 0 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 70 | 0% | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (661 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed74.8 mph
Swing length7.4 ft
Attack angle14.4°
contact
swing timing
Early22%
On-time65%
Late14%
miss profile
Over17%
Under22%
Tied-up14%
Centered65%
Flailed21%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 4 HR in 123 PA
vs RHP · 13 HR in 249 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME10 HR / 169 PA · 5.9%
Home · .575 SLG
Away AWAY7 HR / 181 PA · 3.9%
Away · .472 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 29% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×0.82 → park fights his pull power.
Pitcher
Kyle Harrison • LHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC8/1 W–L (Tied–9th) • 2.50 ERA • 87 Ks (Tied–32nd) • 1.06 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 26% FB • 28% K • 2.50 ERA (H 1.29 / A 4.20)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.82hittability
Kyle Harrison • LHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
8/1 W–L (Tied–9th) • 2.50 ERA • 87 Ks (Tied–32nd) • 1.06 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 26% FB • 28% K • 2.50 ERA (H 1.29 / A 4.20)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.82
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/20 6.1 IP · 85 P1 HR
06/14 6.0 IP · 80 P0 HR
06/08 2.1 IP · 71 P3 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 26%, Busch 13%, Conforto 13%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Happ 22%, Suzuki 22%, Kelly 21%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 94 PA
vs RHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 9 HR in 233 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 10:24
spin 4:41
spin 9:00
spin 10:24
spin 4:41
spin 9:00
spin 10:24
spin 4:41
spin 9:00
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.64 | 3 | — | — | 31% | 1.29 |
| Away | 1.50 | 5 | — | — | 29% | 4.20 |
| vs LHB | 0.77 | 1 | 15% | 24% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.40 | 9 | 14% | 26% | 29% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Kyle Harrison carries a 1.17 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (4 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 1 of 8 times (0.4 HR/9 to LHB). MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Grant Anderson • RHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC1/3 W–L • 3.41 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.14 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 27% FB • 20% K • 3.41 ERA (H 4.41 / A 2.35)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.09hittability
Grant Anderson • RHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
1/3 W–L • 3.41 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.14 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 27% FB • 20% K • 3.41 ERA (H 4.41 / A 2.35)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.09
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.2 IP · 24 P0 HR
06/18 0.2 IP · 21 P1 HR
06/17 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 26%, Happ 22%, Busch 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Suzuki 22%, Kelly 21%, Swanson 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.9 HR/9 · 4 HR in 54 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 81 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 3 | — | — | 22% | 4.41 |
| Away | 0.59 | 1 | — | — | 17% | 2.35 |
| vs LHB | 1.85 | 4 | 14% | 26% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.83 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Grant Anderson carries a 1.35 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (2.5 HR/9 to LHB). MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Chad Patrick • RHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC5/3 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.36 ERA • 52 Ks • 1.28 WHIP1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 23% FB • 20% K • 3.36 ERA (H 2.15 / A 5.25)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 31.02hittability
Chad Patrick • RHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
5/3 W–L (Tied–51st) • 3.36 ERA • 52 Ks • 1.28 WHIP
1.3 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 23% FB • 20% K • 3.36 ERA (H 2.15 / A 5.25)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
1.02
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.2 IP · 40 P relief0 HR
06/21 3.0 IP · 40 P bulk1 HR
06/17 3.1 IP · 50 P bulk0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 26%, Happ 22%, Busch 13%
vs righty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Suzuki 22%, Kelly 21%, Swanson 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 6 HR in 156 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 4 HR in 138 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.48 | 2 | — | — | 23% | 2.15 |
| Away | 1.50 | 4 | — | — | 17% | 5.25 |
| vs LHB | 1.37 | 6 | 16% | 26% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.14 | 4 | 11% | 20% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Chad Patrick carries a 1.28 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 6 of 10 times (1.1 HR/9 to LHB). MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Shane Drohan • LHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC3/2 W–L • 3.12 ERA • 52 Ks • 1.23 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 21% FB • 24% K • 3.12 ERA (H 3.00 / A 3.32)▬ Holding steady0.88hittability
Shane Drohan • LHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
3/2 W–L • 3.12 ERA • 52 Ks • 1.23 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 9% Barrel • 21% FB • 24% K • 3.12 ERA (H 3.00 / A 3.32)
▬ Holding steady
0.88
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 4.1 IP · 98 P0 HR
06/18 5.0 IP · 91 P1 HR
06/13 5.0 IP · 78 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 26%, Busch 13%, Conforto 13%
vs righty batscutter · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Happ 22%, Suzuki 22%, Kelly 21%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 86 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 5 HR in 156 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 4 | — | — | 26% | 3.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 21% | 3.32 |
| vs LHB | 0.58 | 0 | 11% | 22% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.21 | 5 | 10% | 22% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Shane Drohan carries a 0.87 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Jared Koenig • LHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 4 Ks • 2.14 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 22% FB • 23% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.87hittability
Jared Koenig • LHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
0/0 W–L • 0.00 ERA • 4 Ks • 2.14 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 22% FB • 23% K • 0.00 ERA (H 0.00 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.87
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
04/04 0.1 IP · 17 P0 HR
03/31 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
03/29 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 0 HR in 11 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 0 HR in 17 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 57% | 0.00 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 0% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.06 | 0 | 15% | 22% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 0 | 13% | 24% | 21% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jared Koenig carries a 0.82 HR/9. MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Trevor Megill • RHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC2/2 W–L • 3.72 ERA • 38 Ks • 1.00 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 30% K • 3.72 ERA (H 6.23 / A 1.69)▬ Holding steady0.86hittability
Trevor Megill • RHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
2/2 W–L • 3.72 ERA • 38 Ks • 1.00 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 23% FB • 30% K • 3.72 ERA (H 6.23 / A 1.69)
▬ Holding steady
0.86
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 53 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 79 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 32% | 6.23 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 32% | 1.69 |
| vs LHB | 0.72 | 0 | 11% | 23% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.85 | 1 | 14% | 23% | 32% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Trevor Megill carries a 0.57 HR/9. He owns a 6.23 ERA at home. MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Joel Kuhnel • RHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC1/2 W–L • 4.18 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.39 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 19% FB • 17% K • 4.18 ERA (H 4.61 / A 3.86)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.84hittability
Joel Kuhnel • RHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
1/2 W–L • 4.18 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.39 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 16% Barrel • 19% FB • 17% K • 4.18 ERA (H 4.61 / A 3.86)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.84
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 1.1 IP · 31 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 21 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 26%, Happ 22%, Busch 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Suzuki 22%, Kelly 21%, Swanson 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.8 HR/9 · 5 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 76 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 3 | — | — | 13% | 4.61 |
| Away | 0.96 | 2 | — | — | 15% | 3.86 |
| vs LHB | 1.82 | 5 | 18% | 23% | 16% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.86 | 1 | 12% | 18% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Joel Kuhnel carries a 1.41 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 5 of 6 times (2.4 HR/9 to LHB). MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Abner Uribe • RHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC4/2 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 3.38 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.13 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.38 ERA (H 4.30 / A 2.45)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.68hittability
Abner Uribe • RHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
4/2 W–L (Tied–82nd) • 3.38 ERA • 31 Ks • 1.13 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.38 ERA (H 4.30 / A 2.45)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.68
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/23 1.0 IP · 16 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 8 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 26%, Happ 22%, Busch 13%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Suzuki 22%, Kelly 21%, Swanson 10%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 58 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.61 | 1 | — | — | 25% | 4.30 |
| Away | 1.23 | 2 | — | — | 26% | 2.45 |
| vs LHB | 1.25 | 2 | 14% | 26% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.87 | 1 | 13% | 19% | 28% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Abner Uribe carries a 0.97 HR/9. MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Aaron Ashby • LHP (MIL)CHC @ MIL | vs CHC10/1 W–L (1st) • 3.04 ERA • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 1.31 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 18% FB • 29% K • 3.04 ERA (H 1.63 / A 5.03)▬ Holding steady0.63hittability
Aaron Ashby • LHP (MIL)
CHC @ MIL | vs CHC
10/1 W–L (1st) • 3.04 ERA • 66 Ks (Tied–74th) • 1.31 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 18% FB • 29% K • 3.04 ERA (H 1.63 / A 5.03)
▬ Holding steady
0.63
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 1.0 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/20 0.1 IP · 14 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Crow-Armstrong 26%, Busch 13%, Conforto 13%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Happ 22%, Suzuki 22%, Kelly 21%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 90 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 3 HR in 132 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.33 | 1 | — | — | 37% | 1.63 |
| Away | 1.37 | 3 | — | — | 28% | 5.03 |
| vs LHB | 0.79 | 1 | 11% | 22% | 28% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 3 | 13% | 18% | 28% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Aaron Ashby carries a 0.80 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). MIL is a tough HR park for LH hitters (28th).
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Kyle HarrisonC
Arms like Kyle Harrison
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Matthew Boyd, Trevor Rogers, Payton Tolle, Bryan Hudson, Carlos Rodón, Brent Headrick.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 27 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Grant AndersonA · ×1.12
Arms like Grant Anderson
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): John Schreiber, Casey Legumina, Kai-Wei Teng, Yohan Ramírez, Emerson Hancock, Greg Weissert.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 24 PA (8.3% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Chad PatrickA · ×1.14
Arms like Chad Patrick
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Randy Vásquez, Zack Kelly, Walker Buehler, Chase Shugart, Nick Martinez, Paxton Schultz.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 31 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Shane DrohanA · ×1.22
Arms like Shane Drohan
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Matthew Liberatore, Matt Strahm, Connor Prielipp, Carlos Rodón, Justin Wrobleski, Sean Newcomb.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 27 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jared KoenigA · ×1.23
Arms like Jared Koenig
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Steven Matz, Adrian Morejon, Aaron Ashby, José Alvarado, Kody Funderburk, Framber Valdez.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 36 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Trevor MegillA · ×1.16
Arms like Trevor Megill
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Robert Suarez, Ben Brown, Louis Varland, Chase Burns, Grant Taylor, Bubba Chandler.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 27 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Joel KuhnelA · ×1.22
Arms like Joel Kuhnel
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Adrian Houser, J.T. Ginn, JT Brubaker, Kumar Rocker, Brayan Bello, Clay Holmes.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 35 PA (5.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Abner UribeA · ×1.32
Arms like Abner Uribe
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryan Walker, Riley O'Brien, Trevor McDonald, Sam Bachman, JT Brubaker, Joel Kuhnel.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 34 PA (5.9% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Aaron AshbyA · ×1.29
Arms like Aaron Ashby
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Framber Valdez, José A. Ferrer, Steven Matz, Wandy Peralta, Adrian Morejon, John King.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 35 PA (2.9% · league ~3%).
Jac Caglianone LKC AWAY vs Davis Martin R · CWS PROJwind 1.00park 1.08brl 24%recent 40% HOT26%MatchupC+280
Jac Caglianone L
KC AWAY vs Davis Martin R · CWS PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 24%recent 40% HOT
26%
MatchupC
+280
Jac Caglianone L
KC AWAY vs Davis Martin R · CWS PROJ
wind 1.00park 1.08brl 24%recent 40% HOT
26%
Matchup summary · vs Davis Martin
Batter Summary ➖ Steady
Caglianone has 9 of his 14 HRs off RHP, 57% hard-hit that side. 5 of his 14 HRs have come on the road, slugging .433 there. Caglianone has been hot against arms like this lately.
Form Only 9 PA in the last ~3 weeks — too thin to read, so the rating stays near neutral.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
The park favors LH power, his fastball is flattening and big power vs RHP (22% barrels).
The park favors LH power, his fastball is flattening and big power vs RHP (22% barrels).
⚾ vs Martin (career): 1/5 AB | 0 HR | 2K
AAA ’25–’26: 11 HR / 129 PA · .348 ISO AAA-informed ▲
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Martin throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-SeamSt 2933% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
99
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
14/39
HR
3
28 BBE
ChangeSt 7829% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
23/62
HR
0
13 BBE
CurveSt 7911% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
0
9 BBE
SliderSt 5310% used
Whiff
51%
Contact
49%
EV
101
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
36/18
HR
0
11 BBE
CutterSt 519% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
96
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/30
HR
0
10 BBE
SinkerSt 407% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
101
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
40/60
HR
0
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Richards throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—65% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
99
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
14/39
HR
3
28 BBE
Change—35% used
Whiff
32%
Contact
68%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
23/62
HR
0
13 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Eisert throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—57% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
104
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
1
5 BBE
4-Seam—30% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
100
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/29
HR
2
7 BBE
Sinker—8% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
14/71
HR
0
14 BBE
Change—5% used
Whiff
—
Contact
—
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Pitch-by-pitch · Murphy throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—32% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
100
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/29
HR
2
7 BBE
Slider—21% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
104
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
1
5 BBE
Sinker—19% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
14/71
HR
0
14 BBE
Curve—15% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
Sweeper—14% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
60/20
HR
0
5 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Hudson throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—64% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
100
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/29
HR
2
7 BBE
Sweeper—23% used
Whiff
39%
Contact
61%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
60/20
HR
0
5 BBE
Sinker—12% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
14/71
HR
0
14 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Domínguez throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—46% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
99
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
14/39
HR
3
28 BBE
Splitter—29% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
0
4 BBE
Sweeper—9% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
33/33
HR
1
9 BBE
Curve—9% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
0
9 BBE
Sinker—8% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
101
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
40/60
HR
0
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Hicks throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—52% used
Whiff
21%
Contact
79%
EV
101
Barrel
10%
Air/Gnd
40/60
HR
0
10 BBE
Sweeper—21% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
97
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
33/33
HR
1
9 BBE
4-Seam—14% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
99
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
14/39
HR
3
28 BBE
Splitter—10% used
Whiff
56%
Contact
44%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Taylor throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—58% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
99
Barrel
11%
Air/Gnd
14/39
HR
3
28 BBE
Curve—31% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
88
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
11/78
HR
0
9 BBE
Cutter—11% used
Whiff
30%
Contact
70%
EV
96
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
20/30
HR
0
10 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Newcomb throws / Caglianone hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Caglianone’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—43% used
Whiff
12%
Contact
88%
EV
82
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
14/71
HR
0
14 BBE
Slurve—27% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
78
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
33/67
HR
0
3 BBE
4-Seam—24% used
Whiff
31%
Contact
69%
EV
100
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
29/29
HR
2
7 BBE
Cutter—7% used
Whiff
18%
Contact
82%
EV
87
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
33/33
HR
0
3 BBE
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Davis Martin’s arsenal
4-Seam 33% usedbarrels 11% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Change 29% usedbarrels 0% · allows 2%
Curve 11% usedbarrels 0% · allows 20%
Slider 10% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Cutter 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows 5%
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Trevor Richards’s arsenal
4-Seam 65% usedbarrels 11% · allows 7% · 3 HR
Change 35% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Brandon Eisert’s arsenal
Slider 57% usedbarrels 20% · allows 0% · 1 HR
4-Seam 30% usedbarrels 14% · allows 14% · 2 HR
Sinker 8% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Change 5% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Chris Murphy’s arsenal
4-Seam 32% usedbarrels 14% · allows — · 2 HR
Slider 21% usedbarrels 20% · allows — · 1 HR
Sinker 19% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Curve 15% usedbarrels — · allows —
Sweeper 14% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Bryan Hudson’s arsenal
4-Seam 64% usedbarrels 14% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Sweeper 23% usedbarrels 0% · allows 9%
Sinker 12% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Seranthony Domínguez’s arsenal
4-Seam 46% usedbarrels 11% · allows 7% · 3 HR
Splitter 29% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sweeper 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Curve 9% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Sinker 8% usedbarrels 10% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jordan Hicks’s arsenal
Sinker 52% usedbarrels 10% · allows 0%
Sweeper 21% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
4-Seam 14% usedbarrels 11% · allows — · 3 HR
Splitter 10% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Grant Taylor’s arsenal
4-Seam 58% usedbarrels 11% · allows 4% · 3 HR
Curve 31% usedbarrels 0% · allows 8%
Cutter 11% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Sean Newcomb’s arsenal
Sinker 43% usedbarrels 0% · allows 7%
Slurve 27% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
4-Seam 24% usedbarrels 14% · allows 17% · 2 HR
Cutter 7% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 19% in the air; pull side RF — park ×1.13 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 17% · EV 102 · 4 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 5/20 | 8 | 58% | 33% | 17% | 102 | 100% | 4 |
| 06/25 | 0/4 | 3 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 90 | — | 0 |
| 06/24 | 0/4 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 106 | — | 0 |
| 06/23 | 3/5 | 1 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 105 | 200% | 2 |
| 06/22 | 0/4 | 1 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 94 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/21 | 2/3 | 1 | 0% | 100% | 50% | 108 | 100% | 2 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (555 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed77.0 mph
Swing length7.9 ft
Attack angle9.1°
contact
swing timing
Early25%
On-time56%
Late19%
miss profile
Over16%
Under24%
Tied-up14%
Centered59%
Flailed28%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 6 HR in 93 PA
vs RHP · 9 HR in 225 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME9 HR / 157 PA · 5.7%
Home · .525 SLG
Away AWAY5 HR / 132 PA · 3.8%
Away · .433 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 19% of contact in the air; his pull side is RF here — HR factor ×1.13 → park fits his pull power.
Pitcher
Davis Martin • RHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC9/3 W–L (Tied–2nd) • 3.18 ERA (20th) • 87 Ks (Tied–32nd) • 1.20 WHIP (36th)0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 24% K • 3.18 ERA (H 1.01 / A 4.67)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.85hittability
Davis Martin • RHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
9/3 W–L (Tied–2nd) • 3.18 ERA (20th) • 87 Ks (Tied–32nd) • 1.20 WHIP (36th)
0.8 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 24% K • 3.18 ERA (H 1.01 / A 4.67)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.85
hittability
Last 3 starts · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/21 6.0 IP · 77 P0 HR
06/16 3.1 IP · 88 P3 HR
06/10 6.0 IP · 100 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 4 HR in 224 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 3 HR in 163 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 1:12
spin 1:13
spin 9:37
spin 1:57
spin 12:15
spin 7:48
spin 1:12
spin 1:13
spin 9:37
spin 1:57
spin 12:15
spin 7:48
spin 1:12
spin 1:13
spin 9:37
spin 1:57
spin 12:15
spin 7:48
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs LHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.25 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 1.01 |
| Away | 0.87 | 5 | — | — | 22% | 4.67 |
| vs LHB | 0.82 | 4 | 14% | 21% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.87 | 3 | 14% | 20% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Davis Martin carries a 0.76 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (3 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 6 times (0.7 HR/9 to LHB). CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Trevor Richards • RHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC0/0 W–L • 4.15 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.00 WHIP1.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 31% FB • 20% K • 4.15 ERA (H 5.40 / A 3.38)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.34hittability
Trevor Richards • RHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
0/0 W–L • 4.15 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.00 WHIP
1.7 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 31% FB • 20% K • 4.15 ERA (H 5.40 / A 3.38)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.34
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/20 1.0 IP · 16 P1 HR
06/17 2.0 IP · 44 P1 HR
06/12 2.0 IP · 21 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · change
Most likely to capitalize: Caglianone 26%, Jensen 23%, Massey 11%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Jr. 21%, Perez 15%, Thomas 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 4 HR in 62 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 57 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 2 | — | — | 25% | 5.40 |
| Away | 2.25 | 4 | — | — | 16% | 3.38 |
| vs LHB | 1.75 | 4 | 15% | 33% | 17% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.26 | 2 | 13% | 23% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Trevor Richards carries a 1.68 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 4 of 6 times (3.0 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 5.40 ERA at home. CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Brandon Eisert • LHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC1/1 W–L • 5.49 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.37 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 25% K • 5.49 ERA (H 6.75 / A 4.35)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.97hittability
Brandon Eisert • LHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
1/1 W–L • 5.49 ERA • 24 Ks • 1.37 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 26% FB • 25% K • 5.49 ERA (H 6.75 / A 4.35)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.97
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/24 1.2 IP · 24 P relief0 HR
06/21 0.0 IP · 14 P relief0 HR
06/19 1.1 IP · 32 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam · slider
Most likely to capitalize: Caglianone 26%, Jensen 23%, Massey 11%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Jr. 21%, Perez 15%, Thomas 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.7 HR/9 · 3 HR in 44 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 56 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 3 | — | — | 21% | 6.75 |
| Away | 0.87 | 1 | — | — | 34% | 4.35 |
| vs LHB | 1.70 | 3 | 15% | 27% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 1 | 13% | 22% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Brandon Eisert carries a 1.40 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (2.8 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 6.75 ERA at home. CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Chris Murphy • LHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC2/0 W–L • 4.80 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.60 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 20% FB • 23% K • 4.80 ERA (H 2.57 / A 6.75)▬ Holding steady0.88hittability
Chris Murphy • LHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
2/0 W–L • 4.80 ERA • 16 Ks • 1.60 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 20% FB • 23% K • 4.80 ERA (H 2.57 / A 6.75)
▬ Holding steady
0.88
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.1 IP · 23 P0 HR
06/22 0.2 IP · 6 P relief0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 16 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker
Most likely to capitalize: Caglianone 26%, Jensen 23%, Massey 11%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Jr. 21%, Perez 15%, Thomas 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 38 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 60 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 1 | — | — | 15% | 2.57 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 29% | 6.75 |
| vs LHB | 1.14 | 1 | 14% | 19% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.96 | 1 | 11% | 24% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Chris Murphy carries a 0.94 HR/9. CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Bryan Hudson • LHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC3/2 W–L • 2.19 ERA • 34 Ks • 1.22 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 22% FB • 22% K • 2.19 ERA (H 1.27 / A 3.45)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.85hittability
Bryan Hudson • LHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
3/2 W–L • 2.19 ERA • 34 Ks • 1.22 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 22% FB • 22% K • 2.19 ERA (H 1.27 / A 3.45)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.85
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/22 1.1 IP · 23 P relief0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 10 P relief0 HR
06/18 1.2 IP · 27 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 73 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 2 HR in 94 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.42 | 1 | — | — | 19% | 1.27 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 25% | 3.45 |
| vs LHB | 0.88 | 1 | 14% | 23% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 2 | 11% | 22% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Bryan Hudson carries a 0.82 HR/9. CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Seranthony Domínguez • RHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC3/3 W–L • 4.45 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.34 WHIP1.4 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 25% K • 4.45 ERA (H 5.50 / A 2.61)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.81hittability
Seranthony Domínguez • RHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
3/3 W–L • 4.45 ERA • 33 Ks • 1.34 WHIP
1.4 HR/9 • 14% Barrel • 20% FB • 25% K • 4.45 ERA (H 5.50 / A 2.61)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.81
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/22 0.1 IP · 22 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 27 P0 HR
06/19 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssinker · split
Most likely to capitalize: Caglianone 26%, Jensen 23%, Massey 11%
vs righty batssinker · sweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Jr. 21%, Perez 15%, Thomas 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.4 HR/9 · 3 HR in 71 PA
vs RHB · 1.3 HR/9 · 2 HR in 55 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 4 | — | — | 26% | 5.50 |
| Away | 0.87 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 2.61 |
| vs LHB | 1.39 | 3 | 16% | 22% | 25% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.28 | 2 | 12% | 21% | 24% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Seranthony Domínguez carries a 1.41 HR/9. Lefties have taken him deep 3 of 5 times (1.7 HR/9 to LHB). He owns a 5.50 ERA at home. CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Jordan Hicks • RHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC0/1 W–L • 5.60 ERA • 15 Ks • 2.15 WHIP0.9 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 22% FB • 20% K • 5.60 ERA (H 6.48 / A 4.82)▲ Easier to take deep lately0.79hittability
Jordan Hicks • RHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
0/1 W–L • 5.60 ERA • 15 Ks • 2.15 WHIP
0.9 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 22% FB • 20% K • 5.60 ERA (H 6.48 / A 4.82)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
0.79
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/21 0.0 IP · 2 P0 HR
05/20 0.1 IP · 5 P1 HR
05/18 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 1 HR in 42 PA
vs RHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 65 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 18% | 6.48 |
| Away | 0.96 | 1 | — | — | 16% | 4.82 |
| vs LHB | 1.10 | 1 | 11% | 20% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.93 | 1 | 12% | 25% | 19% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Jordan Hicks carries a 0.89 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). He owns a 6.48 ERA at home. CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Grant Taylor • RHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC2/1 W–L • 2.97 ERA • 56 Ks • 1.19 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 27% FB • 28% K • 2.97 ERA (H 2.35 / A 3.86)▼ Tougher to homer off lately0.73hittability
Grant Taylor • RHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
2/1 W–L • 2.97 ERA • 56 Ks • 1.19 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 27% FB • 28% K • 2.97 ERA (H 2.35 / A 3.86)
▼ Tougher to homer off lately
0.73
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▼ Tougher to homer off lately This pitcher is trending the right way — fewer homers.
06/24 1.0 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/22 0.2 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 20 P1 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Caglianone 26%, Jensen 23%, Massey 11%
vs righty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Jr. 21%, Perez 15%, Thomas 6%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 98 PA
vs RHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 80 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.39 | 1 | — | — | 32% | 2.35 |
| Away | 1.10 | 2 | — | — | 36% | 3.86 |
| vs LHB | 0.76 | 1 | 9% | 28% | 29% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.08 | 2 | 11% | 23% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Grant Taylor carries a 0.78 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Sean Newcomb • LHP (CWS)KC @ CWS | vs KC0/1 W–L • 2.44 ERA • 46 Ks • 0.94 WHIP0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 2.44 ERA (H 0.35 / A 4.84)▬ Holding steady0.69hittability
Sean Newcomb • LHP (CWS)
KC @ CWS | vs KC
0/1 W–L • 2.44 ERA • 46 Ks • 0.94 WHIP
0.8 HR/9 • 11% Barrel • 21% FB • 23% K • 2.44 ERA (H 0.35 / A 4.84)
▬ Holding steady
0.69
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.2 IP · 45 P relief0 HR
06/20 3.0 IP · 42 P0 HR
06/17 0.2 IP · 14 P relief0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 95 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 3 HR in 131 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 27% | 0.35 |
| Away | 0.40 | 1 | — | — | 22% | 4.84 |
| vs LHB | 0.77 | 1 | 11% | 24% | 22% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.00 | 3 | 12% | 20% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs LHB
Sean Newcomb carries a 0.78 HR/9. CWS ranks 6th in HR factor for LH hitters.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Davis MartinC
Arms like Davis Martin
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Ryan Feltner, Mitch Keller, Merrill Kelly, Jack Leiter, Dennis Santana, Mike Burrows.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 16 PA (6.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Trevor RichardsA · ×1.57
Arms like Trevor Richards
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Connor Seabold, Logan Henderson, Isaac Mattson, Devin Williams, Luke Weaver, Tobias Myers.
Matchup vs Brandon EisertA · ×1.54
Arms like Brandon Eisert
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Jeffrey Springs, Matt Gage, Shane McClanahan, Mitch Farris, Yusei Kikuchi, Dylan Lee.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 3 HR in 18 PA (16.7% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Chris MurphyA · ×1.54
Arms like Chris Murphy
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Yusei Kikuchi, Cade Povich, Connelly Early, Tim Herrin, Justin Wrobleski, Brock Burke.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 25 PA (8.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Bryan HudsonA · ×1.54
Arms like Bryan Hudson
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bryan King, Sean Manaea, Eric Lauer, Jeffrey Springs, Andrew Abbott, Mitch Farris.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 25 PA (4.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Seranthony DomínguezA · ×1.36
Arms like Seranthony Domínguez
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Chase Silseth, Shohei Ohtani, Yohan Ramírez, Cam Schlittler, Brad Keller, Zack Wheeler.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 14 PA (7.1% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jordan HicksB · ×1.09
Arms like Jordan Hicks
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Riley O'Brien, Eduard Bazardo, Tyler Phillips, Luis García, Matt Svanson, Colin Holderman.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 18 PA (5.6% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Grant TaylorA · ×1.56
Arms like Grant Taylor
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cam Schlittler, Ryne Nelson, Will Klein, Chase Burns, Bubba Chandler, Antonio Senzatela.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 16 PA (6.2% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Sean NewcombA · ×1.30
Arms like Sean Newcomb
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Shane Drohan, Anthony Kay, Connelly Early, Carlos Rodón, Noah Schultz, Payton Tolle.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 22 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
George Springer RTOR HOME vs Cal Quantrill R · TOR PROJwind 1.04park 1.02brl 9%recent 9%26%MatchupA++282
George Springer R
TOR HOME vs Cal Quantrill R · TOR PROJ
wind 1.04park 1.02brl 9%recent 9%
26%
MatchupA+
+282
George Springer R
TOR HOME vs Cal Quantrill R · TOR PROJ
wind 1.04park 1.02brl 9%recent 9%
26%
Matchup summary · vs Cal Quantrill
Batter Summary ➖ Steady
Springer has 6 of his 8 HRs off RHP, 38% hard-hit that side. 4 of his 8 HRs have come at home, slugging .377 there.
Form Last ~3 weeks (recency-weighted): .443 xwOBAcon (lg .371), 9% well-hit (lg 14%), 45% hard-hit · 0 HR in 15 PA. Right around league — no real trend either way.
Ranking Reasoning
Strong HR spot.
He's vulnerable to righties (1.7 HR/9), the park favors RH power and holds power in two-strike counts.
He's vulnerable to righties (1.7 HR/9), the park favors RH power and holds power in two-strike counts.
🏟️ Homered here 27× at this park (since ’25)
⚾ vs Quantrill (career): 0/1 AB | 0 HR | 1K
Pitch by Pitch
Pitch-by-pitch · Quantrill throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 5929% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
14/61
HR
0
28 BBE
CutterSt 1819% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
93
Barrel
27%
Air/Gnd
45/27
HR
2
11 BBE
SplitterSt 3515% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
4 BBE
4-SeamSt 3914% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
3
33 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
1
16 BBE
CurveSt 611% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/50
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Quantrill throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
SinkerSt 5929% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
14/61
HR
0
28 BBE
CutterSt 1819% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
93
Barrel
27%
Air/Gnd
45/27
HR
2
11 BBE
SplitterSt 3515% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
4 BBE
4-SeamSt 3914% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
3
33 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
1
16 BBE
CurveSt 611% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/50
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Winn throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—26% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
3
33 BBE
Cutter—24% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
93
Barrel
27%
Air/Gnd
45/27
HR
2
11 BBE
Slider—22% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
1
16 BBE
Sinker—21% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
14/61
HR
0
28 BBE
Splitter—7% used
Whiff
26%
Contact
74%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/100
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Ross throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Sinker—37% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
14/61
HR
0
28 BBE
Slider—29% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
1
16 BBE
4-Seam—28% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
3
33 BBE
Curve—4% used
Whiff
10%
Contact
90%
EV
92
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/50
HR
0
4 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Gray throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—42% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
3
33 BBE
Change—34% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
81
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
Slider—25% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
1
16 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Alexander throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
Change—29% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/50
HR
0
8 BBE
Cutter—24% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/67
HR
0
3 BBE
4-Seam—23% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
87
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
38/31
HR
1
13 BBE
Sinker—13% used
Whiff
0%
Contact
100%
EV
84
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
0/80
HR
0
5 BBE
Sweeper—11% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
85
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
40/0
HR
1
5 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Junis throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs RHP · green = bat’s edge
Slider—54% used
Whiff
44%
Contact
56%
EV
86
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
25/50
HR
1
16 BBE
Sinker—31% used
Whiff
14%
Contact
86%
EV
87
Barrel
4%
Air/Gnd
14/61
HR
0
28 BBE
Change—9% used
Whiff
20%
Contact
80%
EV
81
Barrel
20%
Air/Gnd
20/40
HR
0
5 BBE
4-Seam—6% used
Whiff
19%
Contact
81%
EV
93
Barrel
6%
Air/Gnd
27/36
HR
3
33 BBE
Pitch-by-pitch · Latz throws / Springer hits
Stuff & usage = the arm’s; whiff / contact / EV / barrel / air-ground / HR = Springer’s 2026 vs LHP · green = bat’s edge
4-Seam—49% used
Whiff
16%
Contact
84%
EV
87
Barrel
8%
Air/Gnd
38/31
HR
1
13 BBE
Change—28% used
Whiff
41%
Contact
59%
EV
91
Barrel
0%
Air/Gnd
12/50
HR
0
8 BBE
Slider—13% used
Whiff
25%
Contact
75%
EV
91
Barrel
14%
Air/Gnd
43/0
HR
0
7 BBE
Curve—10% used
Whiff
29%
Contact
71%
EV
—
Barrel
—
Air/Gnd
—
HR
—
thin 2026
🎯 Target
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cal Quantrill’s arsenal
Sinker 29% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0%
Cutter 19% usedbarrels 27% · allows 7% · 2 HR
Splitter 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
4-Seam 14% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Slider 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cal Quantrill’s arsenal
Sinker 29% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0%
Cutter 19% usedbarrels 27% · allows 7% · 2 HR
Splitter 15% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
4-Seam 14% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Slider 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Cole Winn’s arsenal
4-Seam 26% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Cutter 24% usedbarrels 27% · allows 0% · 2 HR
Slider 22% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Sinker 21% usedbarrels 4% · allows 14%
Splitter 7% usedbarrels 0% · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Joe Ross’s arsenal
Sinker 37% usedbarrels 4% · allows 0%
Slider 29% usedbarrels 0% · allows 14% · 1 HR
4-Seam 28% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Peyton Gray’s arsenal
4-Seam 42% usedbarrels 6% · allows 0% · 3 HR
Change 34% usedbarrels 20% · allows 10%
Slider 25% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0% · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Tyler Alexander’s arsenal
Change 29% usedbarrels 0% · allows 4%
Cutter 24% usedbarrels — · allows 0%
4-Seam 23% usedbarrels 8% · allows — · 1 HR
Sinker 13% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Sweeper 11% usedbarrels 0% · allows — · 1 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jakob Junis’s arsenal
Slider 54% usedbarrels 0% · allows 5% · 1 HR
Sinker 31% usedbarrels 4% · allows 12%
Change 9% usedbarrels 20% · allows —
4-Seam 6% usedbarrels 6% · allows — · 3 HR
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Not enough arsenal data for this arm.
Matchup-Fit · barrel alignment vs Jacob Latz’s arsenal
4-Seam 49% usedbarrels 8% · allows 8% · 1 HR
Change 28% usedbarrels 0% · allows 0%
Slider 13% usedbarrels 14% · allows —
Curve 10% usedbarrels — · allows —
Air / Park
Pulls 20% in the air; pull side LF — park ×1.14 × wind out to LF (6 mph) ×1.02 → net ×1.17 → park+wind fits his pull power.
Recent form · last 5
Barrel 0% · EV 85 · 0 HR over his last 5.
Batter Stats
Last 5 games · H/AB · K · GB · FB · barrel · EV · HR/FB · HR
| H/AB | K | GB | FB | BRL | EV | HR/FB | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5G | 4/22 | 7 | 47% | 33% | 0% | 85 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/25 | 0/4 | 1 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 72 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/24 | 0/4 | 2 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 88 | 0% | 0 |
| 06/23 | 1/5 | 2 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 75 | — | 0 |
| 06/22 | 2/4 | 2 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 102 | — | 0 |
| 06/20 | 1/5 | 0 | 40% | 40% | 0% | 92 | 0% | 0 |
Swing & Bat Tracking (489 swings)
bat tracking
Bat speed72.6 mph
Swing length7.4 ft
Attack angle9.9°
contact
swing timing
Early16%
On-time70%
Late13%
miss profile
Over17%
Under15%
Tied-up14%
Centered65%
Flailed20%
Batter power & contact · longer + greener = more HR-likely
vs LHP · 3 HR in 89 PA
vs RHP · 8 HR in 218 PA
Matchup strength · longer + greener = more HR-favorable
matchup strength
supporting
Home / Away HR splits · season-to-date
Home HOME4 HR / 154 PA · 2.6%
Home · .377 SLG
Away AWAY4 HR / 108 PA · 3.7%
Away · .367 SLG
Park fit · spray vs this yard
Pulls 20% of contact in the air; his pull side is LF here — HR factor ×1.14 → park fits his pull power.
Pitcher
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)▬ Holding steady1.20hittability
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)
▬ Holding steady
1.20
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 34 P1 HR
06/18 2.0 IP · 36 P relief1 HR
06/16 0.2 IP · 20 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
Where he’s hittable · xSLG allowed by zone (vs RHB)
Green = he gives up slug there. Tap a band → out/mid/in cells → each pitch’s xSLG + a cyan contact-allowed bar. Cell splits use 2025–26; display only.
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 2 | — | — | 14% | 5.02 |
| Away | 1.06 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 2.65 |
| vs LHB | 0.86 | 1 | 15% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.61 | 4 | 12% | 21% | 14% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Cal Quantrill carries a 1.24 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (1.7 HR/9 to RHB). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)▬ Holding steady1.20hittability
Cal Quantrill • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
3/0 W–L • 3.73 ERA • 20 Ks • 1.28 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 23% FB • 16% K • 3.73 ERA (H 5.02 / A 2.65)
▬ Holding steady
1.20
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.0 IP · 34 P1 HR
06/18 2.0 IP · 36 P relief1 HR
06/16 0.2 IP · 20 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batscutter
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 77 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
spin 12:05
spin 1:23
spin 1:59
spin 1:14
spin 7:29
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 2 | — | — | 14% | 5.02 |
| Away | 1.06 | 2 | — | — | 16% | 2.65 |
| vs LHB | 0.86 | 1 | 15% | 25% | 21% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.61 | 4 | 12% | 21% | 14% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Cal Quantrill carries a 1.24 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing (2 over his last 3). Righties have taken him deep 3 of 4 times (1.7 HR/9 to RHB). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Cole Winn • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR2/2 W–L • 6.38 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.50 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 6.38 ERA (H 4.76 / A 7.82)▲ Easier to take deep lately1.01hittability
Cole Winn • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
2/2 W–L • 6.38 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.50 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 17% Barrel • 24% FB • 23% K • 6.38 ERA (H 4.76 / A 7.82)
▲ Easier to take deep lately
1.01
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▲ Easier to take deep lately This pitcher is trending toward giving up home runs.
06/24 0.2 IP · 15 P1 HR
06/20 0.2 IP · 14 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 9 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batsslider · 4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.7 HR/9 · 0 HR in 51 PA
vs RHB · 1.6 HR/9 · 4 HR in 74 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.79 | 1 | — | — | 24% | 4.76 |
| Away | 2.13 | 3 | — | — | 23% | 7.82 |
| vs LHB | 0.74 | 0 | 15% | 23% | 19% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.61 | 4 | 16% | 24% | 25% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Cole Winn carries a 1.21 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. He owns a 7.82 ERA on the road. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Joe Ross • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR0/1 W–L • 8.71 ERA • 5 Ks • 1.74 WHIP1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 21% FB • 15% K • 8.71 ERA (H 13.50 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.96hittability
Joe Ross • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
0/1 W–L • 8.71 ERA • 5 Ks • 1.74 WHIP
1.5 HR/9 • 15% Barrel • 21% FB • 15% K • 8.71 ERA (H 13.50 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.96
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/23 2.2 IP · 30 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 21 P1 HR
06/16 2.0 IP · 28 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batsslider · sinker
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 1 HR in 31 PA
vs RHB · 1.5 HR/9 · 2 HR in 33 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 2 | — | — | 9% | 13.50 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 14% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 1.21 | 1 | 13% | 25% | 18% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.53 | 2 | 16% | 20% | 16% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Joe Ross carries a 1.50 HR/9 and gave up 0 in his last outing (1 over his last 3). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Peyton Gray • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR2/0 W–L • 3.42 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.06 WHIP1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.42 ERA (H 1.53 / A 7.27)◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 30.90hittability
Peyton Gray • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
2/0 W–L • 3.42 ERA • 28 Ks • 1.06 WHIP
1.0 HR/9 • 13% Barrel • 22% FB • 24% K • 3.42 ERA (H 1.53 / A 7.27)
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3
0.90
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
◐ Homer-prone on the year, quieter last 3 Homer-prone over the full season — the quiet recent stretch is a small sample the model discounts.
06/21 1.0 IP · 11 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/18 1.0 IP · 10 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Valenzuela 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batschange
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Jr. 20%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 1 HR in 56 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 2 HR in 64 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.51 | 1 | — | — | 28% | 1.53 |
| Away | 2.08 | 2 | — | — | 20% | 7.27 |
| vs LHB | 0.99 | 1 | 13% | 20% | 24% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.20 | 2 | 14% | 25% | 23% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Peyton Gray carries a 1.04 HR/9. He owns a 7.27 ERA on the road. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Tyler Alexander • LHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR1/1 W–L • 2.78 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.39 WHIP0.6 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 21% FB • 18% K • 2.78 ERA (H 2.77 / A 2.79)▬ Holding steady0.87hittability
Tyler Alexander • LHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
1/1 W–L • 2.78 ERA • 26 Ks • 1.39 WHIP
0.6 HR/9 • 8% Barrel • 21% FB • 18% K • 2.78 ERA (H 2.77 / A 2.79)
▬ Holding steady
0.87
hittability
Last 3 outings · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 1.0 IP · 13 P relief0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
06/20 0.1 IP · 9 P relief0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batssweeper
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty batsno clear target
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Valenzuela 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 75 PA
vs RHB · 0.8 HR/9 · 1 HR in 95 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.69 | 1 | — | — | 16% | 2.77 |
| Away | 0.47 | 1 | — | — | 20% | 2.79 |
| vs LHB | 0.87 | 1 | 11% | 22% | 15% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.77 | 1 | 9% | 21% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Tyler Alexander carries a 0.64 HR/9. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Jakob Junis • RHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR1/1 W–L • 2.14 ERA • 24 Ks • 0.92 WHIP0.5 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 2.14 ERA (H 1.80 / A 2.41)▬ Holding steady0.83hittability
Jakob Junis • RHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
1/1 W–L • 2.14 ERA • 24 Ks • 0.92 WHIP
0.5 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 20% K • 2.14 ERA (H 1.80 / A 2.41)
▬ Holding steady
0.83
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.0 IP · 18 P0 HR
06/22 0.2 IP · 17 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 15 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 0.9 HR/9 · 1 HR in 66 PA
vs RHB · 0.6 HR/9 · 0 HR in 75 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.60 | 1 | — | — | 13% | 1.80 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 22% | 2.41 |
| vs LHB | 0.92 | 1 | 12% | 24% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.62 | 0 | 13% | 24% | 22% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jakob Junis carries a 0.55 HR/9. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Robby Ahlstrom • LHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR2/0 W–L • 0.96 ERA • 6 Ks • 0.96 WHIP0.7 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 19% FB • 21% K • 0.96 ERA (H 2.25 / A 0.00)▬ Holding steady0.79hittability
Robby Ahlstrom • LHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
2/0 W–L • 0.96 ERA • 6 Ks • 0.96 WHIP
0.7 HR/9 • 10% Barrel • 19% FB • 21% K • 0.96 ERA (H 2.25 / A 0.00)
▬ Holding steady
0.79
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/24 0.1 IP · 4 P0 HR
06/22 1.0 IP · 8 P0 HR
06/21 1.0 IP · 12 P0 HR
Not enough data for this view.
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 0 HR in 20 PA
vs RHB · 1.0 HR/9 · 0 HR in 17 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 0% | 2.25 |
| Away | 0.00 | 0 | — | — | 32% | 0.00 |
| vs LHB | 0.96 | 0 | 13% | 22% | 23% | — |
| vs RHB | 0.99 | 0 | 12% | 21% | 20% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Robby Ahlstrom carries a 0.75 HR/9. TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Jacob Latz • LHP (TEX)TEX @ TOR | vs TOR1/1 W–L • 1.89 ERA • 40 Ks • 0.66 WHIP1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 1.89 ERA (H 2.04 / A 1.77)▬ Holding steady0.78hittability
Jacob Latz • LHP (TEX)
TEX @ TOR | vs TOR
1/1 W–L • 1.89 ERA • 40 Ks • 0.66 WHIP
1.2 HR/9 • 12% Barrel • 24% FB • 25% K • 1.89 ERA (H 2.04 / A 1.77)
▬ Holding steady
0.78
hittability
Last 3 games · IP / pitches / HR
▬ Holding steady No big change in his home-run risk lately.
06/25 1.0 IP · 25 P1 HR
06/22 1.1 IP · 31 P0 HR
06/20 1.0 IP · 13 P0 HR
Pitches to target · go-deep pitches
The pitches he's given up the most homers on — and the bats most likely to punish them.
vs lefty batsslider
Most likely to capitalize: Varsho 25%, Giménez 7%
vs righty bats4-seam
Most likely to capitalize: Okamoto 28%, Springer 26%, Valenzuela 25%
HR hittability vs a league-average hitter · longer + greener = easier to take deep
vs LHB · 1.1 HR/9 · 2 HR in 73 PA
vs RHB · 1.2 HR/9 · 4 HR in 125 PA
Pitch mix · stuff · HR rating · swing-and-miss · contact
Splits · home/away & batter hand
| HR/9 | HR | Barrel | FB% | K% | ERA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0.51 | 1 | — | — | 27% | 2.04 |
| Away | 0.89 | 2 | — | — | 31% | 1.77 |
| vs LHB | 1.13 | 2 | 12% | 22% | 20% | — |
| vs RHB | 1.21 | 4 | 13% | 25% | 28% | — |
HR = home runs allowed (season-to-date). ERA isn’t reported by batter hand, and barrel/FB% aren’t available by home/away — those cells show —.
Pitcher summary · vs RHB
Jacob Latz carries a 1.16 HR/9 and gave up 1 in his last outing. Righties have taken him deep 4 of 6 times (0.8 HR/9 to RHB). TOR ranks 6th in HR factor for RH hitters.
Pick who he’ll face
Matchup vs Cal QuantrillA+
Arms like Cal Quantrill
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Taijuan Walker, Nick Martinez, Javier Assad, Tomoyuki Sugano, Chase Shugart, Chad Patrick.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 20 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Cal QuantrillB · ×1.06
Arms like Cal Quantrill
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Taijuan Walker, Nick Martinez, Javier Assad, Tomoyuki Sugano, Chase Shugart, Chad Patrick.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 20 PA (10.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Cole WinnB · ×1.07
Arms like Cole Winn
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Zach Agnos, Randy Vásquez, Grant Holmes, Drew Rasmussen, Zack Wheeler, Cam Schlittler.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 32 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Joe RossC · ×0.90
Arms like Joe Ross
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Lucas Erceg, Luis Medina, Bryan Woo, Luis Castillo, Miles Mikolas, Kumar Rocker.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 27 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Peyton GrayB · ×1.05
Arms like Peyton Gray
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Cole Sulser, Connor Brogdon, Bryan Baker, Tanner Gordon, Bailey Ober, Max Scherzer.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 5 HR in 36 PA (13.9% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Tyler AlexanderB · ×1.03
Arms like Tyler Alexander
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Tyler Holton, Anthony Kay, Brandon Williamson, Ian Seymour, Foster Griffin, Martín Pérez.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 1 HR in 29 PA (3.4% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Jakob JunisC · ×0.92
Arms like Jakob Junis
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Bryce Elder, Taylor Clarke, Jake Woodford, Jaden Hill, Stephen Kolek, Alex Lange.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 0 HR in 12 PA (0.0% · league ~3%).
Matchup vs Robby AhlstromC · ×0.93
Matchup vs Jacob LatzC · ×0.98
Arms like Jacob Latz
Most similar arsenals (velocity, movement, mix): Carlos Rodón, Robbie Ray, Andrew Abbott, Reid Detmers, Shane McClanahan, MacKenzie Gore.
vs arms like this (since 2025), 2 HR in 43 PA (4.7% · league ~3%).
Likelihood-first board. Even the top plays hit ~1-in-5 — most miss by design. Confirm lineups & odds at lock; bet within your means.